Brigade XO wrote:A speculation as to why the Manticore Corporation Trust didn't try to intercept the sleeper ship vs sending the frigates and other supplies and people:
What the heck were they going to do with the ship, crew, people in cold sleep etc if they found them?
Warm the people up and load them aboard a luxury liner. Then load the supplies on Jason aboard a freighter. Then scuttle Jason and proceed to Manticore, arriving 150 years before plan. What better way to avoid claim jumpers than to have your colonists in place?
Chartering a liner must be cheaper than buying four frigates and guarding the system for 150 years. Those four ships that were in orbit may not have been the first ships the MCT had to have there.
Waking them up X years from destination would be a major problem from standpoint of space for awakend people and food reserves etc. You would also have to essentialy try to plot an intercept basket based on what they know of the ship, it's drives and what was expected to be encountered on the way. You know, plotting a course to avoid stars/systems and their gravitational interactions (or allow from them) and when the colony ship was going to get there. There is NO indication that it was presumed to have run into any difficulties. Even if it had, just what could a searching ship do? That would be compilcated by any changes in the planned trip due to something slowing them down or otherwise extend the trip.
Their trip is a straight line from Sol to Manticore, accounting for radial velocity of the systems relative to each other. In only 512 light-years, it's not likely they had to detour.
However, the problem is pinpointing them. They won't have engines on. The Jason and other colony ships would be coasting ballistically at 0.8c for centuries. If the Jason could accelerate at only 0.1 gravity, she'd need 7¾ years to reach cruising speed and would cover 3 light-years. That means 506 of the 512 light-years would be ballistic, taking 632.5 years. (Note this means a voyage of 637.5 years, but we know it took them 641, so he acceleration was even lower)
For those first 8 or so years, the Jason may have been communicating back to Earth, letting the MCT know it had reached cruising speed. With that information at hand, the MCT can calculate where exactly the Jason is, within a bounded uncertainty due to drift. Whether that's sufficient to generate an intercept is a completely different story.