cthia wrote:This is where I'm having trouble. If the MAlign attacks, I'm predicting a hit on major systems while they still enjoy the element of surprise and shock. In the MBS during peacetime, now, the crew isn't even at general quarters. At the BoM Home Fleet didn't even have it's wedges up. The Home System always relies on its sensors to detect wedges coming across the wall. If the MAlign has them so nervous that every ship always has its wedges up then maintenance has to be a copper-plated Ransom, right about now. A King's Ransom too, because it has to be expensive as hell. It also seems it should add a measure of unpreparedness to Home Fleet, while having to be rotated in and out of maintenance. Even Imperator has to be serviced if her wedges are always up. All the MAlign needs is some benign intel about Home Fleet's overall readiness and maintenance schedules.
We'll have to agree to disagree. My argument (as below) is that right now and for the foreseeable future, the GA knows that there's an enemy out there who has good stealth and likes to ambush. They've done so twice already (Yawata and Beowulf Strikes). They're also extremely ruthless, q.v. the Mesan Atrocity. So all the home systems and major industrial nodes and population centres will need to keep their level of readiness up. Not full action stations, clearly, but something like Condition 3, wedges up, heterogeneous formation, random evasive patterns.
Over time, that's another story.
cthia wrote:I'm not so sure though. The MA had to play a balancing act. They wouldn't have wanted to give the SLN too much help. They wouldn't have wanted to raise suspicions about where and how too much improvement suddenly came down the pipe. Some SLN officers were already suspicious. Two, they had to ensure they wouldn't telegraph what's coming over the horizon to the GA, especially when they had other operations against the GA in the pipeline, and three, the tech could have been in various stages of development at the time. The MA had to make every breakthrough appear as if it originated from TIY, within the realm of TIY's capabilities.
I agree they can't give everything, but at the point where The Plan is falling apart, they would have tried something to save it.
Then again, there's the "throw good money after bad" angle. They may have realised that the plan as it was had already become irreparable, so they cut their losses. That's very smart, if it is what they did. It just doesn't sound like they thought this was happening: as late as the Beowulf Strike (Operation Fabius), the MAlign was still slipping some technology to the SLN and trying to get it to come out on top. Honor put a sudden and final end to all of that, much more quickly than I think they had predicted.
ThinksMarkedly wrote:RFC is fond of saying that you have to think through the implications of technology. If you have it, how does it transform your warfighting techniques?
cthia wrote:That's difficult to do with your enemy's R&D. Especially one with totally unprecedented tech who you have literally no Intel on, who has a habit of thinking outside the box. Heck, it's difficult to do with the tech in your own neighborhood. Haven couldn't see each iteration of Manty tech. And vice versa.
I didn't mean the GA figuring out what the MAlign is doing or vice-versa.
I meant you: you were proposing new technologies and weapons. You have to take them to their logical consequences as well as the logical precedents that would have led to them.
This particular thought is why I am so impressed with David's works in general and the Honorverse in particular: technology doesn't exist in isolation. I'm right now reading
The Valkyrie Protocol and he neatly plugged a hole in what the technology would have allowed and would have sent the economy tumbling down if it were possible (no spoilers given). We have to take things with a grain (or mountain) of salt because perpetual motion machines are abound and several laws of conservation are getting violated, but in general there's no gaping hole you could drive an SD through.
I understand that and it's a poignant point. OTOH, the MAlign isn't completely oblivious about the latest technology used on the battlefield. Textev witnesses their ever watchful eye on GA tech. They're either trying to mirror it or steal it. So they have certainly been watching. We all agree that knowing something is possible makes it much easier to recreate it, because you know the research isn't a pipe dream.
No, they aren't oblivious, clearly. They're also funding development themselves, their own equivalent of Project Gram. But we can compare Project Gram's results pre-war to what came out during the wars and conclude that the hanging sword of Damocles contributed enormously to getting technology out of the door. When your life or nation hangs in the balance, you can't afford to wait for the perfect.
There were also other economic incentives not available in peace time, such as specific funding for the war and the economies of scale for warfighting matériel. Neither of which was the case for the MAlign. Their entire funding consisted of diverted funds from Mesan enterprises and other transtellars they managed to infiltrate, at least until Darius had a self-sustaining economy.
ThinksMarkedly wrote:The MAlign was never under existential threat, but the MA and later the RoH were. They are now, though.
cthia wrote:You keep throwing me off with your abbreviation for Manticoran Alliance.
That was intentional
cthia wrote:At any rate, what??? The Alignment would beg your pardon on that. To the point that they've relocated to an unknown region of space and have been working on weapons to do something about it. The entire galaxy is responsible for creating this monster because of its stance on genetic modification. It's like a religion with the MAlign, and they were never free to practice their religion, whether the known galaxy felt it was more of a cult or not.
The Plan is in tatters. They needed the SLN fractured into warring factions and the RF to come out as the beacon of civilisation, and none the wiser on the existence of the Alignment in the first place. None of that is true.
So maybe they are not under direct existential threat right now, but they are in a crisis. That's nearly equivalent.
Well, this is where understanding my sister's intolerance of sci-fi compels me to decree that I will always maintain separation of at least a parsec between sci-fi and a slipstick. Translated, I would suggest that plain old space dust would destroy a missile at < 0.5c let alone 0.9c, long before reaching the targets or having to worry about larger debris. But fortunately, I'm not my sister.
MDMs were designed to reach 0.8c. Ergo, they have sufficient protection against regular space dust and occasional pebble.
Debris clouds would be a major impediment, if you had to fire through them. But missile engagements usually don't have to, as I explained. And what if you did lose 10% of your missiles due to impactors? 100% of the missiles you launched were going to get obliterated anyway. So long as sufficiently many of them can still strike at your enemy, the losses underway are the price of doing business. Unless they start to climb, they would barely be noted in the text, especially since losing a missile or two is common occurrence anyway.