US Presidential Candidates

Imaginos1892 wrote:You forget the idiots that would vote for a toad if it was a Democrat.

There are also those that would vote for a crow if it was a Republican.

Annachie wrote:Well yes that is modern politics. Around 80% of the electorate will vote their party no matter what.

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Annachie wrote:True ds, this US election looks to be an exception for President.

But I'm betting it will hold for further down the ballot.

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The sad part is that so many people today believe everything they hear and see from the liberal mainstream media. They take the reports as gospel.

DDHv wrote:Among other things described, a group of graduate students did their own poll: 1,000 people from each state, evenly divided between R, D, & I, and got much different results than the media polls. Ouch.

Unfortunately, "May you live in interesting times." seems to be happening, and is likely to be lethal for at least some of us

We’ve reached that stage of the campaign. The back-to-school commercials are on the air, and the “unskewing” of polls has begun — the quadrennial exercise in which partisans simply adjust the polls to get results more to their liking, usually with a thin sheen of math-y words to make it all sound like rigorous analysis instead of magical thinking.

...

Now the unskewers are back, again insisting that pollsters are “using” more Democrats than they should, and that the percentage of Democrats and Republicans should be equal, or that there should be more Republicans. They point to surveys like the recent one from ABC News and The Washington Post, in which 33 percent of registered voters identified as Democrats compared to 27 percent as Republicans. That poll found Hillary Clinton ahead by 8 percentage points.

But let’s say this plainly: The polls are not “skewed.” They weren’t in 2012, and they aren’t now.

The basic premise of the unskewers is wrong. Most pollsters don’t weight their results by party self-identification, which polls get by asking a question like “generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a….” Party identification is an attitude, not a demographic. There isn’t some national number from the government that tells us how many Democrats and Republicans there are in the country. Some states collect party registration data, but many states do not. Moreover, party registration is not the same thing as party identification. In a state like Kentucky, for example, there are a lot more registered Democrats than registered Republicans, but more voters identified as Republican in the 2014 election exit polls.

DDHv wrote:Don't ever forget the effects of media bias.

From:

http://constitution.com/trump-leading-6 ... 00-voters/

The sad part is that so many people today believe everything they hear and see from the liberal mainstream media. They take the reports as gospel.

Among other things described, a group of graduate students did their own poll: 1,000 people from each state, evenly divided between R, D, & I, and got much different results than the media polls. Ouch.

Unfortunately, "May you live in interesting times." seems to be happening, and is likely to be lethal for at least some of us

Annachie wrote:As always when talking about governments, "Yes Minister/Yes Prime Minister"

https://youtu.be/G0ZZJXw4MTA

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