Michael Everett wrote:I'm still unsure whether he's actively racist or actively ignorant, but I do think that he'll be in power until 2024 either way.
The reason?
The Democrats are doing a wonderful impersonation of the Peoples Judean Liberation Front/Liberation Front Of Judea/Judean Peoples Liberation Front/Liberation Party Of Judea etc etc etc.
A good probability, yes. Trump does not need to be extremely strong to win, as long as his opponents are weak and divided. And it actually seems to be the case here: the democrats are pretty divided. And, frankly, Trump also not completely without successes. His economical policy generally worked so far, and while his foreign policy is incoherent, he at least avoided costly military adventures (of which Obama was so prone).
The biggest risk for Trump, IMHO, is the possibility of divide in Republican party. If moderates decided that they fed up with brainless evangelists & other radical morons, they could make an internal revolt, which would shatter Trump support.