GloriousRuse wrote:A fair question. I think that if he had written Manticore as really knocked about from the Haven War(s), Oyster Bay, and of course the battle of annihilation at 1st Manticore the scales could have started from a much more balanced position.
They go in to the Sollie conflict fighting a Balkan war - every resource is precious, and you can’t get it back. The Manticore population is utterly war weary, the opposition is screaming for a peace dividend, motions are going into why OB civil industry needs to be rebuilt first, and quite a few people are wondering why the hell their taxes are needed to maintain hundreds of Wallers. Then you add a navy that literally just had tens of thousands of officers and senior NCOs, people who take a decade or more to make, blown away.
So have the Manties pulling a Korean War; desperately trying to un mothball what just a short while ago was the dominant military on the globe.
Maybe the Sollies don’t cop to just how far they’re down tech at first. I could buy it. Think the world watching Desret Storm. A bunch of former Warsaw Pact nationa and client states had to suddenly re-evaluate I’d they could go for a stand up fight. While the Malign should have really called the ball, or even, frankly any one of the millions of Sollie intelligence types who presumably also have a normal distribution of talent, I am willing to accept an initial “oh shit moment” could happen.
Now roll the start - the Sollies go in, and yes, they’re getting pounded by being so far off tech. But the Manties are making mistakes. They aren’t twenty year veterans - maybe the admirals are, but the captains, the lieutenants, the logistics managers at the orbital depots? The chief in charge of the missile arming? Those guys died in the droves not too long ago. There’s a lot of amateurs learning their trade the hard way, being promoted way faster than they used to to make up the gap - and the training budget got beat up in the cries for less war spending.
And because OB is down and industry takes time, those are mistakes they can’t afford.
Then the war doesn’t become a one sided romp. Yeah, you get some big set pieces that blow the shit out of the SLN, but you also see the Manties bleeding way more than they “should” be.
Then just add the SL actually trying to improve, and being rewarded for it. Maybe instead of a heroic series of manny heavy cruisers winning by sacrifice, the SL knocks a couple task forces to pieces under their Zhukov. Some of those lacoon light units get bushwhacked. The mantles look around and there is no one left to cover these losses. They start ceding political positions, territory...
The race of who can re-mobilize faster is on...and the SL is winning. Now is the time for desperate measures, for metaphorically seeing if you can take Moscow before the winter sets in...tell me that wouldn’t be more interesting, and more likely to get you cheering for manticore, than three books of “then they butchered those dumb sollies”
YoR analysis is sort of cute. First of all, there are a lot of veterans around even after Laocoon. Having senior chiefs who are 35 sounds real young but it probably means they've served at least 15 years. Also, promotion had really been slow in the Manticoran Navy unless you had political clout. Honor was a new captain in her 40's, meaning she had been in the navy for well over 20 years. In peacetime, promotion was slow.
Second, the Sollies had no idea of how far behind they were because MAlign pushed the notion on them. MAlign wanted them gone, not Manticore...until the Manties had no choice. Remember, there were people who who were in the Sollie Navy who knew the analyses were wrong and they were shut down.
Tech doesn't grow itself all that fast. To build competitive ships takes a lot of new tech. And in a lot of fields.Note that even after the war between the Grand Alliance and the League had been going on, a lot of the Sollie admirals had no idea it was happening much less how bad things were going.
Even some of the best admirals (as we saw in SoV) really had no idea of how outclassed they were.
Total fiction? Read about the difference in torpedoes between the US and Japan in World War II. The Japanese "long lances". which the Japanese had from the beginning were better than what the US had even in the end. American admirals fought like crazy to defend their torpedoes even as sailors died in wholesale lots. The problems the US had in the Solomon Islands came mostly from the torpedoes. Only when the big battleships with radar directed guns combined with a heavily reinforced air grouping with improved planes did the US win.