ThinksMarkedly wrote:Sigs wrote:I have been thinking for a while now about the overall series and the lessons learned by individual nations and their militaries. The RMN and RHN had spend about 40 years knowing a war was coming, there was already a well established understanding that Manticore was technologically superior to Haven and that Haven was numerically superior to the RMN. Both sides had 40 years to build up to war and then spend 17 of the previous 22 years at shooting war with each other. Basically Haven had 17 years of progress and adjustment to Manticoran innovation and tactics and despite the size differences the two sides were relatively equal. Haven managed to fight Manticore from 1905 technology to 1922 technology and for the majority of the war they kept within shouting distance of the RMN mostly because of their size. Haven managed to learn the lessons one or two at a time over a 20 year period while starting relatively close technologically.
And don't forget that the PN was actually fighting in those 40 years, something very few navies could claim to be doing. Lopsided fights against much weaker opponents, but they were still fighting. One of the things that greatly helped the Manticore Alliance against the PRH in the first war was that the Committee had done a purge of the Legislaturalist officer corp that had experience and compounded the mistake by shooting flag officers who lost battles.
Similarly, the RMN and the IAN were also fighting, though their targets were pirates in Silesia. Again, lopsided, but it did allow those officer corps to gain a lot of experience prior to the start of the war.
The SLN on the other hand started the war in 1921 with massive technological, intelligence, training, quality and experience deficit when compared to the RMN. The SLN started the war with the belief that they were technologically, numerically superior and had better leadership. The SLN started the war as the greatest, most powerful navy in the history of humanity and with their 10,000 SD's they were more powerful then every other navy in existence but in a short 6 months they managed to go from the belief that they are the greatest that ever was to the reality that they were at best the 6th most powerful navy and 2 of those navies are single system nations.
The SLN Battle Fleet, on the other hand, had had no experience at all for 3 centuries. True, the RMN had no experience in fighting capital ships either, since those SDs were sitting in the MBS and not getting sent to Silesia. But unlike the SLN, the destroyer and cruiser captains in the RMN were promoted into the capital ships; in the SLN, FF and BF officer corps didn't mix. So any and all experience that the FF gained fighting petty warlords, some pirates, and in any other ways it could have gained from its less-than-aboveboard operations with the OFS were not transferred to the BF.
Knowing all of this, how does the SLN proceed from here on out? How do they work to get technological parity and numerical superiority without falling in the trap that they fell into the first time around? What lessons did the RMN/RHN/GSN/IAN/EN/MSDF learn from the war that would are important?
The league still had tremendous industrial, material, population and economic power behind it and if they manage to tap into the tax base that was previously denied to them the SLN could become a major power rather quickly. How does the SLN use the resources they can tap to improve not just technologically but quality of their people and training and leadership so that in 1940, the SLN can be a powerful force with 15 years of experience and training behind it along with its doctrine and institutional confidence in their abilities.
Basically what lessons and what effects does the 1923 SLN incorporate into their training doctrine and institutional identity to make the 1940 SLN a superpower once again?
Good questions and we can debate this for a long time. Let me start with a summary, starting with the most obvious ones:
1) combat the patronage system, promoting instead people who are actually capable instead of the well-connected
2) remove the barriers in sharing of experience (merge FF and BF)
3) keep a robust R&D running basically forever and don't be afraid of obsoleting oneself
4) find allies and cross-pollinate ideas
For example, how does the sudden shift of missile wave density and technology at least from SLN point of view affect their LAC/CLAC doctrine? Considering when they start building their LAC and CLAC forces they will start with absolute garbage in terms of CLACs and LACs. I can see the SLN going overboard in their LAC doctrine and using much bigger numbers than the GA out of fanatical need to for adequate missile defense. The SLN went from being able to fire 42 missiles per SD to facing an enemy that can control 200 missiles per SD(P) and they did it over a few month span.
That's a knee-jerk reaction. You could be right. You're going to have a lot of baffled and inexperienced flag officers as well as politicians demanding action -- any action! And this is probably going to happen in some form, if not what you said. They will do something in the medium and short terms that will not help in the long run. They have to do something.
But long-term, the strategic planning needs to be thought out. They need to think two or three steps ahead, at least. That's like the existence of the Katana-class LAC: a logical consequence of the existence of LACs at all was that LAC-on-LAC fights would exist, so they made a space superiority asset, even before the RHN had deployed their own LACs.
What that is, I don't know. Clearly they need more CMs and more control links for those. That may not mean LACs; if they have a technological breakthrough that obviates the need to deploying forward, they could use dedicated CM barges. Similarly, if one can make up for CM quality with quantity, it may be a better idea to use light cruisers instead of LACs (remember the overhead of the CLAC).
How does the GA reorganize to be able to face the SLN with a hope of survival in the coming decades after the SLN rebuilds?
How does the GA organize to be the most efficient they can be in the coming decades when once again the SLN becomes a superpower? Right now they are multiple separate navies with their own issues since they built up after 17 years of war.
By not having to. They have to follow through on the Harrington Plan.
If the SL remains as big as it is and does go for revanchism, the GA or the Union will be in trouble.
The points I listed above for the SL also apply to the GA / Union. They have to keep R&D ahead of the others, for example. While the SL is catching up, they can continue to pull ahead.
But speaking of Union, there's a good question of what will happen to the separate navies. I think they'll remain separate entities, but the RHN, RMN and GSN will begin operating together very frequently. Smaller formations will get mixed squadrons; larger formations will get squadrons from each navy. And of course, officer exchange programs, that worked really well for the GSN.