Let's not forget Archbishop Cahnyr from Glacierheart, who was a member of the Circle and survived. Several of the younger members of the Circle got out of Zion in time as well, so there actually are a few relatively untainted and very reformist members of the vicarate (or a level or two below the vicarate) who survived Clyntahn's bloodbath and who could be acceptable candidates as vicars, and even Grand Vicar in Cahnyr's case, should the CoGA sue for terms and purge the vicarate.PeterZ wrote:The only Vicars untainted with the jihad are dead. All the others voted for the jihad when the Grand Vicar proposed it. Clyntahn would not have let any vicar voting against the jihad to live when he purged the Vicarate. Who would be untouched by the jihad? I suspect no one.
As for Duchairn, wouldn't Nynian have a good idea of Duchairn's mindset? I suspect so.
Bottom line is that an offer for a cease fire from Duchairn to at least discuss minimum requirements for a negotiated peace in person with Cayleb and Stonar would benefit Siddermark most. The few months of truce would let the RSA recruit and equip enough new units to be independent of the ICA. Sure the AoG would also gain more rifles, but the allies would increase their capabilities more.
Siddermark will accept a cease fire in place. Duchairn can convince Cayleb and Stonar that they can achieve their publicly stated goal through negotiations. If the actual negotiations take too long, the allies can begin shooting. I don't see the upside in the allies not listening to the initial (post Clyntahn) offer to negotiate.
Yes, Aivah's people in Zion have undoubtedly reported that Duchairn leaves the Temple regularly to visit the soup kitchens and shelters, and is actively working to fund them at the levels needed to help the poor survive the winters, which the vicarate should have been doing all along. I'm not sure what Merlin and Co. will make of those reports if Aivah shares that information with them, since Duchairn's efforts to keep the CoGA afloat financially and his control of the logistics of the war have been key to the successful invasion and occupation of Siddarmark. On one hand he's acting as a priest in tending to his flock, and on the other he's enabling what amounts to genocide. Plus he voted for the initial attack on Charis that kicked off the war in the first place, so his hands are far from clean. Being a member of the Go4 probably makes dealing with him so unpalatable that it simply can't happen - regardless of whatever mischief he and Captain Phandys may have up their cassocks. (That sounds vaguely dirty...)
Once it becomes clear that the allies are rolling up the armies of the CoGA, Siddarmark is certainly not going to even consider entering into peace talks before it drives the invaders all the way to its borders. (Let's not forget the work camps the allies are about to discover...) Once its troops see those, Siddarmark isn't going to be in much of a mood for talking, and the TLs are in for a very rough time. Emigration may be the best option for every TL in northern and western Siddarmark. The pipes are playing...
You're entirely correct that peace talks won't be offered while Clyntahn is still wheezing, so some sort of coup by a group who wakes up and smells the chocolate will be necessary, unless one of Mab's letters actually leads the Grand Fornicator into having that long-awaited stroke!
Of course that group will also have to fight off the Inquisition, which would be in Rayno's hands should Clyntahn die before he can be sent to Hell properly. (And s-l-o-w-l-y...)
A civil war between the Inquisition and the Temple Guard in Zion isn't out of the question. I'm sure a lot of the guard isn't composed of fanatics, and many of them must feel uneasy at best at the Inquisition's behavior. Leak some accounts of what's going on in the "work camps" in Siddarmark, and the unrest is likely to grow. Unlike Clyntahn, the temple guards actually circulate through Zion, so a "careful" barrage of broadsheets could go a long ways towards undermining their support for the Inquisition, and especially for Clyntahn as its leader.