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A question about the battle of Saltash

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Re: A question about the battle of Saltash
Post by Vince   » Tue Apr 19, 2016 11:47 pm

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noblehunter wrote:And that information is: if they have anything heavier than a CA or they only have lighter units and you don't have SDs, run or surrender immediately.

Do we know if Rolands can take out Solly SDs? It might shorten the information just to: run or surrender.
Loren Pechtel wrote:They might not be able to one on one but that's more a matter of magazine size than anything else.

We saw that Sollie missile defense is basically ineffective against two-stage missiles at this point. Mantie warheads on even light missiles are at least capital-ship strength by Sollie standards.

The Mantie EW takes down a wave of countermissiles and there isn't time for another shot, the countermissiles do basically nothing regardless of the number fired. It all comes down to the laser clusters (and not all Sollie SDs even have them!) and now that their EW has been totally compromised even they don't do much.

Thus it comes down to whether the SD is destroyed before the Roland's magazines run out. I would expect the answer to be yes but by no means would I call it certain.
darrell wrote:Here is my logical guess: (an organized way to go wrong with confidence)
It takes on the order of 200 capital ship missiles hitting a target to mission kill a SD. Mk-16 missile warheads are not as powerful as capital ship missile warheads so would need at a guess 500 Mk-16 hits.

At a guess, SL SD point defense could probably handle 25-50 MK-16 warheads.

5-rolands would give two double broadside salvo's of 120 missiles, of which there will be 15 dazzlers, 15 dragons teeth and 90 attack missiles. The SD would take out 36, meaning that 54 would hit, so would need on average about 9 salvo's to kill a solly SD, using up most of its ammo.

There is no kill like overkill:
Mission of Honor, Chapter 22 wrote:Of the 12,288 standard Mark 23s in that stupendous initial launch, fully one quarter—just over three thousand—were EW platforms. The remaining nine thousand plus were distributed over twenty-three of Sandra Crandall’s seventy-one superdreadnoughts. Experience against the Republic of Haven indicated that two hundred to two hundred and fifty Mark 23 hits would destroy—or mission-kill, at least—even the latest Havenite SD(P) . . . ​which was why Fire Plan Alpha had allocated four hundred missiles to each of its targets.

***Snip***

Of the ninety-two hundred Mark 23 attack birds in Aivars Terekhov’s Alpha launch, Sandra Crandall’s task force managed to stop exactly one thousand and seven. The other 8,209 got through.
Italics are the author's, boldface and underlined text is my emphasis.

Target allocation for the first volley at Spindle was 23 SLN SDs. Only 9 SLN SDs survived as hulks--the rest were turned into expanding clouds of plasma and debris. If we assume that all the missiles that were stopped were intercepted solely by the SDs that were targeted (completely ignoring the efforts of all the rest of the SDs as well as the screen), then the targeted SLN SDs intercepted on average between 43 and 44 missiles.

A SLN Scientist is NOT equivalent to a modern RHN SD(P). It probably isn't even equivalent to an older model PRN DN.

In terms of tonnage the Scientist is approximately equal to the RMN DN Bellerophon class.

In terms of combat capability (offensive & defensive weapons fit, fire control and ECM capability) as well as design {armoring, cofferdam and compartmentalization layout} the Scientist is not even remotely in the same class.

It's better than a RHN BB, but probably inferior to even a PRN DN.

As MaxxQ pointed out, the Mark 16 Mod G is less powerful than the Mark 23. However, it is more powerful than the heaviest SLN (non-pod launched) capital missiles.
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Re: A question about the battle of Saltash
Post by kzt   » Wed Apr 20, 2016 12:01 am

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The Scientist is a 200 year old design. It was perfectly adequate until about 20 years ago.
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Re: A question about the battle of Saltash
Post by Jonathan_S   » Wed Apr 20, 2016 12:38 am

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kzt wrote:The Scientist is a 200 year old design. It was perfectly adequate until about 20 years ago.

Well perfectly adequate given reasonable advantage in tonnage.

Even in 1902 PD I think an equal tonnage of Scientist-class SDs would lose, noticeably more often than not, against Sphinx-class SDs or even Bellerophon-class DNs.

Fortunately the SLN of that era had a more than sufficient advantage in tonnage to offset their individual inferiority.
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Re: A question about the battle of Saltash
Post by kzt   » Wed Apr 20, 2016 12:43 am

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Jonathan_S wrote:Fortunately the SLN of that era had a more than sufficient advantage in tonnage to offset their individual inferiority.

Exactly. It was not an optimal design or even (anymore) a particularly good design, but it was adequate given they way they intended to deploy them.
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Re: A question about the battle of Saltash
Post by Weird Harold   » Wed Apr 20, 2016 10:18 am

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darrell wrote:Here is my logical guess: (an organized way to go wrong with confidence)
It takes on the order of 200 capital ship missiles hitting a target to mission kill a SD. Mk-16 missile warheads are not as powerful as capital ship missile warheads so would need at a guess 500 Mk-16 hits.


As noted in the quote above, the reference is to "even the latest Havenite SD(P)" which does NOT equate to "SLN SD."

However, it is probable that 200 SLN capital missiles would be sufficient to take out a SLN SD; MK-16Gs are roughly equivalent to SLN capital missiles, so 200-250 MK-16G missiles should at least mission-kill a SLN SD. Manticoran Pen-aids like Dazzlers and Dragon's Teeth will probably reduce that by a significant percentage. Probably not reduced enough for a single Roland to match up with a Scientist-class but probably enough for a division of Rolands to take on singletons or pairs of SLN SDs.
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Answers! I got lots of answers!

(Now if I could just find the right questions.)
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Re: A question about the battle of Saltash
Post by noblehunter   » Wed Apr 20, 2016 10:27 am

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For the record, the discussion is not if DDs can destroy SDs but whether or not they can do it before they run out of missiles.

Does that strike anybody else as a little bit nuts?
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Re: A question about the battle of Saltash
Post by The E   » Wed Apr 20, 2016 10:33 am

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Not really, no... After all, it's what happens when paradigms shift completely; The same discussion could be had (and has been had) about whether or not a modern guided missile destroyer can kill (or mission kill) a WW2 battleship.
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Re: A question about the battle of Saltash
Post by saber964   » Wed Apr 20, 2016 10:42 am

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It depends whose SD's are being shot at. SLN SD's would be in a world of hurt being hit by Mk16, remember the mk16 has the hitting power equal to capital missile circa 1905 PD which is roughly where the SLN SD are at.
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Re: A question about the battle of Saltash
Post by Hutch   » Wed Apr 20, 2016 11:01 am

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kzt wrote:
Loren Pechtel wrote:But the US of 1941 isn't the Sollies. The Sollies don't like to upset the applecart. And they're not going to develop such officers at present because they're so overmatched. Anyone with the potential to become a good officer is almost certainly going to see the writing on the wall and do whatever the Manties command, up to and including scuttling. That's going to get them demoted or cashiered, not promoted.

They have two options, change or lose. Surrender now is certainly an option, and time'a wasting if they are not going to change. And the head of the SLN knows this. Even Czarist Russia found some effective leaders.


Fair point, kzt, but another word you use is more to the heart of the matter: Time.

The ISLN command may finally have figured out (post-Filareta) exactly how deep they are in the cow patties, but Saltash noted that lots of FF (and probably a fair amount of BF) still are not aware of just how outgunned (and out-skilled) they are.

Getting that knowledge out AND then identifying and promoting the right officers is going to consume time (heck, even the Czar had the telegraph, so he could relieve Generals in less than a day.

And right now the GA does not seem to be in the mood to grant them that time. Unlike the long, drawn-out slog to occupy systems that constituted the bulk of the PRH war, it appears that Honor/Theisman/et. al. are prepared to do a Guderian/Rommel act, with the SL playing the part of France.

We shall see. Eventually.

IMHO as always. YMMV.
Last edited by Hutch on Wed Apr 20, 2016 1:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: A question about the battle of Saltash
Post by drothgery   » Wed Apr 20, 2016 11:43 am

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saber964 wrote:It depends whose SD's are being shot at. SLN SD's would be in a world of hurt being hit by Mk16, remember the mk16 has the hitting power equal to capital missile circa 1905 PD which is roughly where the SLN SD are at.

It's worse than that for the SLN. Their warships are effectively pre-laserhead designs. The RMN started rolling out designed-for-laserhead ships with the Star Knight in the 1880s.
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