Jonathan_S wrote:cthia wrote:What manner of strategist
are ye?
The LDs will already be in the system performing the first legs of their mission, scouting, jockeying for position and gathering data. A single frigate will get it's friggin' ass shot off! The opening stages of a blindsided attack is always devastating. You can't prepare for something you don't know is coming. And you can't defend against something you can't see. Anything in the system will be bynged, in record time.
I keep hearing about the mistake of disclosing the secret of the wormhole. That secret is going to fall on its own without MAlign intervention. Heck, the ghosthunters will probably turn up the paperwork of the original data on the wormholes Detweiler somehow managed to have misfiled.
And what is this notion of the MA being trapped trying to defend Torch once they seize it??? They will certainly mine the hell out of the system with unprecedented goodies just daring the MA to poke it's nose back in. Their freighters will probably be huge.
And, if push comes to shove, they can all transit back thru like a turtle retracting it's head. The GA can't follow even if it wanted to. And believe me, they don't want to, said the spider to the fly.
Besides, they only want to hold the system until business, and Torch, is well done. Torch is their burning desire.
Yes of course they can launch an attack through hyper on Torch. But if we take your earlier statement that they'll base the operations on Haven out of Torch that
seems to impose the following timeline.
* Send Lenny Dets to Torch
* A few months later arrive, attack, and seize the wormhole. Some ship likely escapes with the news
* Use the wormhole to rush forward logistics/reinforcements from Darius
* Lenny Dets now based out of Torch head off to Haven systems
* Lenny Dets arrive weeks later and being their couple month infiltration into the major Haven systems
* Warning arrives of the attack on Torch by undetectable ships; raising alarms about this petite Oyster Bay seizing a terminus to unknown location and putting the targets on high alert.
So seizing Torch first by attacking through Hyper fails to save any time and in fact likely puts the Haven systems you want simultaneously attacked on higher alert. And now these ships have a known base area that can be attacked.
Torch is therefore, to my mind, counter productive to seize as a base prior to operations against Haven (which was how I understood your earlier suggestion).
Now certainly as a simultaneous target, or follow-up target (possibly by the forces returning from the main strikes), it doesn't have the risk of alerting the major Haven systems. But then as I said before it's not your base for those operations.
Some of the confusion is it seems unclear exactly what you are suggesting. Certainly Torch could be seized and used as a base of operations; there are trade-offs for that but it's doable. But then you said the MAlign should hit every major system simultaneously - which implies waiting until they've build up a vast force of Lenny Dets. But that simultaneous attack on everyone seems to obviate the need for follow-up operations that would benefit from a forward base and seizing a forward base beforhand risks tipping off those enemies (and as noted above doesn't seem to save any time)
Eventually they'll want to take Torch; but I don't think its immediate value nor the remaining Detweilers' anger towards it and its occupants are likely to make it the first target.
I didn't leave anything unclear.
1) My original post asks if anyone else's spider senses are tingling regarding Torch. I went on to say I think Torch will be the new Grayson as far as several battles centered around her. That leg of it simply seems intuitive. See jtg452's post laying it all out.
2) What has everyone up in arms is my omission that the Mesan Alignment should adhere to a galactic coordination of force. But that, I presumed, is a given. Even the silly Sollies practiced that. Recall that famed Dispatch Boat?
I even think that if anyone can come close to a total galactic coordination of force, closer than most anyway, it is the MA, considering their Streak Drive. And especially if their series of junctions is amenable to operating totally inside the GA's lines of communication.3) It would be silly if the MA didn't seek to destroy a lot of the superpowers when they finally come out of the shadows, while still wielding the element of surprise. That is when their attack and tech represents the most danger. Why should they allow the GA to get "back on balance?" Of all of the Navies thus far, the MA has the best chance of pulling off a short victorious war. At least one which accomplishes all of it's goals.
Which is what all of their strategy depend on - their ultimate goals in the endgame.
4) These are Alphas. They don't play fair. They are invisible. They don't mind killing wholesale. And they have nasty miniature robot assassins.
5) Knocking back the superpowers will afford the RF the time it needs to court the galaxy.
BTW, who knows how the report reads regarding the Alignment's final plan for Beowulf.
The reality is Torch is sitting atop a dormant volcano that can become active and spew out hot warships at any time.
At any rate, any way you butter it, Torch is toast.