SharkHunter wrote:Keep in mind that a substantial part of Eighth Fleet at that time were Grayson ships, I'd say yes: Grayson could have probably taken Capitol fleet and the Haven system, but not the entire Republic. So the question would then be, would Yeltsin itself get "Boltholed" unilaterally by the remainder of the PRN afterwards, a not insignificant consideration.
The second problem is that any attack on Noveau Paris and Capitol Fleet would likely have to originate in Trevor's Star, and that would require Manticoran cooperation, which by constitutional law would not have been forthcoming. Acting unilaterally in this would have in fact fractured the Alliance.
I'm not sure the PRN could have "boltholed" Grayson, part of the reason they even truly developed podnoughts was because Foraker had actually seen the inside of the Wayfarer, and from the bridge command plots during the breaking of Warnecke.
And then she was with Second Fleet sitting in orbit of Lovat, which was the Eighth Fleet's next target before the stand-down order was received. If Grayson had decided to keep pushing, they would have consolidated purely Grayson units, and then gone on to smash Haven's Second Fleet, possibly with the death of Foraker, Tourville and/or Giscard.
And then with Eighth Fleet already pushed through so deep into Haven space, Grayson really didn't need to use the Junction. 2 week trip to get to Manticore, versus 3 months to get to Trevor's Star directly.
And with the Alliance, Grayson could have forced the issue of having every military right to send their warships through the Junction with priority, exactly like they did immediately prior to Thunderbolt. If Janacek threw his fit, and High Ridge tried to bring politicial pressure to bear, that might have been enough to cause Elizabeth to take action.
Elizabeth only stood back because she expected High Ridge's political alliances to tear themselves apart. If High Ridge started taking actions that would tear the Alliance apart, especially when Erewhon would shortly also be raising their complaints. Elizabeth would step in and essentially say "damn the constitutional crisis, you are ruining MY kingdom's military needs for YOUR political self-importance."