Brigade XO wrote:Since we also don't know what other offensive or defensive hardware and systems the LD's have that the Ghosts and Sharks have, we can't make any actual guesses at what their capasity is (beyond the Spyder and serious SmartSkin type stealth) and how the would be able to defend themselves if discovered.
That's the crux of the problem. From what we currently know about them, the LDs are White Elephants. They are big, slow assets that represent each a huge investment. They are not tactically flexible. Don't get me wrong, knowing one is there is a terrifying situation, but the point of a deterrent weapon is knowing it exists. That would imply the MAN discloses the existence of the LDs and some of their capabilities, and I don't see that happening.
By proof to absurd, we must conclude they have other capabilities that RFC hasn't told us about. We just can't know what they are at this point.
On the other hand, the Sharks and Ghosts were deliverd by freighter so the did generate that initial scouting responce from the duty DD squadron to track down the downward from hyper spike so PROBABLY that isn't going to happen in an actual strike operation as the LD's are going to use the Spyder drive to get there, Somehow I don't see the Alignment building "conventional bulk freighters" of a size to carry the implied size of a LD to where it is going to work and then have to do the same routine as the Oyster Bay Attacks. We also don't know if an intention is to pair up an LD (one or more) with at least one Ghost so that the scout could do the close in work identifying targets and sending the information out to the attack ship(s)
Oops, two problems there.
First, only the Ghosts were delivered by freighter. The Sharks, which are battleship-sized ships, came on their own power. There's no freighter that can carry a BB-sized ship in its belly, not if it wants to remain inconspicuous. Definitely not one that can carry multiple ones.
Second, unless the MAN is willing to wait centuries for their attacks to arrive, there will be a translation. The Manticore sensors didn't detect the wedge of the freighter, they detected the hyper footprint when it translated from alpha to n-space. That is required for faster-than-light travel. So any ship from the smallest courier to the LD will cause a hyper footprint when it comes. There are no exceptions to this rule, as stated by RFC himself in text (he's the only one that can change this).
Anyway, there couldn't be a freighter to carry an LD. That's above the maximum size for impellers, as the technology is currently known. So just like the freighter for a BB-sized ship, it would stand out in any system it came. A ship with a hold that big exists to transport things that can't be broken up into smaller pieces, so it stands to reason they go point-to-point. Therefore, there are no unscheduled arrivals of such ships. (Ok, they may have diverted to the nearest safe harbour after an engineering casualty, but that ship will be calling for help and there will be a lot of people coming on-board and will see its cargo hold)
I think that this is probaby essentialy a terror weapon system. Sure, the Oyster Bay attacks were more or less against targets which could be considered military in nature. But there was absolutleye no warning given in and with the nature of the weapon systems used, essentilay no possibility of evacuating civilians from anything. Note that it is discussed in some detail that the planners only took some effort to avoid the technical specs of an EE attack but that nothing was done to prevent (or try to prevent in any way) to keep chunks of stations from impacting on planets.
The INTENT was to destroy the orbital infrastructure and manufacturing capacity of the systems invovled AND to kill as many of their trained workforce as possible. All the civilians killed were just a bonus as far as the Alignment was concerned- more damage, horror, confusion and loss for the rest of the population of the systems. That was accomplished.
Yup, as I speculated too. But the problem is that the people to be terrorised need to know about it.