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The fate of the Dawn Star and the Archangels

This fascinating series is a combination of historical seafaring, swashbuckling adventure, and high technological science-fiction. Join us in a discussion!
Re: The fate of the Dawn Star and the Archangels
Post by n7axw   » Sun Aug 28, 2016 7:21 pm

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DMcCunney wrote:
Dilandu wrote:Aha, here it is:

3) Safehold is hundreds of light years beyond the Gbaba's sphere, and the overwhelming evidence at the time of the Gbaba's attack on humanity was that the Gbaba do not aggressively patrol beyond the borders of their own sphere. Rather, they react to incursions into their sphere with the equivalent of a "hot pursuit" response and the extermination of the interloper to be sure he'll never come back. This means that even if Safehold was radiating radio energy out the wahzoo, it would be centuries — quite a few of them, in fact — before any of their radiated energy could be detected by the Gbaba unless the Gbaba happened to be in the area looking for it.
Good, and thank you, but it still leaves questions.

The Gbaba encountered humanity and attacked. They continued attacking every time they encountered humanity, and went actively looking for more humanity. They located all of the TF colonies, and finally Earth itself, by following traces use of technology left behind.

Just what sort of trail were they following? Electricity is limited to speed of light, so it would take a long time for things like radio and TV transmissions to reach them, assuming the signals hadn't attenuated beyond detection level by the time they did reach a possible Gbaba observer.

There is brief mention in OAR of "hypercom", which is presumably an FTL communications system permitting TF colonies and Earth to talk to each other without sending ships carrying messages, but we have no details on it. If I had to make a guess they could detect and trace hypercom transmissions, and that was the breadcrumb trail they followed.

So, Gbaba aren't actually expanding. If they have any actual expanse, they wouldn't be so stagnant (and quite probably wouldn't be so agressive also). They basically live in their own corner of space, until they pick someone nearby.
Possible. But they are certainly willing to go beyond their own boundaries to hunt for and destroy other sentient species, witness what happened to Earth. They may not be expanding in the sense of new worlds to add to their polity, buy they might sweep well beyond it to look for potential future threats.

I'd be reluctant to bet the existence of humanity on the notion that they'd never venture into Safehold space.
_______
Dennis


Hi Dennis,

If we take our hint from RFC's post, the Gbaba aren't sweeping out looking for potential threats. The possibility Safehold was guarding against by going bush was that of hot pursuit in search of escapees from the TF's destruction. Once the period had passed in which that would be a danger, Safehold would be free to rebuild, cautiously, of course. IIRC, that period was 500 years.

There would be no concern that radio or electric signals would get back to give Safehold away. By the time they could make the trip, they would have faded below the galactic noise floor.

Don

-
When any group seeks political power in God's name, both religion and politics are instantly corrupted.
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Re: The fate of the Dawn Star and the Archangels
Post by Louis R   » Sun Aug 28, 2016 7:34 pm

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That would be the aggressive patrolling that the infodump suggests they don't engage in?

DMcCunney wrote:Possible. But they are certainly willing to go beyond their own boundaries to hunt for and destroy other sentient species, witness what happened to Earth. They may not be expanding in the sense of new worlds to add to their polity, buy they might sweep well beyond it to look for potential future threats.

I'd be reluctant to bet the existence of humanity on the notion that they'd never venture into Safehold space.
_______
Dennis
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Re: The fate of the Dawn Star and the Archangels
Post by DMcCunney   » Sun Aug 28, 2016 10:10 pm

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n7axw wrote:If we take our hint from RFC's post, the Gbaba aren't sweeping out looking for potential threats. The possibility Safehold was guarding against by going bush was that of hot pursuit in search of escapees from the TF's destruction. Once the period had passed in which that would be a danger, Safehold would be free to rebuild, cautiously, of course. IIRC, that period was 500 years.

There would be no concern that radio or electric signals would get back to give Safehold away. By the time they could make the trip, they would have faded below the galactic noise floor.

I'm not concerned that electromagnetic radiation from Safehold would attract the Gbaba. Given the apparent distance, I agree it would be below the noise floor.

But the Gbaba encountered humanity, swatted every vessel they encountered, then went looking for the nests. One by one, they found every Earth colony and destroyed it, and finally found and destroyed Earth.

What I'm interested in is how they found and destroyed the colonies and finally Earth. What sort of trail were they following?
_______
Dennis
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Re: The fate of the Dawn Star and the Archangels
Post by DMcCunney   » Sun Aug 28, 2016 10:16 pm

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Louis R wrote:
DMcCunney wrote:Possible. But they are certainly willing to go beyond their own boundaries to hunt for and destroy other sentient species, witness what happened to Earth. They may not be expanding in the sense of new worlds to add to their polity, buy they might sweep well beyond it to look for potential future threats.

I'd be reluctant to bet the existence of humanity on the notion that they'd never venture into Safehold space.
That would be the aggressive patrolling that the infodump suggests they don't engage in?

What counts as aggressive patrolling?

But even if they don't, I'd be really reluctant to bet the future of humanity on the idea that they would never come across Safehold.
_______
Dennis
Last edited by DMcCunney on Sun Aug 28, 2016 11:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The fate of the Dawn Star and the Archangels
Post by Louis R   » Sun Aug 28, 2016 11:02 pm

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Last time I checked, which admittedly is 30 years ago, so doctrine could have changed, most people would have regarded the effort you suggest as 'aggressive'.

AFAICT, the only people who don't fully share your reluctance are Langhorne, Bedard & Co. Although they do have a point, in that space is big and the probability of it happening is low, nobody around here has recently argued that it's low enough. Actually, the last time this was discussed it was pointed out that L&B had apparently totally ignored the fact that there's a significant possibility that _somebody_else_ could find the place - and might not be any friendlier than the Gbaba.


DMcCunney wrote:
Louis R wrote:That would be the aggressive patrolling that the infodump suggests they don't engage in?

What counts as aggressive patrolling?

But even if they don't, I'd be really reluctant to be the future of humanity on the idea that they would never come across Safehold.
_______
Dennis
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Re: The fate of the Dawn Star and the Archangels
Post by Joat42   » Mon Aug 29, 2016 6:48 am

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Randomiser wrote:
Joat42 wrote:I thought the memories from the PICA was re-integrated into the real person afterwards, ie. the person get 2 sets of memories for the same period. That was kind of the whole point, you could use the PICA to do insane stuff and then have the memories transferred back.


Yes and maybe. You get the PICA memories, it's just never been made explicit AFAIK what happens to the flesh and blood while those are being made. Two entirely valid sets of memories for the same time might be kind of schizophrenic.

I doubt that, memory doesn't work like that. A memory hasn't a specific "timestamp", it's more like a stored event.
Randomiser wrote:
Joat42 wrote:But there may be a bunch of personality-recordings stored somewhere. One of the suggestions on the out of order snippet was that Alexandria had a storage of many thousands of personality recordings which got obliterated in the first strike.


So what if there are no PICAs to put them in?

Well, the thought was to rebuild and expand the techbase. That means PICAs would eventually be available. Until then the stored personalities could always be interacted with in VR.

---
Jack of all trades and destructive tinkerer.


Anyone who have simple solutions for complex problems is a fool.
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Re: The fate of the Dawn Star and the Archangels
Post by DMcCunney   » Mon Aug 29, 2016 11:07 pm

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DMcCunney wrote:
Louis R wrote:That would be the aggressive patrolling that the infodump suggests they don't engage in?
What counts as aggressive patrolling?

But even if they don't, I'd be really reluctant to be the future of humanity on the idea that they would never come across Safehold.
Louis R wrote:Last time I checked, which admittedly is 30 years ago, so doctrine could have changed, most people would have regarded the effort you suggest as 'aggressive'.

I'm not sure sending out automated robot probes to sniff for traces of sentient life counts as "aggressive". I think the usual distinction applied involves whether you are sending actual "people" (of whatever description) out to patrol.

But then, the question is how the Gbaba would define it. I doubt our notions of doctrine would be applicable.

Agreed, though, once they decided they had eliminated humanity, they might not even send automated probes.

AFAICT, the only people who don't fully share your reluctance are Langhorne, Bedard & Co. Although they do have a point, in that space is big and the probability of it happening is low, nobody around here has recently argued that it's low enough. Actually, the last time this was discussed it was pointed out that L&B had apparently totally ignored the fact that there's a significant possibility that _somebody_else_ could find the place - and might not be any friendlier than the Gbaba.

I agree. I don't happen to think "Find a hole, crawl in it and hide, and pull the hole in after you" is a forever solution.

On that line, I was tickled by Fred Pohls "Heechee" novels. Humanity is traveling the stars using technology left behind by a long-vanished race called the HeeChee. We eventually learn where the HeeChee went. They detected a threat so enormous that they did did try to dive down a hole and pull it in after them, but the holes they dove into were black. :P
_______
Dennis
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Re: The fate of the Dawn Star and the Archangels
Post by Louis R   » Tue Aug 30, 2016 4:11 pm

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Wasn't one of them Blue?

DMcCunney wrote:On that line, I was tickled by Fred Pohls "Heechee" novels. Humanity is traveling the stars using technology left behind by a long-vanished race called the HeeChee. We eventually learn where the HeeChee went. They detected a threat so enormous that they did did try to dive down a hole and pull it in after them, but the holes they dove into were black. :P
_______
Dennis
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Re: The fate of the Dawn Star and the Archangels
Post by OrlandoNative   » Tue Aug 30, 2016 5:51 pm

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Louis R wrote:That would be the aggressive patrolling that the infodump suggests they don't engage in?

In OAR, it was noted that apparently the Gbaba had run across some variation of what the Federation tried (in attempting to send out secret colonizing expeditions just before the end) before.

If you've made an enemy out of a species by trying to exterminate it, it's probably wise to ensure you were actually successful in doing so. It might even be that one of those previous encounters had led to reprisals after those colonies got established. If so, then naturally some patrolling of the surrounding area might be a good idea. How far out you might want to go, *if* you decided to look at all, is the real question.
"Yield to temptation, it may not pass your way again."
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Re: The fate of the Dawn Star and the Archangels
Post by Joat42   » Wed Aug 31, 2016 2:56 am

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Louis R wrote:Wasn't one of them Blue?

DMcCunney wrote:On that line, I was tickled by Fred Pohls "Heechee" novels. Humanity is traveling the stars using technology left behind by a long-vanished race called the HeeChee. We eventually learn where the HeeChee went. They detected a threat so enormous that they did did try to dive down a hole and pull it in after them, but the holes they dove into were black. :P
_______
Dennis

One of the navigation controls for the star you wanted to travel to was color coded, maybe that's why you think of the black hole as blue.

---
Jack of all trades and destructive tinkerer.


Anyone who have simple solutions for complex problems is a fool.
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