Brigade XO wrote:Manticore has several huge advantages. Not the least of these is the massive amount of combat experienced Navy personnel. Then there is the recon stealth, the MDM, the ability to use the modern LACs as anti-missle defence as well as offensive weaponry, the RMN elecltronic countermeasures and the FTL commuications with all that it implies with ability to gather tactical data and then control said MDMs.
Your throwing scenarios. Another 500 SLN SDs is (well, perhaps not quite that many but still at least another Fillerlta size group), more than hinted at since there is that 2nd group staging behind Fillerta.
The readers know that it is now the GA covering Manticore. I don't quite know if Beowulf knows-and has passed on to the GA- that this second force is gathering or even if it's existance and purpose might have shown up in captured data from Fillerlta's group. What we can surmise is that while another 300 to 500 SDs (particulary if they are arriving unannounced) would be difficult for Manticore and the assisting RHN fleet, there are still a lot of current generation RMN system defence pods. What that sets up is an even worse engagement FOR BOTH SIDES if that force shows up without any early warning.
My take on that situation is that while Manticore probably survives, all three fleets are brutaly mauled. Without the set-piece disposition of the combined GA fleets the anti-missile defences are not as effective and as large if not larger force is hitting against a open stratigicly disbursed defending force so the concentrations favor the SLN and that takes a toll on the GA ships which are going to be engaged in a more piecemeal fashion as they react to the attack. Of course, that will also probably mean that fewer of the SLN ships (and their crews) survive as the defenders are more or less forced to go into a "kill what I can engage and shift to next target" there won't be a lot of surrenders being taken and a lot of what is rendered combat ineffective will have to wait a long time before anybody comes around looking for them. Presuming the GA successfully defends Manticore, searching out surviving SLN crews is going to be WAY down on their list of things to do.
Essentially this would be yet another Alignment manuver to crush Manticore (and at this point include a RHN fleet) and eradicate another significant portion of the SLN fleet and- perhaps more importantly- all those trained naval personnel. Break the League....killing all those Normals and destroying all those warships.
Much of this means nothing. First of all, in the text we know tehre were more than a quarter of a million pods set around Manticore. That could really devastate the Sollie fleet.
Also, you're assuming that MAlign wanted Manticore down. The big target for them was the League. What did the Empire have in the way of planets?
There were the original three plus San Martin. Then there were 13 in the Talbott Quadrant and some of those were rather backwards. They were not getting much more than resources from Silesia.
The League has over 1700 planets. Destroying Manticore and then Haven would make them STRONGER.