lyonheart wrote:Hi EasternMystic,
I wonder how well you read my post.
Specifically how few average galleons are required for 81,000 tons of supplies [63], including 60,000 tons of fodder for 200 days not 3 month's or 90 days.
Those 63 are less than 1/40 of the EoC fleet, and the fact I expect several times that figure of above average galleons to deliver their cargo before winter, before adding the likely steam freighters.
I expect quite a lot of Zion's million plus population will flee the city before winter, and it should have plenty of room for 20-30,000 horses, since there should be around half a million already there; so after the panic, there should be plenty of stables and barracks, even if the alliance expels some from a specific suburb or locale to fortify what it needs.
Of course the supplies Zion requires for the winter requires them to start deliveries early, so by fall most should have already arrived, including most of the fodder for the horses, dragons, reindeer, and snow lizards; which will make any excess alliance demands a relative drop in the bucket.
The double or triple rations you mention are primarily needed for combat operations, and since Clyntahn has kept the Temple Guard and any serious military force away from Zion and the temple, coupled with the surprise of BGV's appearance, it will take until spring before the CoGA could provide any serious military response at the earliest.
Since Clyntahn won't be leaving the temple to flee, who will organise his Rakurai, and why do you assume they're close enough when I suspect Merlin and Nimue might preempt such attacks?
Even if Rayno survives, I don't think he'll be that dumb; or if someone does takes over to make such attacks, can you imagine a better way to infuriate the remaining TL population than attempt to destroy their winter supplies?
What better way to validate what the alliance has been saying about the inquisition all along.
Remember Corisande.
If you were an inquisitor still in Zion after some such attacks, what are the odds someone recognizes you as part of the inquisition and you learn how to dance on the end of a short rope if you're lucky, and what happens to all inquisitors come spring?
While there may be some who attempt such, I don't expect them to be very successful, since the people will be setting their own guards over their own supplies, as the new city administration directs.
L
Easternmystic wrote:Zion is in an arctic environment. If you expect troops to be doing anything outside you will have to provide double or even triple rations. The Reindeer ,ay be OK but don't expect to find any vegetation for the horses, it will all have to hauled to Zion. Once again, arctic environment, double or triple rations for at least 3 months unless you can provide interior habitat for all the horses. At the very least you will have to build sufficient windbreaks and cover for all the livestock.
Then their is the fact you will now be responsible for the well being of the civilians. This will require an assessment of the needs and resources of the city and likely more resources brought in for keep the civilians from starving.
Then you have to consider what the COGA might be doing over the winter, Their most probable action would be to seed Rakurai among the civilians with Caches of food, weapons and explosives. After the passage freezes, They start targeting civilians, supply depots isolated patrols. They don't have have to destroy very many supply depots before disaster strikes.
Sending an army when you can supply them, for 5 or six months is a good way af killing off an entire army.
