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Spoiler Alert!!! New book possibilities/probabilities

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Re: Spoiler Alert!!! New book possibilities/probabilities
Post by munroburton   » Sun Oct 25, 2015 6:03 am

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Roguevictory wrote:Why do so many people think the Alignment would want an Eridani Edict violation? Sure it would help fragment the League but the last thing the Alignment wants is humanity bombing itself to extinction or the stone age. Hell they don;t even want Beowulf wiped out because they want it around to be forced to admit the Leonard Detweiler was right when their plan is complete.


How else do you provoke half of colonised space into fighting the other half? Currently, it's about 10% of the Verge up against perhaps 75% of the League.

There's textev of Alignment operatives and leaders feeling bad about killing a few thousands or millions, then suppressing it because they know billions more will die before their plan is completed.

These are the kind of people who would nuke their homes, their neighbours to cover their trails, now forced to improvise on an interstellar scale.

According to people who have heard it from the author, ten million Beowulfans will die - that's not "wiped out" any more than Oyster Bay wiped Manticore out. Beowulf has a population in the billions. Ten million sounds like a large city to me.

I think there's some confusion as to what an EE violation is. It's simply the act of bombarding a planet when you do not control the space around it and have not requested the government to surrender.

Whether you kill a hungry child scavenging for supplies or exterminate every living creature on the surface and boil the oceans, you have already crossed the line.

The MA may have a problem with how the GA is currently behaving. It's being very, very reasonable and bending over backwards to minimise Solarian casualties where there was very little risk to Manticoran lives, has its ambassador beg the Solarian bureaucrats to change their minds, fighting a propaganda battle instead of tearing through the SLN like a hurricane of destruction.

The MA may see no option but trying to smear someone as the perpetrator of a major EE violation, instantly polarising opinions everywhere.
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Re: Spoiler Alert!!! New book possibilities/probabilities
Post by Valen123456   » Sun Oct 25, 2015 3:06 pm

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Roguevictory wrote:Why do so many people think the Alignment would want an Eridani Edict violation? Sure it would help fragment the League but the last thing the Alignment wants is humanity bombing itself to extinction or the stone age. Hell they don;t even want Beowulf wiped out because they want it around to be forced to admit the Leonard Detweiler was right when their plan is complete.


Actually that would do quite nicely for them. Your right about making Beowulf watch as their plans succeed but remember what they want is too replace the Solarian League and then establish all their genetic enhancement programs to make sure that the human race steadily evolves into their idealized "genetically uplifted" versions. If something can be put into the mix (be it Edict violating planetary bombardments, warship/fleet disasters, mysterious bio-weapons etc.) that starts killing off the "normal's" in job-lots then their Renaissance Factor can get a good public relations image by being there to help the poor suffering planets/victims recover, and coincidentally get their people into places (both government and scientific) that enable or are receptive too their later uplift programs.
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Re: Spoiler Alert!!! New book possibilities/probabilities
Post by SYED   » Sun Oct 25, 2015 3:28 pm

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The thing is if they start striking planets, it risks the collapse of the league being filled by similar acts against each other.. While they want the league to fall, they want the remains to be intact, not destroyed due to mass destruction.
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Re: Spoiler Alert!!! New book possibilities/probabilities
Post by Weird Harold   » Sun Oct 25, 2015 4:38 pm

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SYED wrote:The thing is if they start striking planets, it risks the collapse of the league being filled by similar acts against each other.. While they want the league to fall, they want the remains to be intact, not destroyed due to mass destruction.


I get the impression the MAlign doesn't care a great deal about mass destruction or how numerous the survivors are. What they care about is that they control whatever is left.

It would suit their purposes just as well if they could replicate Bewulf's rescue of Mother Earth (and any other successor-states) from the ravages of germ and genetic warfare. That might actually be preferable and wouldn't necessarily have to involve an Eridani Edict violation.
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Re: Spoiler Alert!!! New book possibilities/probabilities
Post by drothgery   » Sun Oct 25, 2015 11:21 pm

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SYED wrote:The thing is if they start striking planets, it risks the collapse of the league being filled by similar acts against each other.. While they want the league to fall, they want the remains to be intact, not destroyed due to mass destruction.

It risks the destruction of the human race, not merely the collapse of the League. No sane state in the Honorverse wants a universe where EE violations are considered acceptable.
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Re: Spoiler Alert!!! New book possibilities/probabilities
Post by Michael Everett   » Mon Oct 26, 2015 12:28 am

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drothgery wrote:
SYED wrote:The thing is if they start striking planets, it risks the collapse of the league being filled by similar acts against each other.. While they want the league to fall, they want the remains to be intact, not destroyed due to mass destruction.

It risks the destruction of the human race, not merely the collapse of the League. No sane state in the Honorverse wants a universe where EE violations are considered acceptable.

I'm sorry.
You're arguing that a centuries old plan to replace humanity by genetically designed Upliftees is, at the basic level, sane?
The MAlign wouldn't have got as far as it has without a core of fanaticism/insanity driving it.
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Re: Spoiler Alert!!! New book possibilities/probabilities
Post by cthia   » Mon Oct 26, 2015 3:25 am

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drothgery wrote:
SYED wrote:The thing is if they start striking planets, it risks the collapse of the league being filled by similar acts against each other.. While they want the league to fall, they want the remains to be intact, not destroyed due to mass destruction.

It risks the destruction of the human race, not merely the collapse of the League. No sane state in the Honorverse wants a universe where EE violations are considered acceptable.

Michael Everett wrote:I'm sorry.
You're arguing that a centuries old plan to replace humanity by genetically designed Upliftees is, at the basic level, sane?
The MAlign wouldn't have got as far as it has without a core of fanaticism/insanity driving it.

I have essentially been trying to make this same point since my early participation in discussions re the MAlign. Accurate or no, the MAlign strikes me as the Honorverse equivalent of Adolf Hitler and his master race. There was brilliance in some of Hitler's planning and thinking as well — somewhere at the fringes of his insanity. A master race, indeed. Earth of present continues to remain stymied by this Aryan concept of superiority.

Make no mistake. At its fringes is a maelstrom of madness -- born of a delusion that blinds and focuses the vision to that one goal. Centuries of planning and deception to achieve this end, does not imply intelligence or cough circumscription; it is a paragon of psychosis.

After centuries of planning, would the MAlign stop short of Eridani Edicts if it is determined to be their only path to success?

Surely... Hitler stopped short of mass genocide — the end shall justify the means.

Between 1935 and 1945, there were born some 10,000 children in Germany and an estimated 9,000 in Norway as part of a Nazi genetic engineering plan to build up an Aryan ‘master-race’ or super-breed of humanity. This scheme was known as the Lebensborn or ‘Fountain of Life’ program. Special clinics were set up where SS men1 were encouraged to mate with blue-eyed, blonde Nordic girls who had no Jewish ancestry, in order to produce ‘racially pure’ German offspring. The resultant babies were then brought up in the foster care of dedicated Nazi couples or reared in special orphanages.

There were at least ten Lebensborn homes in Germany, and nine in Nazi-occupied Norway, where the unmarried pregnant women could give birth in secret away from their homes. The babies were christened in a ritual in which an SS dagger was held over them as the mother swore allegiance to Nazi ideology. If any of the children born into the program were disabled, they were killed or sent to concentration camps.

The babies were christened in a ritual in which an SS dagger was held over them as the mother swore allegiance to Nazi ideology.

http://creation.com/hitlers-master-race ... their-past

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Re: Spoiler Alert!!! New book possibilities/probabilities
Post by Jonathan_S   » Mon Oct 26, 2015 9:31 am

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cthia wrote:I have essentially been trying to make this same point since my early participation in discussions re the MAlign. Accurate or no, the MAlign strikes me as the Honorverse equivalent of Adolf Hitler and his master race. There was brilliance in some of Hitler's planning and thinking as well — somewhere at the fringes of his insanity. A master race, indeed. Earth of present continues to remain stymied by this Aryan concept of superiority.

Make no mistake. At its fringes is a maelstrom of madness -- born of a delusion that blinds and focuses the vision to that one goal. Centuries of planning and deception to achieve this end, does not imply intelligence or cough circumscription; it is a paragon of psychosis.

After centuries of planning, would the MAlign stop short of Eridani Edicts if it is determined to be their only path to success?

Surely... Hitler stopped short of mass genocide — the end shall justify the means.

If they believed it was the only path to victory, then maybe. But even Hitler refrained from using chemical or biological weapons against the Allied powers. They might have helped him, but the likelihood of similar retaliation made it too risky.

Similarly in the Honorverse its too easy to kill planets. The Eridani Edict really serves two purposes: it discourages people from making such attacks (by attempting to guarantee that they'll gain nothing long term from them) and provides a framework for response to any that do still occur other than retaliatory strikes.

But the absense of the SLN to enforce the edict removes both halves of that equation. Yes, they may not come in overwhelming force to seize your government and parts of your military and convict them all of crimes against humanity. But it means your victim won't necessarily feel restrained from launching even a suicidal retalatory strike (if/when they ever figure out where you are). The fear of mutual destruction should still keep most people from launching such strikes.


Now the MAlign might feel that since Darius is secret that they have no fear of retaliation. Which seems true enough, at least in the short term. But the collapse of the League is unlikely to change how people feel about someone who would deliberately carry out an Edict violation. The MAlign has to worry that if it comes out in the future that they did that, that could unify the rest of space to temporarily put down their grievence and mistrust until they collectively deal with the threat of a government/movement/military that embraces planetary genocide...

So there's a very large long term risk to using that particular tool to help fracture the League.
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Re: Spoiler Alert!!! New book possibilities/probabilities
Post by cthia   » Mon Oct 26, 2015 11:15 am

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Jonathan_S wrote:
cthia wrote:I have essentially been trying to make this same point since my early participation in discussions re the MAlign. Accurate or no, the MAlign strikes me as the Honorverse equivalent of Adolf Hitler and his master race. There was brilliance in some of Hitler's planning and thinking as well — somewhere at the fringes of his insanity. A master race, indeed. Earth of present continues to remain stymied by this Aryan concept of superiority.

Make no mistake. At its fringes is a maelstrom of madness -- born of a delusion that blinds and focuses the vision to that one goal. Centuries of planning and deception to achieve this end, does not imply intelligence or cough circumscription; it is a paragon of psychosis.

After centuries of planning, would the MAlign stop short of Eridani Edicts if it is determined to be their only path to success?

Surely... Hitler stopped short of mass genocide — the end shall justify the means.

If they believed it was the only path to victory, then maybe. But even Hitler refrained from using chemical or biological weapons against the Allied powers. They might have helped him, but the likelihood of similar retaliation made it too risky.

Similarly in the Honorverse its too easy to kill planets. The Eridani Edict really serves two purposes: it discourages people from making such attacks (by attempting to guarantee that they'll gain nothing long term from them) and provides a framework for response to any that do still occur other than retaliatory strikes.

But the absense of the SLN to enforce the edict removes both halves of that equation. Yes, they may not come in overwhelming force to seize your government and parts of your military and convict them all of crimes against humanity. But it means your victim won't necessarily feel restrained from launching even a suicidal retalatory strike (if/when they ever figure out where you are). The fear of mutual destruction should still keep most people from launching such strikes.


Now the MAlign might feel that since Darius is secret that they have no fear of retaliation. Which seems true enough, at least in the short term. But the collapse of the League is unlikely to change how people feel about someone who would deliberately carry out an Edict violation. The MAlign has to worry that if it comes out in the future that they did that, that could unify the rest of space to temporarily put down their grievence and mistrust until they collectively deal with the threat of a government/movement/military that embraces planetary genocide...

So there's a very large long term risk to using that particular tool to help fracture the League.

In Hitler's time, biological or chemical attacks would not have been decisive at the time he needed them because he lacked air superiority. It would have been devastating but not ultimately decisive and there was just too much trouble and self-danger associated with the use of such weapons. Besides, there was no need of such attacks when conventional weapons were doing just fine. Moreover, "the Germans did not use gases during their offensives on their neighbors because gas is basically a siege weapon, intended to root out troops dug into trenches and fortifications, and the German Blitzkrieg was war of rapid mobility. Gas could hamper the attacker as much as it hurt the defender." [1]

Hitler was also, IMO, afraid of tit for tat -- retaliatory gas strikes -- having been gassed himself...
British Prime Minister Winston Churchill made it very clear to Hitler that if Britain were attacked with poison gas, the British would saturate German cities with gas in retaliation. The Allied strategic bombing force was much stronger than Germany's; the Allies were gaining air superiority over Germany; and Hitler had every reason to believe that if he used nerve gases on Britain, the Allies would strike back ten times as hard. Both the Germans and the British believed they held parity in gas warfare, and neither Churchill nor Hitler realized that Germany had the upper hand.

In fact, Churchill himself almost gave away the game. He had little squeamishness over poison gases. To him, they were just another weapon, despite the fact that Britain had signed and ratified the Geneva Protocol. During the desperate days of 1940, when Britain was facing a German invasion, Churchill had energetically built up an arsenal of gas weapons to greet German troops landing on England's shores. Even after the threat of invasion faded away, the British continued heavy production of chemical weapons. [1]


This is from a World War II magazine...
When it came down to it, Hitler was a man who knew no limits, and who made his decisions relatively free of moral considerations. Sarin didn't strike him as particularly inhumane or ghastly. It just seemed… ineffective.

Many countries had their own form of an Eridani Edict in response to weaponized gas...

"...gas warfare continued in secret, in public it was made illegal through a series of international treaties that culminated in the Geneva Protocol of 1925. 38 countries signed the protocol, renouncing the use of chemical weapons, though the treaty was not ratified by the US and Japan."

[1] http://greyfalcon.us/A%20History%20of%20Chemical.htm

None of which are fears regarding a MisAligned willingness to deploy an option of an edict violation. As you say, they're hidden. I'm not convinced that they won't remain hidden even in the light of their unlikely success -- even without a history and reputation of having mass murdered millions upon millions of innocent civilians on a whim. Why should they ever come out of hiding, even after their end game, after victory and all is said and done? There will always be a scorned enemy left somewhere to rise from the ashes to seek vengeance and serve it cold.

Again, the MAlign doesn't strike me as being sane. And being hidden eliminates the possibility of the old misquoted adage of "done unto others as what hath been done unto you."

Besides, I always thought the MAlign would eventually open that can of worms but in a cowardly fashion that framed someone else, likeso...

viewtopic.php?f=1&t=6347&hilit=point+of+view&start=190

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Last edited by cthia on Mon Oct 26, 2015 12:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Spoiler Alert!!! New book possibilities/probabilities
Post by drothgery   » Mon Oct 26, 2015 12:05 pm

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Michael Everett wrote:I'm sorry.
You're arguing that a centuries old plan to replace humanity by genetically designed Upliftees is, at the basic level, sane?
The MAlign wouldn't have got as far as it has without a core of fanaticism/insanity driving it.

Not really. They're nuts, but not in that way. The MAlign is not a death cult, nor do they believe divine intervention will protect them.
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