kzt wrote:It's easy to show how a media property is a sure winner if you only look at the winners. And the people that run studios only invest in things they think are winners (or are low cost and ideologically correct). It turns out that they are not always right.
Let me remind you of some of the other SF/F films out there that you have somehow failed to mention:
John Carter lost $122 million dollars.
The most well known story of Japan, the 47 Ronin, was turned via the magic of Hollywood into a $150 million crater.
Green Lantern lost $90 million
Jupiter Ascending lost $87 million.
Treasure Planet lost $85 million.
Supernova lost $82 million.
Tomorrowland lost $76 million
Battlefield Earth lost $73 million
Red Planet lost $63 million
Sphere lost $61 million
And since I saw most of those you list, I could probably tell you *why*, too.
Many of them were "based" on novels written, in some cases, decades before, and, thus, the original story line/plot was well known to lots of people, not necessarily "hard core" science fiction readers. In most cases, the movie barely, if at all, followed the original story line. People who liked the original story went to see the movie, and it wasn't anywhere near what they expected. With the internet, that's all it took to discourage others from checking it out.
For that matter, even some movies that were adaptations of books that did well often leave out large portions of the book plot (think the Twilight Saga); but at least a good bit of what they did include was obviously based on the original story line. Some fans may not like having some of those chunks left out, but at least they recognize it's more of a device to fit the movie to a particular length of showtime rather that something totally different from what they expect.
Another case, in another genre, are the Bourne films. They don't follow Ludlum's Bourne plot really at all, but the action scenes rescued them to a large extent. That and popularity of the title character actor.
And yet another - The Sum of All Fears is totally different from the Tom Clancy novel it was allegedly based on. The novel had Arab terrorists, not neo-Nazis. The target city was Denver, not Baltimore. There was a middle east treaty in the book that is totally lacking in the movie; with prominent Saudi involvement. Chronologically, it's out of sequence from where the book is in the Ryan series. For Ryan to be that young, it would have to have been prior to or about the same time as Red Rabbit.