Jonathan_S wrote:But a wedge hit? That'd tear the target to pieces, and even the fairly small wedge of a missile is at least a couple km wide - that's larger than any dimension of an SD. Wedge contact missiles were the most dangerous ship killer until the sidewall was developed - everything else is a weaker compromise; trading off raw destructive ability in order to actually have a chance to work against/through a sidewall. So I'd rate that as a pK near 1 - you'd have to be really unlucky to bring your missile wedge into contact with even an SD in a way that didn't devastate the majority of the target.
Are modern Mark 23 missiles even capable of steering to a wedge kill? I doubt there's a Mark 23-W model that thte RMN produced in case it needed to attack unmoving, undefended targets (though I would never bet against bureaucracy).
However, that's all software. The steering controls are there and I imagine attacking Reserve One was part of the planning from even before GF left the Manticore Binary System. In fact, I do imagine the plan was prepared much earlier, as a contingency plan.