filbert
Lieutenant Commander
Posts: 143
Joined: Wed Oct 12, 2011 8:32 pm
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I'd point out that the SL has already been (counter-)attacked by the GA--and not just by Laocoon II.
Michelle Henke went and took out Meyers, and her fleet is in the process of "liberating" the entire Meyers Sector while she takes her little side trip over to Mesa.
Her strategy of punching out sector capitals, then dealing with the fallout, is de facto the current GA strategy.
Whether or not that continues to be the strategy remains to be seen.
However, the Mandarins are going to have to respond somehow (and sooner rather than later) not only to GA operations in the Shell and the Core, but also to GA fleets wandering around the Verge, punching out Solarian League sector capitals. Their actual capability for responding is extremely limited--almost to the point of being nonexistent--from what's been presented so far in the books.
It has already been amply demonstrated that the SL has zero capability to seriously threaten the Manticore system itself (or, I imagine, Haven or even Grayson).
They would be able to hurt Beowulf badly, but even should they do so, they would likely lose the greater part of their remaining offensive power, leaving the GA even more free to conduct operations in the Verge, Shell, and Core.
Meanwhile, does anybody doubt that Barregos will declare Maya independent? If the SL is lucky, Maya will declare neutrality in the GA-SL conflict. If it's unlucky, it will enter the conflict as a co-belligerent on the side of the GA.
And all of this is without considering the MAlign systems, all awaiting the moment when they'll break off to form their Renaissance Factor.
If I were the GA, I would target the most militarily significant sectors and systems of the SL, and apply economic, diplomatic, and (at a last resort) military pressure to have them declare at least neutrality in the conflict if not a break from the SL and signing on to the GA.
As a carrot, I'd form some kind of free-trade zone among the GA . . . lowered transit fees and tariffs, etc., etc. to try to entice those systems that aren't really getting much of value from the SL to come over. The economic stick would be NOT being in the GA Trade Association. I'd escalate all the way up to blockade for reticent, highly strategic worlds, but only after trying the economic and diplomatic soft sell.
Militarily, apart from neutralizing SLN fleets and raiders, I'd actually try to tread exceptionally lightly . . . except in the Verge, where I'd cheerfully and with malice rip up the entire Frontier Security system and replace it with home rule (where at all possible), enforced by GA task forces "ruling the stars." Trying very hard, of course, to not create an enormous version of Silesia, that is.
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