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What I see as Charis's biggest problem

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Re: What I see as Charis's biggest problem
Post by lyonheart   » Thu Nov 11, 2010 5:19 am

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tasos74 wrote:
Rook wrote:
tasos74 wrote:I will admit hydro-electric power is too much for the current tech base, and would be hit by a rakurai blast on completion. Is there a way other then steam and other "forbidden" to generate enough power for a ironclad vessel for instance? Other then having shifts of crew on stationary bikes or treadmills to power paddlewheels I cannot think of another way to provide the power sans wind which may not be enough once the ships get heavy enough. Initially it is possible to armor a sail powered ship, but that is a short window.

Perhaps Merlin could nudge towards pulley and gear systems to increase the amount of power generated to improve production. This is just another step as eventually the proscriptions are approached. Will this happen before or after the Go4 is dealt with? It will take several years to get a land force to deal with the numbers of Haven/Howard armies and to create the supply train. Even with Siddarmark coming onboard this could be a while.


The problem is, muscle power just doesn't scale well. Sure, you can do anything if you put enough people on it. However, on boat you are limited as to how many people you can put on it, and the you just cannot move a ship effectively with the muscle power.

Let's look as an example: Most US Civil War era Ironclads were extremely crampt, the USS Monitor could only hold 59 men. Of the 59 men, 12 men, including those in the engineering department filled support roles during a battle (extra manpower to make repairs, replace casualties, run powder and ammo, etc.). If you were to strip out the engine and use the space to house more people, you could probably fit another 6 men in. So, you would have 18 men available to move a ship that weighed 770 tons. Let's round that down to 700 tons, since we took out the 12 ton steam engine. 1 hp is defined as 10 times larger than 1 Manpower, so, you are trying to move your 700 ton ship with a 1.8hp 'engine'. Use pulleys and gear shifts all you want, the amount of energy available to push the ship is still only 1.8hp (or 1342.26 watts).

The speed at which such an engine can move that much weight depends on the amount of friction the sea will exert on the hull of the ship. I honestly have no idea how much friction that is, but I'm guessing that the speed would work out to a few hundred feet an hour. That's assuming that you are able to turn 100% of the energy the men are exerting onto forward motion and that there is no wind or current you have to work against as well. Obviously, it is not possible to effectively move an ironclad warship by muscle power.

Let's take a look at using muscle power in industry. A lathe capable of boring out a cannon would have to have at least 10hp, or 100 men. The manpower need is just too high compared to the benefit of running extra lathes... especially considering how strapped for warm bodies Charis is already.

You also need to take into account that muscle power has been around a lot longer on Safehold than waterwheels, and it is already integrated into the industry to its maximum efficiency.


Muscle power is not the grand new energy solution of the future on Safehold.



I agree with you on this point, I was not trying to pretend that even with gear shafts multiplying out purely muscle power would be feasible, but that you eventually reach the proscriptions and ideology/religious tenets must change or you reach a stopping point. It may very well be a close-minded abstract thought on my part. At a macro-level of Safehold there is a threshold at which most of the population is not... currently interested in crossing as it directly defies the writ and other central teachings of the only religion on the planet. This is a tough sell at best even for Old Charis and only DW knows what may propel the CE past such a hurtle. I have as an underlying notion that this will be reached before the Go4 is completely dealt with, which may be presumptuous of me. I imagine that even if Siddarmark is brought into the fold and a strike right into Zion is accomplished that this holy war will not end. There isn't a balance to the Go4 after the circle was destroyed and CE is getter larger by the book, still doesn't nullify Thirsk, Haven, or Howard for areas to be.... dealt with even if the temple lands are taken.

So my posit is not with technology completely, but with the underlining notions of the sanctity of the church (CoC or Mother Church) and it's beliefs verus survival/victory. Could be the lynchpin of next book for all I could guess.



Hi Tasos74,

Did you know the USS Constitution (~2000 tons) used a muscle powered paddle wheel (actually a pair) in the 1820's ? :-)

I suspect Merlin would say that Charis's biggest problem is getting more people to think scientifically (even if it isn't called that), ie to be "more logical, or rational" problem solvers; just as Edward Hosmyn was doing as an Iron master etc.

The excellent examples of Charisian problem solving leaders is creating a growing number of their subordinates who are problem solver examples for theirs, etc. But given all the things happening, it will be a long while before the effective problem solvers begin to match, let alone outnumber the respective problems they face.

Langhorne and friends did their best to kill the scientific method without ever mentioning it by name, but how do you ban problem solving, since its essential to survival ?

The proscriptions can be circumvented in a sense by a more experimental education system, that challenges the students to think, and to solve past problems to appreciate what was learned and experience that learning process personally, then go on to solve real problems. This part of the future of the Royal College.

And the secret is, once the Go4 or their surviving allies start thinking the same way to survive, Merlin will have won.

But I won't be surprised if Charis raids the temple in a couple of years or less, via temple bay, when they understand what Peter Wilson has. Meanwhile other capital cities are on the coast, and the Royal Chisholm Army has some good experience in logistics.

Imagine a couple of years from now, the temple land armies attempt to cut the raid off, only to discover every infantryman has a wide thick wheeled bicycle to carry his rations and kit etc, yet still average faster strategic marches than horse cavalry!

If Hosmyn only adds 2 more forges every month, how many explosive shells will he produce in 895 YoG ?

If only 100-120 shells (~5 volleys) are needed to destroy or burn a ship, how many effective ship kills is that annual total ?

How many multiples of annual temple ship production is that ?

How many shells should be expended by the ICN in 5-day training ?

I look forward to both answers and suggestions.

Best wishes,

L
Any snippet or post from RFC is good if not great!
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Re: What I see as Charis's biggest problem
Post by tasos74   » Fri Nov 12, 2010 4:04 pm

tasos74
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[quote="lyonheart]
Hi Tasos74,

Did you know the USS Constitution (~2000 tons) used a muscle powered paddle wheel (actually a pair) in the 1820's ? :-)

I suspect Merlin would say that Charis's biggest problem is getting more people to think scientifically (even if it isn't called that), ie to be "more logical, or rational" problem solvers; just as Edward Hosmyn was doing as an Iron master etc.

The excellent examples of Charisian problem solving leaders is creating a growing number of their subordinates who are problem solver examples for theirs, etc. But given all the things happening, it will be a long while before the effective problem solvers begin to match, let alone outnumber the respective problems they face.

Langhorne and friends did their best to kill the scientific method without ever mentioning it by name, but how do you ban problem solving, since its essential to survival ?

The proscriptions can be circumvented in a sense by a more experimental education system, that challenges the students to think, and to solve past problems to appreciate what was learned and experience that learning process personally, then go on to solve real problems. This part of the future of the Royal College.

And the secret is, once the Go4 or their surviving allies start thinking the same way to survive, Merlin will have won.

But I won't be surprised if Charis raids the temple in a couple of years or less, via temple bay, when they understand what Peter Wilson has. Meanwhile other capital cities are on the coast, and the Royal Chisholm Army has some good experience in logistics.

Imagine a couple of years from now, the temple land armies attempt to cut the raid off, only to discover every infantryman has a wide thick wheeled bicycle to carry his rations and kit etc, yet still average faster strategic marches than horse cavalry!

If Hosmyn only adds 2 more forges every month, how many explosive shells will he produce in 895 YoG ?

If only 100-120 shells (~5 volleys) are needed to destroy or burn a ship, how many effective ship kills is that annual total ?

How many multiples of annual temple ship production is that ?

How many shells should be expended by the ICN in 5-day training ?

I look forward to both answers and suggestions.

Best wishes,

L[/quote]

Lyonheart, I do appreicate your posts)

I did not know that the USN had a muscle powered paddlewheel vessel, interesting! I would heartily agree with you on the scientific method being introduced via the royal college and training future inventors! I would also point out that Chisholm and Emerald are open markets for building more manufactories that could include locals with training and advisors at the least from old Charis. Perhaps even to the point of joint ventures to cement the empire and make some coin, probably with serious subsidies. This benefits the crown by spreading the industry around to minimize any loss or complication, greater profits= tax revenue, and of course more product to drive down costs.

At this time putting any capacity in Zebidah, Corisande, or Tarot would be unwise, but slowly cultivating thier ports and encouraging local production (especially agricultural, armies move on their stomachs) could be reasonable.

By ruthlessly making Charisian products the only viable option to buy at reasonable rates, there is an erosion to the Church's power by sheer necessity. Smuggling is only one option, the tricks that Siddarmark has been using are another. Eventually the Church is undermined by it's own policies by forcing the common man, let alone the noble into Charis's arms for their needs. Then it is only a matter of time until the rest of thier policies are quashed by reality.

P.S. Before I read this post I posited the same argument for raiding Zion, as opposed to trying to hold it. It has merit.
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Re: What I see as Charis's biggest problem
Post by Rook   » Fri Nov 12, 2010 5:59 pm

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lyonheart wrote:Hi Tasos74,

Did you know the USS Constitution (~2000 tons) used a muscle powered paddle wheel (actually a pair) in the 1820's ? :-)



Just a nit:
A muscle powered paddle wheel had been designed for and fitted to the USS Constitution, but it was never actually used. The purpose of the wheel was to push the ship if it ever got stuck becalmed at sea. The day after the paddle wheel was fitted to the ship, Commodore Jacob Jones ordered his crew to dismantle it. He felt it was unfitting for a US Navy ship and useless in its purpose.
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Re: What I see as Charis's biggest problem
Post by john964   » Sat Nov 13, 2010 9:22 pm

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Everyone is overlooking two importaint things Merlin is worried about with regard to the Ruikai. EM and Thermal radiation beyond a certain point. Remember how he worried over whether the Bombard system could detect him as he made that hypersonic trip from Corsanide to Charis to prevent the assasination. As long as Charis does not go to high tech they will probably be safe. Charis can probaly advance as far as 1870-80's as a tech base but not much beyond that. They may be able use telegraph for communication as it used a low wattage electrical signal to make the dot-dash IIRC 10-15 watts with primitive lead-acid batteries. As for dams Charis is proably already using them for thier water wheels to store water for the dry season.
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Re: What I see as Charis's biggest problem
Post by tasos74   » Sun Nov 14, 2010 7:57 pm

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john964 wrote:Everyone is overlooking two importaint things Merlin is worried about with regard to the Ruikai. EM and Thermal radiation beyond a certain point. Remember how he worried over whether the Bombard system could detect him as he made that hypersonic trip from Corsanide to Charis to prevent the assasination. As long as Charis does not go to high tech they will probably be safe. Charis can probaly advance as far as 1870-80's as a tech base but not much beyond that. They may be able use telegraph for communication as it used a low wattage electrical signal to make the dot-dash IIRC 10-15 watts with primitive lead-acid batteries. As for dams Charis is proably already using them for thier water wheels to store water for the dry season.


Interesting post! It is quite the billion dollar question if steam power became widespread and used if it would trigger the orbital platform ( leaving aside the quibble of the proscriptions and the basis of truth for 99% of the population...). If steam could be used then steel becomes a real possibility for production in industrial numbers, and actual powered assembly lines. The industrial revolution in the Charisian empire would be kicked into high gear, making mainland goods even more expensive and inferior in comparison which helps the process of converting Safehold.
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Re: What I see as Charis's biggest problem
Post by john964   » Mon Nov 15, 2010 7:23 pm

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tasos74 wrote:
john964 wrote:Everyone is overlooking two importaint things Merlin is worried about with regard to the Ruikai. EM and Thermal radiation beyond a certain point. Remember how he worried over wether the Bombard system could detect him as he made that hypersonic trip from Corsanide to Charis to prevent the assasination. As long as Charis does not go to high tech they will probably be safe. Charis can probaly advance as far as 1870-80's as a tech base but not much beyond that. They may be able use telegraph for communication as it used a low wattage electrical signal to make the dot-dash IIRC 10-15 watts with primitive lead-acid batteries. As for dams Charis is proably already using them for thier water wheels to store water for the dry season.


Interesting post! It is quite the billion dollar question if steam power became widespread and used if it would trigger the orbital platform ( leaving aside the quibble of the proscriptions and the basis of truth for 99% of the population...). If steam could be used then steel becomes a real possibility for production in industrial numbers, and actual powered assembly lines. The industrial revolution in the Charisian empire would be kicked into high gear, making mainland goods even more expensive and inferior in comparison which helps the process of converting Safehold.

Yes it is that. Like I said in my post, if Charis can avoid anything like an electrical grid that would attract the senseres of Ruikai or a thermal signature higher than say 1500-2000F. They should be able to avoid the Ruikai.

Also everyone is overlooking the fact that Earth of the 19th Century was at or where Charis is heading. Look at what was invented during that century short of electrical power generation. IIRC Steam engines for tranportaion by sea and land. Steam engines for manufacturing. The Bessimer process for steel.
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Re: What I see as Charis's biggest problem
Post by tasos74   » Sun Nov 21, 2010 6:24 pm

tasos74
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john964 wrote:
tasos74 wrote:
john964 wrote:Everyone is overlooking two importaint things Merlin is worried about with regard to the Ruikai. EM and Thermal radiation beyond a certain point. Remember how he worried over wether the Bombard system could detect him as he made that hypersonic trip from Corsanide to Charis to prevent the assasination. As long as Charis does not go to high tech they will probably be safe. Charis can probaly advance as far as 1870-80's as a tech base but not much beyond that. They may be able use telegraph for communication as it used a low wattage electrical signal to make the dot-dash IIRC 10-15 watts with primitive lead-acid batteries. As for dams Charis is proably already using them for thier water wheels to store water for the dry season.


Interesting post! It is quite the billion dollar question if steam power became widespread and used if it would trigger the orbital platform ( leaving aside the quibble of the proscriptions and the basis of truth for 99% of the population...). If steam could be used then steel becomes a real possibility for production in industrial numbers, and actual powered assembly lines. The industrial revolution in the Charisian empire would be kicked into high gear, making mainland goods even more expensive and inferior in comparison which helps the process of converting Safehold.

Yes it is that. Like I said in my post, if Charis can avoid anything like an electrical grid that would attract the senseres of Ruikai or a thermal signature higher than say 1500-2000F. They should be able to avoid the Ruikai.

Also everyone is overlooking the fact that Earth of the 19th Century was at or where Charis is heading. Look at what was invented during that century short of electrical power generation. IIRC Steam engines for tranportaion by sea and land. Steam engines for manufacturing. The Bessimer process for steel.



I am becoming more receptive to steam power as a feasible tech advance. With the Go4 creating vast forces to overwhelm Charis's advances and skill, it becomes more and more a requirement to innovate for something better. If to the secret satisfaction of the inner circle the plausible cause to force innovation that approaches or even breaches the proscriptions by "necessity of survival". After the first few breaches there is no return to the old ways, and this may be more complex and dangerous a fight then "Mother Church" and it's jihad.
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Re: What I see as Charis's biggest problem
Post by ColonialBoy   » Mon Dec 13, 2010 3:47 pm

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Rook wrote:
lyonheart wrote:Hi Tasos74,

Did you know the USS Constitution (~2000 tons) used a muscle powered paddle wheel (actually a pair) in the 1820's ? :-)



Just a nit:
A muscle powered paddle wheel had been designed for and fitted to the USS Constitution, but it was never actually used. The purpose of the wheel was to push the ship if it ever got stuck becalmed at sea. The day after the paddle wheel was fitted to the ship, Commodore Jacob Jones ordered his crew to dismantle it. He felt it was unfitting for a US Navy ship and useless in its purpose.


Another nit:
The CSS Hunley was the first submarine credited w/sinking another warship (the USS Housatonic on 2/17/1864). It used a 7-manpower hand-turned propeller shaft, plus an eighth man who steered and commanded it. The Hunley's technology wouldn't be prescribed (actually, I am a little surprised that the reincarnation of this boat hasn't already appeared in the Safehold series).
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Re: What I see as Charis's biggest problem
Post by Scriptor   » Tue Dec 28, 2010 12:01 am

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Dealing with Painter could it be time for him to have that chat with CoC arch bishop. Now with the steam engine, if it is discribe good enough in the proscriptions could Vicker Clinton authorize it to be built, like Clinton was saying he could authorize what they proscribe to be used with the galleon ships. Also was steam proscribe for everyone not to use it or was it just the Arch angels who could use it, I think I remeber in Off Arm. Reef there were proscription for everybody, arch angels and what you can't use at all. (I might be wrong) It would be sad if he did have a steam engine built and the Rakeri drop on him but I really doubt that would happen :)

Food for thought, sorry for the misspelling
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What I see as Charis's biggest problem
Post by phillies   » Tue Dec 28, 2010 1:14 am

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The challenge is propelling an ironclad into battle, given that it is a bit heavy, and steam is proscribed.

The answer planted some time back is steel thistle sails, steel thistle stays, and as seen on the passenger liner Leviathan* for six of her seven masts, perhaps steel masts or spars...I am not sure those are a good idea.

*also under the name Great Eastern. A brilliant triumph of technology, she was intended to sail to Australia without refueling, and could actually get to the United States without running out of fuel if the captain were reasonably careful. I am not sure if the line "developed one-third design house power at three times design fuel consumption' is accurate.
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