Laenole
Lieutenant (Junior Grade)
Posts: 25
Joined: Sun Dec 30, 2012 6:49 pm
Location: Tucson, AZ
|
The discussion so far has been very interesting. I appreciate the thoughts of all the contributors.
IMHO, there should be a firm definition of what is meant by conversion. Conversion should not be defined as a change of all Safeholdians religion to that of the Church of Charis. This is not being sought. In fact it would be categorically opposed by Maikel Staynair and the inner and outer circle of the Brethren of Saint Zherneau.
What is needed by Charis and Niume (in all incarnations) is simple. No organization should have the power to control the behavior or beliefs of all the people. Obviously, a given religion has the power to define its belief system. But, it should not have the power to impose that system on those who do not share it. This is the definition of conversion that I think best applies.
Following the defeat of the Group of Four and the Temple, there is likely to be multiple splits in the religious beliefs of the populous. Many, probably most, will still believe in the proscriptions against technology. Some will probably turn to a strict adherence to the original interpretations of the proscriptions. These may form communities, perhaps even states that bar the use of any proscribed tech in their area. With the technology thus allowed along with the high yield plants that Shan-wei left Safehold, they should have comfortable lives at least comparable to the PA Amish. Like the Amish, their long term problem will be the need for more land for their expanding population.
Other groups will form with a range of beliefs on technology all the way to that of Charis. National churches may form, but this could be hindered by the Church of God’s policy of limiting the number of native priests in mainland countries.
In reaction to the Temple’s excesses, a strong anticlerical, perhaps anti religious movement might evolve. This happened in France after the Revolution. As the Church is mainly identified with the nobility in Harchong, this might occur there. A radical regime might evolve and be the source of the next major war on Safehold. This antireligious movement might be especially radical if it takes power after the Reveal of the true history of Safehold.
The fundamentalist anti-tech forces might become extremely militant. They might not see Langhorne as an Archangel anymore, but as a fallen Prophet. His anti-tech dogma might be seen as inspired by God. But Langhorne and his cohorts may be seen failing due to the taint of the technology they used. The policy of these forces might range from separation, to peaceful protest, to terrorism. A group might resort to holy war. They could use banned tech claiming that it would be eventually destroyed.
The likely multiplicity of belief systems on Safehold, which may explode exponentially after the Reveal, poses problems for fulfilling Niume’s goals. If the Gbaba are not expanding their domain, a low energy profile planet should be safe from them. Ordinary people can live long comfortable lives without space travel and the threat of war and possible extinction.
If, as I believe, the Gaba are expanding their territory, the question is how fast. With only the limited data on the Terran Federation’s expansion, you can derive a linear formula that predicts the Gbaba will not show up for almost 100 million years. On the other hand, if you use an exponential growth formula (like a species without competition expanding to its resource limits) the Gbaba could dominate the local group of galaxies. With the linear expansion is there really a need to go to space? With the exponential model, going to space would be suicide. Unless, the true expansion rate is known, future Safehold generations may decide going to space is not worth it. Arguments for going to space are of course possible. But, in the absence of facts they are not necessarily compelling.
Laenole "All that glitters is not gold"
|