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Path to Darius (Spoilers)

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Re: Path to Darius (Spoilers)
Post by Jonathan_S   » Sat Sep 26, 2015 9:08 am

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Eagleeye wrote:
Ok, but follow me for a thought experiment, please. Assuming you find some asteroids, big (and stable) enough to hole them out and put a ship into each of them - and then you put some alpha-impellers on the surface of the asteroids and (with the help of some big-assed traktors) put them exactly into the entry-lane of a terminus. Say, the asteroids in question have around 20 million tons, that makes for - what? 2 or 3 minutes, before the lane is open again after a transit? - Ok, say 5 minutes, to be on the safe side. And put a vessel into only one of the first 3 or 4 asteroids you send through - after all, you wont risk more people than necessary, but you will - if there is a chance - begin exploring as early as possible, 1st. And 2nd, in case there is a host, you have to make sure, your host is adequately distracted.

And your host will be distracted, because he knows for sure, that no asteroid is able to come through a terminus or junction without some heavy tinkering with it, first, so he'll attack as soon as the asteroids come calling. But he has to go through some meters of rock first to get to the ships he assumes have to be on the inside - and the rock itself could be fitted with additional armor around the hole where you put the ship, so the host has some real work to do first. And 5 minutes after the first asteroid comes the second; and 5 minutes after the second comes the third and so on.

We know, that only relatively small forces cover the exit of the Torch-Bridge. (1 or 2 BC-Squadrons, if memory serves). Manticore can only guess. But they can assume, that the defenses (if there are some defenses at all) are on the small side. Simply because of the secrecy of the thing. And a cruiser- or battlecruiser-squadron is made for long-time absences from home (on showing the flag missions, for example) - a squadron or two of wallers on the other side are most probably part of the homefleet, if it's nation is not engaged in a war. Additionally, chances are good, too, that the exit point is not near an inhabited system - else it would be most probably a known exit ...

So, if you put 20 or 30 prepared asteroids into the terminus, one after the other ... don't you think, at least some of them could go through mostly unharmed and put - say, some Rolands into places there the host does not want them to be? ;) And go back to friendly territory, afterwards?

I'm pretty sure this also got shot down in the lengthy threads of people trying to figure out ways to pull off a hostile wormhole transit and RFC shooting each and every one of them down.

but in general a 20 mton asteroid is far less durable and survivable than a 20 mton SD. So the defenses are going to tear it apart easily. Also to get it through a wormhole it is basically going to have to be a ship - reactor, alpha nodes, hypergenetor because without those it just gets broken up by the grav shear as it enters the terminus approach lane. So it's no like you're throwing cheap decoys through to exhaust their defenses. (Plus even a single BC could shatter 20 mton asteroids all day using only their energy weapons - so the defenders don't even need to waste expendables to kill your asteroids.
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Re: Path to Darius (Spoilers)
Post by JohnRoth   » Sat Sep 26, 2015 9:45 am

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Maldorian wrote:Searching with Telescopes for Darius!

Maybe it has no habitable planet in System, but you don´t have to search for habitable planets! What is with all the emissions of our civilisation? All the Radio waves? Search for them and you find a settled System with a high tech civilisation!


We had this discussion shortly after I joined the forum, except that we were looking for Bolthole, which is somewhere in a known volume of space. The conclusion was that you probably could find it by using an improbably large number of cruisers over a 20 year or so period, but you wouldn't be making actual visits to each and every system. At this time I'd probably use specially designed freighters with mil-spec drives to haul the radio telescopes around.

Darius isn't in a known volume of space. We have no idea where it is, other than it's at the end of three wormhole jumps from Torch. Darius was discovered by the MAlign when they were investigating Felix as a site for their arsenal planet. They found the junction, explored its four termini and selected the system at the other end of one as their new arsenal planet. They presumably picked the one that was the farthest away from anything else.

At the same time, they glommed onto Verdent Vista, in the Congo system, to keep everyone else away from that end of the wormhole bridge to The Twins.

As far as masking emissions against a good radio telescope array at 20 light years? Not possible. You'd have to spend more on it than it's worth.
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Re: Path to Darius (Spoilers)
Post by SWM   » Sat Sep 26, 2015 11:08 am

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Eagleeye wrote:
SWM wrote:Read David's infodump in the last URL I posted. It contains David's explanation. Yes, there are traffic lanes, and those are merely for traffic control. But the actual entrance and exit of a wormhole has to be made from a very narrow aspect angle, with your Warshawski sail engaging the grav shear of the wormhole. If you deviate from that narrow lane, you get torn apart.


Ok, but follow me for a thought experiment, please. Assuming you find some asteroids, big (and stable) enough to hole them out and put a ship into each of them - and then you put some alpha-impellers on the surface of the asteroids and (with the help of some big-assed traktors) put them exactly into the entry-lane of a terminus. Say, the asteroids in question have around 20 million tons, that makes for - what? 2 or 3 minutes, before the lane is open again after a transit? - Ok, say 5 minutes, to be on the safe side. And put a vessel into only one of the first 3 or 4 asteroids you send through - after all, you wont risk more people than necessary, but you will - if there is a chance - begin exploring as early as possible, 1st. And 2nd, in case there is a host, you have to make sure, your host is adequately distracted.

And your host will be distracted, because he knows for sure, that no asteroid is able to come through a terminus or junction without some heavy tinkering with it, first, so he'll attack as soon as the asteroids come calling. But he has to go through some meters of rock first to get to the ships he assumes have to be on the inside - and the rock itself could be fitted with additional armor around the hole where you put the ship, so the host has some real work to do first. And 5 minutes after the first asteroid comes the second; and 5 minutes after the second comes the third and so on.

We know, that only relatively small forces cover the exit of the Torch-Bridge. (1 or 2 BC-Squadrons, if memory serves). Manticore can only guess. But they can assume, that the defenses (if there are some defenses at all) are on the small side. Simply because of the secrecy of the thing. And a cruiser- or battlecruiser-squadron is made for long-time absences from home (on showing the flag missions, for example) - a squadron or two of wallers on the other side are most probably part of the homefleet, if it's nation is not engaged in a war. Additionally, chances are good, too, that the exit point is not near an inhabited system - else it would be most probably a known exit ...

So, if you put 20 or 30 prepared asteroids into the terminus, one after the other ... don't you think, at least some of them could go through mostly unharmed and put - say, some Rolands into places there the host does not want them to be? ;) And go back to friendly territory, afterwards?


Problem 1) The Twins end of the Torch bridge had only a couple BCs in place at that time. They didn't have enough warning to put anything heavier there. We can be fairly confident that the Alignment has upgraded the defenses on that terminus in the year or so since then. If they have installed mines and pods, then nothing is going to survive transit.

Problem 2) A 20 megaton asteroid is only going to get like 1 gee of acceleration. It is going to be sitting in the transit lane even longer than a standard ship.

Problem 3) Asteroids have no armor. Grasers will pick them apart like butter. They will be destroyed before they get out of the transit lane.

Problem 4) What good is a ship inside an asteroid? Even if the asteroid survives long enough to get out of the transit lane, what is that ship inside going to do? How are they going to get back?

See the FAQ for David's response to something similar, under the question: "Could you build an armored shell encasing a ship such that it could survive a transit through a defended wormhole?"
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Re: Path to Darius (Spoilers)
Post by Brigade XO   » Sat Sep 26, 2015 3:29 pm

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If Darius isn't in a "known" volume of space, it is going to take a really long time to find it even if you start from "within" that area of the galaxy which contains any known habitable planet or any published exploration report.
So the Alignment has been around for several hundred years. IF they discovered the system that contains Darius withing 50 years of setting up on Mesa you are going to have to be VERY lucky to have somebody happen across electromagnetic radiation from Darius in a sphere 200 LY from Darius. Why? Because that is probably the maximum distance the wave from of broadcast radio will have gotten from the planet. Give that they are trying to hide the place, they are going to be using the lowest power communications possible and avoiding sending much of anything -on purpose- in radio and other communications in the direction of the human inhabited portion of the Galaxy.
We are talking something that is THREE wormhole jumps from wherever the entry points of the shadow network is located. It is possible that two legs of that trip go from very unintersting systems-which have not been explored with automated probes or with ships (with nothing but closely held Alignment presence with very restricted and focused communications) to a system that is hundreds of lightyears outside of anyplace a hyperspace ship has ever been before.

I think we are going find that the only way Darius gets located is from captured equipment or a defector.
Its going to be a long war.
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Re: Path to Darius (Spoilers)
Post by SYED   » Sat Sep 26, 2015 5:26 pm

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THE thing is they had to find a way to ensure the other terminii are not found. That means either guarding or surveillance them both, that however increases the humber of those aware of them.the thing is if they use the terminus then those Mannheim ships become aware of it.
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Re: Path to Darius (Spoilers)
Post by JohnRoth   » Sat Sep 26, 2015 8:11 pm

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Brigade XO wrote:If Darius isn't in a "known" volume of space, it is going to take a really long time to find it even if you start from "within" that area of the galaxy which contains any known habitable planet or any published exploration report.
So the Alignment has been around for several hundred years. IF they discovered the system that contains Darius withing 50 years of setting up on Mesa you are going to have to be VERY lucky to have somebody happen across electromagnetic radiation from Darius in a sphere 200 LY from Darius. Why? Because that is probably the maximum distance the wave from of broadcast radio will have gotten from the planet. Give that they are trying to hide the place, they are going to be using the lowest power communications possible and avoiding sending much of anything -on purpose- in radio and other communications in the direction of the human inhabited portion of the Galaxy.
We are talking something that is THREE wormhole jumps from wherever the entry points of the shadow network is located. It is possible that two legs of that trip go from very unintersting systems-which have not been explored with automated probes or with ships (with nothing but closely held Alignment presence with very restricted and focused communications) to a system that is hundreds of lightyears outside of anyplace a hyperspace ship has ever been before.

I think we are going find that the only way Darius gets located is from captured equipment or a defector.
Its going to be a long war.


IIRC, they found the Felix junction about 200 years before Honorverse present, but only started building population on Darius about 100 years previous to the stories. I'd say you're probably not going to find detectable levels of electromagnetic radiation more than about 50 years out, which is a lot better than the Bolthole calculation, which assumed 20 years. By the way, I'm not assuming intentional radio emissions; I'm assuming that lots of equipment gives off electromagnetic radiation as a side effect. Trying to insulate against every source of stray radiation is a losing game.

It's three wormhole jumps from Torch; it's one from Felix.

I think it's going to be detailed analysis of the Alignment's C&C loop; ships carrying intelligence and orders have to get to Darius either directly or via Felix.
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Re: Path to Darius (Spoilers)
Post by JohnRoth   » Sat Sep 26, 2015 8:13 pm

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SYED wrote:THE thing is they had to find a way to ensure the other terminii are not found. That means either guarding or surveillance them both, that however increases the humber of those aware of them.the thing is if they use the terminus then those Mannheim ships become aware of it.


Which is why those ships were manned by Mesan Alphas who were mostly in on at least part of the secret.
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Re: Path to Darius (Spoilers)
Post by n7axw   » Sat Sep 26, 2015 8:19 pm

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Just a comment to the notion that Darius might not be habitable...

I believe that the population is 2+ billion which makes the notion of the planet not being habitable seem unlikely.

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Re: Path to Darius (Spoilers)
Post by SYED   » Sat Sep 26, 2015 9:37 pm

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For some reason, they named the habitable planet Gamma.

I wonde what the chances are that the unknown terminii lead to systems with habitable planets. No planet to colonise would keep most away. if there is a planet they can colonise there, i wonder if they have made other alignment colonies, or estaablish something like congo to hide the terminii.
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Re: Path to Darius (Spoilers)
Post by JohnRoth   » Sat Sep 26, 2015 9:56 pm

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SYED wrote:For some reason, they named the habitable planet Gamma.

I wonde what the chances are that the unknown terminii lead to systems with habitable planets. No planet to colonise would keep most away. if there is a planet they can colonise there, i wonder if they have made other alignment colonies, or estaablish something like congo to hide the terminii.


The junction and those two termini were recently "discovered" by Mannerheim, which is moving very, very cautiously to get the rights to Felix from the four corporations that have competing claims. "Discovered" is in quotes because the MAlign gave it to them, without telling them about the other two termini.

They don't have to lead to an inhabited planet. The Lynx terminus doesn't lead to an inhabited planet; Lynx is several light years away. It's simply a gateway to another sector. Whether or not either of the terminal stars has an inhabited planet, it'll open up another volume of space to colonization and eventually create a trade bonanza.
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