kzt wrote:Somtaaw wrote:400%.... whoah. Oooookay, I understated by quite a bit then. And I think that's just the superdreadnoughts in reserve, we have little to no information on how much of a reserve screen there really is available.
Even if we ballpark Manticoran fleet ratios of roughly 1:1 ratio of heavy cruisers to SDs, and perhaps 2:1 to 4:1 for the light cruisers and destroyers.... mind = blown
Exactly how they would come up with the screen is also 'a bit vague'. David has said there are lighter ships in the reserve but not anything close to the numbers you would need. SLN also runs light on screen per doctrine, but essentially it seems the BF "plans" (if you dignify what little planning seems to have been done) proposed dragooning all of FF to provide the screen. The practicality of this might be questioned by some...
If they'd ever run exercises for that, if they'd kept FF up to strength, if they'd kept FF near BF bases... the plan may have been sound.
For that matter, if technology didn't change much, or not beyond what practical Reserve refits could track, and if they had and kept up to date plans to crew it, it'd be a fine very long-term response to the possibility of Armageddon coming with "only" four or more years of warning, or if it came suddenly but worked slowly enough that the Reserve could be activated to keep up with and exceed active fleet losses.
Unfortunately, none of those conditions obtained.
In a way, it's hard to blame them. For hundreds of years, a serious fight for the League was inconceivable and warfighting technology was going nowhere. The laserhead changed that, slowly; the pressures of the Havenite Wars changed it quickly; and the Alignment and OFS business as usual got the League stuck with a conflict it could otherwise have avoided. They could have seen it coming - if not for the expectations that hundreds of years of history had made pure reflex anymore. There wasn't any imperative to have realistic war plans or to assess new technologies objectively and thoroughly, so the ability to do so atrophied, to the extent it ever developed. The League, even the SLN, had better things to do, things that, on the basis of their long experience, really did make a difference. (Mind you, they were frequently criminal things, so
there's a fine place to sling blame!)