I'll grant that ways of writing large numbers in Roman numerals aren't standardized, but the fact that they repeatedly come up in our own history strongly suggests that something like using a viniculum to indicate the number below it indicates a number a thousand times larger would have been adopted on Safehold even before Merlin introduced Arabic numerals.
XIXDCCII (with an overline instead of the underline used here because of BBCode formatting limitations) is far handier than MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMDCCII. So, Arabic numerals aren't likely to be the game changer in the way portrayed in Off Armageddon Reef.
Similarly, it seems unlikely that something like the Roman abacus which had the beads used for counting in grooves would not have already been introduced, even if not mentioned in the Holy Writ, albeit I can see Merlin introducing one that like the East Asian abacus uses rods to hold the counters in place, which would be an improvement.
Note, introducing Arabic numerals to replace Roman numerals and an improved abacus would be helpful, but I find it difficult to believe that some means of representing large numbers and aiding calculations wouldn't have already been in use on Safehold unless the Inquisition had previously found such things to be anathema, which it clearly hadn't or Paityr Wylsyn would never have approved the use of Arabic numerals or Merlin's abacus.
Also, Cayleb's use of the clumsy MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMDCCII to represent 19702 could just reflect that he was unaware of methods of representing large numbers.
Moreover, Arabic numerals allow for introducing the decimal point, which is far more flexible than Roman systems for dealing with fractions. So introducing Arabic numerals was important, just not for large numbers as was represented in OAR, but rather the small numbers needed for making precision parts.