Annachie wrote:Bluesqueak wrote:
Serious question: have you studied history at graduate or upper undergraduate level?
Nope I studied science.
Likewise.
For that matter, my tutor at theological college had a doctorate in theoretical physics.
Anyway, the reason why I asked was that I was guessing that the problem wasn't that I somehow managed a Bachelor of Science followed by postgrad research without ever understanding the Scientific Method. The problem was that I'd condensed my explanation of Historical Method so much that you'd misunderstood it as being basically the Scientific Method. Apologies: my excuse is that entire books have been written about historical method, and we're really here to talk about Safehold.
Looking at history from the perspective of Safehold, the historian's basic problem can be seen in the writings of the eight million original colonists.
They report what they observed completely truthfully, but their interpretation of those events is utterly false. Furthermore, the worldview of the colonists was drummed into Safehold so hard, the current population probably doesn't even realise that the colonists' writings are an interpretation. It's the historian's nightmare (and remember, David Weber did study history at graduate level). Furthermore, opposing voices have been suppressed. Yippee.
Merlin is probably never going to find out what really happened in the early history of Safehold, including what really happened in the War Against the Fallen. (I say 'probably' because I'd guess Himself does know.) He can only approach that history through a variety of records, some of whom were made by people closer to the events than others, all of whom were selecting what to record, and all of whom had different worldview/interpretations.
From what we know at the moment, the destruction of Alexandria might have been by either Langhorne or Chihiro. It might have been a reaction to Shan-Wei's final declaration that she wasn't going to accept the Langhorne Plan, or it might have been an attempt to cast Langhorne in the role of villain and then carry out a coup.
What we have seen, as evidence is revealed, is that the hypothesis-verification-adjust-hypothesis cycle is in full swing - but it isn't the scientific method. Merlin can't just decide to go out and do a bunch of observations without a time machine. The evidence he's got is the evidence he's got - and it all comes from a particular worldview, and has to be interpreted through his own worldview. You may have noticed a tendency that he has to prioritise evidence that agrees with his own worldview.
For example, he takes Kau-Yung's evidence as pretty much literal truth, despite the fact that this appears to be a man about to nuke half his crewmates. Later, he takes Khody's diary as 'truth', despite pretty convincing evidence that Khody's suffering from some serious memory problems.
Note that I'm not saying that Kau Yung and Khody weren't telling the truth as they knew it. Just that the truth as they knew it is very unlikely to be the whole, complete 'truth'. It will have a particular bias, and it may or may not be an interpretation that justifies them each to themselves. If we discover that the Thing In The Basement is an Archangel (or personality recording, more like), we still won't (well, probably won't) recover some kind of absolute, objective record of events. We'll get another version of events.
Historians have developed, over the years, a variety of methods to deal with the inevitable bias of written sources. But they're not (generally) scientific: the historical sciences are those chiefly concerned with going out and finding new evidence (like archaeology).
If there comes a day when Safehold knows the truth about their founding (and the truth is out there; it's possible to know quite a lot about the past), they'll still be using those 'biased' colonial sources. But they'll be taking into account the new evidence that the colonists had all been brainwashed into believing the Command Team were angels and archangels. And they'll incorporate that into their new histories.
Hope that helps.