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Re: -SPOILER- Uncompromising Honor - Likes and Don't Likes | |
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by Brigade XO » Wed May 16, 2018 10:59 pm | |
Brigade XO
Posts: 3190
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Just because nobody (GA, SLN, anybody) has seen an Alignment warship doesn't mean that at least the GA presumes they have them.
Sure, you could have pulled off Oyster Bay (in two systems including a binary one) with merchant shipping--except that there was dam little in the way of sensor data and there was something very new and different about parts of those attacks. The sensor ghosts which couldn't be pinned down are just one bit of the puzzle. All the weapons that came in on ballistic courses (timed - across both systems of the binary star) in both Manticore and Grayson came after massivly good tactical data was aquired on the targets. Then there was the grasers that did all that havoc on the space stations....those were NOT ballistic in the attack phase and they did maneuver (read the descriptions of the cutting actions) and NOBODY saw anything on any surviving sensor logs. That would include those of the tugs working around the stations before and after the attack. So, not exactly "merchant shipping" level gear and there are only the start of working on what was involved for delivery. The RF is all conventional warships in the Solly design style except for what we have not yet been told about. Other than the Streak Drive ships and those vessels used by the Alignment in their sneaking around and covert activities (and all those subcontracted agents and henchmen who don't have access to the really good stuff) we have only been told about the spyder drive ships of the Alignment: Ghosts, Sharks, Lenny Detts. We don't know the overall fleet strength of the Alignment nor the numbers of any given class though the Sharks are a fairly low number if all of them was what could be scraped up to commit to OB and designed as training and testbed units. The GA and friends (Grayson, the Andermani etc) are going to work from the proposition that there is an unknown navy out there with ships (a lot of them) of generaly unknown capability excpet that they they can avoid dam near every sensor presently in posession of the GA, can carry our large precision attacks on a system wide scale and nobody knows exactly what they want. Hell, it might as well be the Gorba, just not the massive attacks with not much care to what they lose as long as they wipe out the humans. Interesting times indeed. |
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Re: -SPOILER- Uncompromising Honor - Likes and Don't Likes | |
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by Slneezy » Thu May 17, 2018 2:18 am | |
Slneezy
Posts: 125
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If I were John Q Public on a League world I'd be asking why not 20000. The SLN has just gotten its ass handed to it on all levels - the apropriate answer is to build stuff up so the League can actually defend itself even if it doesn't recover its super-heavy status. The League had over 1700 worlds - even if over a third of them leave that still means New League will go over a thousand. Some of them will be as rich as Manticore - Earth's GDP (Gross System Product?) was something like 20% or 30% higher than Manticore's several years ago and then Oyster Bay happened. Manticore had a couple hundred SDs and DNs prior to the war with Haven plus the Junction forts and lighter units and etc, etc, etc. Then they built several hundred other SDs and SD(P)s and financed Grayson's buildup and etc, etc, etc. A thousand plus League with a 10000 SD(P) fleet would have less than 10 SD(P)s per planet. That's not a lot. Sure it'd be more expensive than the pittance the League previously threw in - but considering how badly the League has been hit by two entirely independent powers that's an expense they'll most likely want to make. |
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Re: -SPOILER- Uncompromising Honor - Likes and Don't Likes | |
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by Weird Harold » Thu May 17, 2018 4:38 am | |
Weird Harold
Posts: 4478
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How many countries currently feature Battleships -- dreadnought size or bigger, excluding aircraft carriers -- in their Navies? John Q Solly isn't going to worry about how many SDs the SLN has, he's going to worry about how much his taxes are going up to pay for them. The SLN Admiralty is going to look at the way four RMN CAs destroyed 90+ SLN BCs and one RMN Destroyer drove off the remaining 100+ ships. Dollar for dollar, the SLN can buy more combat power in Cruisers and more powerful missiles than they can in SDs. That doesn't mean they won't build a few pod-layer designs but they'll probably experiment with a BC(P) or Marksman/Arsenal design first. The SLN has had dramatic illustrations of how effective Cruisers and SysDef missile pods can be -- even with the FTL command modules trashed -- and equally dramatic illustrations of how vulnerable SDs can be. The minor detail that SD(p)s were used in the conquest of Sol system, is going to weigh less than the emotional impact of the many "lesser" defeats. I fully expect all of the Navies in the Honorverse to start looking at packing the most lethality into the smallest packages and wind up with a mix of CLACs, Destroyers and Cruisers that are as capable as present day SD(p)s. .
. . Answers! I got lots of answers! (Now if I could just find the right questions.) |
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Re: -SPOILER- Uncompromising Honor - Likes and Don't Likes | |
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by Joat42 » Thu May 17, 2018 4:49 am | |
Joat42
Posts: 2162
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I thought the GA already concluded that whoever did the sneak attacks did it just because they didn't have a lot of ships. And the GA already have enough information to draw a pretty good picture of what MAligns goals are, especially in light of all the information Firebrand had. The MAlign has in a sense painted themselves into a corner with the willful destruction of the habs in Beowulf. From this point on they must destroy the GA but at the same time they can't be associated with the RF because that would totally trash their plan for humanity. This means that if they build a large navy of spider ships they can never be used in support of the RF. When I think of the technological progression of warships in Honorverse it's a bit akin to going from tall ships era to early 1900's and the introduction of submarines with some wrinkles added in. I predict we will see an analogue of the Battle of the Atlantic where spider ships prey on merchant shipping until the GA comes up with an ftl "ASDIC" to detect the spiders. --- Jack of all trades and destructive tinkerer. Anyone who have simple solutions for complex problems is a fool. |
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Re: -SPOILER- Uncompromising Honor - Likes and Don't Likes | |
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by n7axw » Thu May 17, 2018 8:10 am | |
n7axw
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Yep. This makes the R&D in Bolthole the critical thing at the moment. Any asdic to detect the spiders will have to be ftl since they are playing games with hyper. I have this image of an ultra sensitive white surface with spider tracks going across it... Don - When any group seeks political power in God's name, both religion and politics are instantly corrupted.
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Re: -SPOILER- Uncompromising Honor - Likes and Don't Likes | |
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by Slneezy » Thu May 17, 2018 8:52 am | |
Slneezy
Posts: 125
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John Q Solly is going to get worried about security more than about the economy. Like sure there's going to be some economic upheaval but the sheer impact of a military defeat coupled by an intelligence fiasco of huge proportions is going to influence the public more than an extra 2% tax on their income. Frankly the inside of the Kuiper belt should feel like the peak of the Red Scare times a hundred. That's not an environment conductive to calm credit counting.
The neat trick about SD(P)s is that they're not that expensive. At their most basic they're an uparmored and heavily reinforced ammunition ship which can withstand enemy fire and profide fire control for its own missiles. They don't even require much new tech - the SLN can just load them with the current MDMs and they'll do just fine against anyone who isn't GA. For the matter they'll do resonably well against GA ships that stray within the MDM range. The emotional impact of the many lesser defeats isn't going to counter that when Manticore was serious (Manticore; Beowulf; Sol) they used SD(P)s to send a message. The League and especially its core worlds are used to seeing themselves as the big guys of the galaxy. They're almost certainly going to opt for a very serious navy. |
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Re: -SPOILER- Uncompromising Honor - Likes and Don't Likes | |
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by Theemile » Thu May 17, 2018 10:38 am | |
Theemile
Posts: 5241
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We know exactly what they had at the time of OB - They used EVERY active ship in the MAN had to pull off OB; fewer than 30 sharks, and about a dozen and a hslf Ghosts. At most 60 ships. Not 100, not 1000 and surely not 10,000. What's being built, of course, is another matter. ******
RFC said "refitting a Beowulfan SD to Manticoran standards would be just as difficult as refitting a standard SLN SD to those standards. In other words, it would be cheaper and faster to build new ships." |
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Re: -SPOILER- Uncompromising Honor - Likes and Don't Likes | |
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by George J. Smith » Thu May 17, 2018 11:28 am | |
George J. Smith
Posts: 873
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We the readers know, but the GA, Andies & SL don't. .
T&R GJS A man should live forever, or die in the attempt Spider Robinson Callahan's Crosstime Saloon (1977) A voice is heard in Ramah |
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Re: -SPOILER- Uncompromising Honor - Likes and Don't Likes | |
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by Vince » Fri May 18, 2018 12:37 am | |
Vince
Posts: 1574
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The RMN was able to determine, to a high degree of accuracy, the approximate numbers of the Mesan Alignment Navy ships used to carry out the Yawata strike, in their report to Queen Elizabeth: Italics are the author's, boldface is my emphasis. -------------------------------------------------------------
History does not repeat itself so much as it echoes. |
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Re: -SPOILER- Uncompromising Honor - Likes and Don't Likes | |
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by n7axw » Fri May 18, 2018 12:52 am | |
n7axw
Posts: 5997
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That quote doesn't really establish any precision on nymbers used in OB. But it does establish that Manticore believed that the numbers used were small, infering a smaller navy. White Haven's reasoning seems sound based on what Manticore knew at that moment in time.
It does not, however, provide any context for speculating how fast the MA navy is growing or when the first wave of major construction will clear the building slips in the shipyards...or how big that wave will be. Don - When any group seeks political power in God's name, both religion and politics are instantly corrupted.
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