Somtaaw wrote:Case of fire already passed, Manticore's making a point of stepping away from Beowulf to give the illusion they're not forcing the vote.
Having forces stealthed, that drop their stealth to do anything less than outright destroy an incoming Solarian fleet, and a 100% destruction with zero survivors at that, becomes a propaganda master's wet dream.
With that sort of 'evidence' of Manty 'foul-play', the Solarian League instantly gets plenty of propaganda showing how Manticore uses violence, and threat of same, to manipulate others. And that the Solarian League is only doing the proper and humane thing by fighting them, and so on and so forth. And all the League had to do, was send a large task force they were already going to send. If it worked and they took over Beowulf, they can spin the vote to show Beowulf didn't really want to secede from the League (Manty force!), they lose a whole fleet (Manty aggression!), or they discover stealthed units that threatened them off (Manty aggression and arrogance!)
No matter how Manticore tries to play it, if they engage openly in any format.... they lose in propaganda wars. Even though those-in-the-know already lean towards Manticore, and those in the Shell or Verge do as well, all the Core Worlds believe the propaganda from the Mandarins. That's why both the Beowulfan and Manticoran embassies were getting mobbed and such... people (and a large majority at that) believe the lies.
in the unfortunate case of a minefield, nothing that was openly Manticoran, or even a Manticoran Auxiliary, engaged at all. There's very little that can be spun there, you could argue that since mines are little more than missile warheads with no impeller drives it's obviously Manty weaponry... but Manticore's already shown the Mandarins they don't need to be deceptive to wreck whole fleets. Filareta, Crandall, and Byng all being dead from Manticoran units firing openly, and records of such being provided openly to the Mandarins.
Case of fire already passed, Manticore's making a point of stepping away from Beowulf to give the illusion they're not forcing the vote.
****** *
Case of fire has NOT passed. 'Case of fire' is when missiles have flown and 10M lay dead!
The GA isn't giving the
illusion of anything. Nor should she. Beowulf will vote as they please. In fact, politically, the GA
shouldn't give the
illusion of anything, but continue to place its cards on the table in a straightforward manner as it has always done regarding the League. No need to adopt 'smoke and mirrors' tactics 'politically', unless they've got something to hide, because later that something can backfire. The GA just needs to keep its nose clean -
politically. Barring incompetent military preparation to protect millions of lives.
Having forces stealthed, that drop their stealth to do anything less than outright destroy an incoming Solarian fleet, and a 100% destruction with zero survivors at that, becomes a propaganda master's wet dream.
Now's your chance to enter into exhibit something that's 'already past.' The Sollies have long been given enough political smut to cause that effect. They've already had their wet PR dreams and have already enjoyed multiple orgasms -- Byng thinking that the RMN destroyed a civilian space station. Crandall? being denied passage through Beowulf junction. Beowulf wanting to secede after being assisted by a Manty fleet. Filareta being taken to task. I'm afraid that ship's done sailed a round trip!
With that sort of 'evidence' of Manty 'foul-play', the Solarian League instantly gets plenty of propaganda showing how Manticore uses violence, and threat of same, to manipulate others. And that the Solarian League is only doing the proper and humane thing by fighting them, and so on and so forth. And all the League had to do, was send a large task force they were already going to send. If it worked and they took over Beowulf, they can spin the vote to show Beowulf didn't really want to secede from the League (Manty force!), they lose a whole fleet (Manty aggression!), or they discover stealthed units that threatened them off (Manty aggression and arrogance!)
No matter how Manticore tries to play it, if they engage openly in any format.... they lose in propaganda wars. Even though those-in-the-know already lean towards Manticore, and those in the Shell or Verge do as well, all the Core Worlds believe the propaganda from the Mandarins. That's why both the Beowulfan and Manticoran embassies were getting mobbed and such... people (and a large majority at that) believe the lies.
Indeed! No matter how the good kid plays it, the bully is going to conveniently assume what he may. So the proper thing to do is to look out for himself and discharge his responsibilites. Dammit, they've been using Honor's phrase forever, now is another time to heed its meaning, BE ABOUT IT!
You ever seen the movie "Tank" with James Garner? Basic synopsis... James Garner owns his own Sherman Tank. He uses it to break out his framed son and rescue him from a red neck cracker of a sheriff. The plan is to drive that tank across the state line to the real authorities. "But a Sherman tank is not a fuel frugal Toyota, I'm telling you. It ain't a long ways to empty on a Sherman tank," says the redneck sheriff who places guards at every gas station in that small town. However, a private individual supplied Garner with gas and food somewhere in the back country. A scorned sheriff implies -- during a live tv interview -- that the lone wolf citizen was going to receive a bit of negative feedback later that night. Well, James Garner returned the favor and brought his tank to that house burning party and scattered the lynching posse because he overheard the tv interview and accepted his moral responsibility. But I digress...
Beowulf is supplying gas to the Harrington plan. And psychologically, their longtime relationship with Manticore has encouraged them and given them the moral and military support to finally leave their abusive husband. But now, the GA cannot fail in realizing its responsibility in laying down covering fire for the secession. To fail in that goal will not only fire a broadside into the Harrington plan but will place a black mark on what the RMN has always stood for. That should be the GA's main concern -- the many lives that they know from a shadow of a doubt from the last encounter at Beowulf that are in jeopardy and protecting the Harrington plan from burning, in the eyes of all those member states wanting to follow. The weight of the entire Harrington plan is on the shoulders of what happens at Beowulf. The GA, led by the moral high ground of the RMN, must not deviate from their MO and remove their eye from the ball. As you've said, everyone who counts, already knows the truth and can sort the chaff from the wheat and will also be able to do the same sorting after Beowulf -- come what may, as long as the GA doesn't try to deviate from who they are.
in the unfortunate case of a minefield, nothing that was openly Manticoran, or even a Manticoran Auxiliary, engaged at all. There's very little that can be spun there, you could argue that since mines are little more than missile warheads with no impeller drives it's obviously Manty weaponry... but Manticore's already shown the Mandarins they don't need to be deceptive to wreck whole fleets. Filareta, Crandall, and Byng all being dead from Manticoran units firing openly, and records of such being provided openly to the Mandarins.
I don't disagree with your use of mines or its implication that the GA must do something. I question the fact that you seem to rely on it being adequate protection. If the current mutated strain of the Ebola virus that seems to be affecting US citizens and causing them to walk into filled rooms and start loosing ordnance suddenly infects the League and they hyper in-systen and begin to do the same, mines ain't gonna be an effective deterrent. In fact, it may be miscontrued even worse than the Giselle incident, to be an attack from Beowulf. And we all know what happens when the SLN improperly assesses an 'incident." This is the end game for Beowulf and many lives are at stake. For Beowulf and the GA to not implement 'proper' contingency plans to protect an entire planet (
and especially after becoming privy to Frontier Fleet's infamous 'Contingency Plans') is an all encompassing, mixed bag of NUTS and morally irresponsible! It would supercede in history any tactical blunder that Santino or Janacek ever did. Well, perhaps not Janacek's, but it'd at least equal him. And if 10M die w/o a proper tactical contingent emplaced with obsessive regard to 'lives' in lieu of 'appearance,' then after this
Germai
ne hollowcause, then just as Janacek, someone should take a self inflicted bullet to the head.
And if this 'don't shoot until they shoot' policy is implemented 'in this case' to mirror the atrocious expense of lives to fuel their goals in martyr-ess fashion, as was the MO of that guiltless MAlign double copper-plated super bitch who orchestrated the Giselle incident, then the blood of 10M lives are on the hands of Beowulf and I cannot see the GA being an accomplice to that.
MOREOVER, if any history books that are born in the aftermath records that "the 10M lives that were lost was kept below 100M because the GA was in position, and owed to the staple of Manty talent (that has kept
them alive against Haven) of properly reading and preparing for aggression," is far more acceptable to "10M lost because of GA incompetence."
All of this falls under my 'tinfoil hat' of an opinion.