penny wrote:I was under the impression that missiles are "locked onto the target" from the moment of fire, and they have to be led all the way to the target. Remember, missiles have very myopic sensors.
They do. That's why accuracy sucked at 65 million km for both the RMN and the RHN before Apollo. One could fire at the extreme end of the 9-minute endurance flight, but they had to fire a lot of missiles to get them to actually hit something. This was hand-waving from the author, but is one of the ground rules. We have to accept it.
Except when he told us that the technological problem was overcome. Apollo accuracy was very good at 75 million km during the Battle of Manticore - that's how Honor won. She said that she bluffed against Tourville when the range doubled... but then we saw the Apollo missiles being accurate at 200 million km with at both the Battles of Beowulf (Operation Fabius) and Galton.
So Apollo can find a loosely-defined target.
I'm not saying it will be easy. The Apollo missiles aren't designed to find a wedgeless target, but given sufficiently many of them, they will find something. See more below.
I do not think you are aware of the task at hand. The RD is in constant communication with the ship, true. But you use the word “locate” without qualification. Do consider that there is a large chasm in-between "locating" and "locking" the target up. The RD has likely simply gotten a sniff of something in some somewhat general vicinity. I doubt an RD can give concrete coordinates. Unless it damn near crashed into it. Even then, I doubt an RD can maintain contact with the bogey.
I don't doubt it
can maintain contact, so long as it isn't flying past at a high relative velocity and is unable to change direction in time. The high-speed drones launched at the beginning of an engagement will not be able to keep pace with a stealthed ship they've crossed at a quarter-light speed.
But the second or third waves of drones will come at a much lower velocity. Those will have been informed of a ghost in the sensor by the first wave and will try to find it. If they do get a sniff, they can and will keep pace. Drones can accelerate anywhere from 5000 to 30,000 gravities, which is more than enough to keep pace with
any ship. They are themselves very stealthy and could get within 150,000 km without being themselves detected.
The RD can relay general directions to the fleet, but missiles have to be led all the way in, and their sensors are very myopic. An LD will not simply sit there; it will execute emergency defensive maneuver “Dodge” as in Get Out Of. You can flood the “general vicinity.” But after several ineffective massive salvos, Honor will abandon the tactic as fruitless and wasteful. Which means abandoning the launches. Just as she did at Solon.
Of course the LD will be doing random course changes, like every ship should be doing.
Will it be doing an escape manoeuvre? That implies it knows it's been detected by the drone in the first place. If it was one of those high-speed fly-bys, it's highly unlikely the spider ship will have detected the RD in the first place, so it won't know to do an escape manoeuvre. If it's one of the slow ones, then there's no escape manoeuvre that could shake the drone.
Moreover, an escape manoeuvre might not be stealthy, so the LD wouldn't want to go above the 150-gravity stealthy envelope. It definitely would make the crew unable to fight their ship, so they wouldn't do that unless they really, really needed to.
Don’t even get me started on heat sources. Simply put, waste heat does not seem to be a problem in the HV other than in a passing reference. What’s good for GA drones is good for the MAN. Waste heat is not going to be the weak link in the MAN’s flagship spider-drive warship and flagship tech. Not gonna happen.
True again, in general, for the Honorverse...
... except where the author specifically told us is a problem. And he did so for the case of a spider ship's stealth.
He may forget about this detail when writing the next books, but as it stands, that is a vulnerability in the MAlign stealth technology.
The most likely counter is to orient it up or down the ecliptic, because most battles are fought on that plane. At large enough scales (light-minutes), battles are 2D problems. Sending drones in a 3D envelope means using more of them or having more space between drones, so unless the GF clues in that it needs to, it may not occur to them that they should.
What I predict will happen is that the first waste heat detection will be accidental.
Agreed. Flaming datum says “something.” But that “something” is going to be even more cryptic than what an RD can manage to send after it gets a “sniff” of something. Akin, this time, to when the mother grabs the young child by the shoulders and spins her towards the pinyatta. Even while facing the pinyatta head on, the kid is still blindfiring the bat.
The metaphor is not very accurate.
How can it be cryptic? Something destroyed a drone, so something there mounts a weapon and isn't showing on the current scans. Send more RDs to the general location of where it was, starting with the RDs that are already not too far from it.
Two flaming data form a velocity vector, making the third detection even more likely.
Your logic lost me here. Of course an LD can be hurt by an RD. (Well.*) But I doubt an LD is going to sit idly by in its path either. Unless we are going to argue again whether an LD can detect RDs.
I think we'll find out that if the LD can see the RD, the RD has already seen the LD. The MAlign said it couldn't find a Shark at 300,000 km distance, even knowing it was somewhere there. But we are routinely told that RDs come to within 100,000 km of an enemy without their cluing in something was there. One of those was Galton, which was nearly the best scanning equipment that the MAlign had (I'm granting that Darius may have withheld some of the latest innovation that could find its own stealth ships, but not by much - that's not one of the things Gail told us that she wasn't allowed to use in her planning).
Therefore, the LD won't be needing to make any evasive manoeuvres. It won't know the RD is there in the first place if the RD doesn't want to be seen (except if it happens entirely by accident, but in that case there's either no time to evade or the RD wasn't trying to ram). If the RD is instead trying to ram,
there's no evasion possible because drones are faster than
any ship. Moreover, if the RD is trying to ram, it means the fleet ordered it to do so, meaning it has already transmitted a lot of information back to the motherships' CICs.
*As I have said countless times before. I do not think an LD is going to be that much of an eggshell. It has some very powerful oversized tractors that can breach n-space. I don't think an RD can survive a certain area covered by the tractor beams.
I agree it
cannot be such an eggshell, but we don't know the means by which it won't be. As described, it is.
The tractors should be irrelevant to the RD's wedge. Nothing can penetrate a wedge, except a more powerful wedge. So the LD's only defence against a ramming RD is to fire a wedge-based CM at it. Unless RFC changes the rules here... and while I don't think that's where he intends to go, he might be forced to do so to close the loophole of ramming RDs.
And, unlike all of you. I wouldn't be surprised if an RD, at least in some instances, is destroyed by running into the intense area of gravity produced by the LD's tractor beams that are so powerful they rip a hole clean though to the hyperwall, before the RD has a chance to relay any information.
Relaying information is actually irrelevant. Its destruction alone is a flaming datum that causes other RDs to be vectored in to have a look, each one more closely guarded against being themselves destroyed. See also above that a sequence of destructions forms a series of velocity vectors, which help find the ship in question.
Also, don't forget that the destruction begin an energetic event that will illuminate the region where it happens. If that happens within 1 km of the ship, debris might also impact on the hull, which compromises the hull. Though there's no way that any crew that wasn't completely asleep would let an active hostile wedge get to within 1000 km of their ship - a range which an RD's wedge is definitely going to be visible.
The MAN would need to come up with a weapon that manages to instantly disable the RD and is low-power and directional enough not to be seen by other RDs flying around. Even then, the sudden shut down of an RD is also a flaming datum... just not a very energetic one.
Then communication is lost. Running into a tractor beam’s intense fields of distortion might be as disastrous as running into the hyperwall without sails. LOL
And possibly equally as bright.