Louis R wrote:I had a similar thought, from the other side: how would the Inquisition have developed the full panoply of the Thought Police, if nobody had any notion that there were people thinking things that had to be policed?
However many secret societies there may be now, it's virtually certain that there aren't as many as there once were. Quite likely the first one or two to go were blown by their own overconfidence or carelessness, either in recruiting or taking action. Once the threat is proven to exist, of course, further examples start to be searched for. By the current day, I would say that most or all of the Inquisition's actions, as exemplified by the 'cleansing' of Siddarmark, are in the nature of self-fulfilling prophecies, but at some point it must have run into a real, and effective, opponent. The contest probably went on for quite some time, given the institutional skills the Inquisition has developed, and must have been in the fairly recent past, given that those skills haven't atrophied in the mean time.
And there's a problem with that idea: why, if that is the case, hasn't Rayno at least _thought_ about them in relation to the Hand? Or, for that matter, why didn't Clyntahn at least fling that history in Duchairn's and Trynair's faces during the early days when they were still effectively restraining his ardour? I dunno, but I can't see the Inquisition's skills being handed down all the way from Chihiro or Jwo Jeng, or whoever actually created it. Secret or open, combat skills are honed by use, not by rote learning.
Until relatively recently, the Inquisition was about monitoring the doctrinal soundness of the priesthood, and that presumably with an emphasis on those who are preaching or leading the Church locally or in the vicarate. The SSK and BSZ have lived among monastic orders, which aren't thought leaders. They're just sources of income, some peripheral teaching, and status. There simply aren't Inquisitors enough to try to find out what isolated people out on farms and vineyards (who happen to be associated with the Church) are doing or thinking.
The organizations that matter to the Inquisition are things like the Circle - a cabal of archbishops and vicars conspiring against the rightful leadership of the Church, considering compromise with heretics! There the Inquisition did its work very well, and knew perfectly well how much they had to monitor wolves in the fold like the Wylsynns.
What the Inquisition does likely has to be kept secret too often to be available for boasts. All the dirty laundry Rayno had to get Clyntahn nominally elected, for instance, is just the sort of "vicars behaving badly" that the Inquisition is there to prevent, so they've certainly been doing a good job of detecting it. (Exposing it and purging the vicarate of corruption, not so much - but then, no one wants to bring that up. What the Inquisition should be preventing, the Inquisition
has become.)
As for the effectiveness of the Inquisition: you are assuming that the SSK were a) truly opposed to the CoGA, other than by their very existence and b) active in that opposition much before their current generation. They went deep underground and were determined to stay there - and won't have arranged very many accidents for failed postulants, simply by not inviting all that many inside in the first place. With no visible waves being made and no betrayals, there was nothing to catch the eye. You are also assuming that the Inquisition missed the BSZ - they didn't. The Brethren _were_ making waves, and the Inquisition has very much noticed. If Clyntahn wasn't the blunt-instrument type, the investigation might well have reached the point of deducing the existence of something like the BSZ by now.
Out Islands, who cares? You can't keep tabs on everything everywhere, and where you don't have definitely orthodox priests to assist you in rooting it out, heterodoxy is certain to be on a low simmer all the time. So you punch back at King Hahrald with the Hanth Succession and you get the Archbishop, Bishop Executor and (to the extent you can - damn Wylsynn!!) Intendent out there to poke around Staynair's orthodoxy when he goes being suspect. For how much it looks like it matters, for how much you can spare for influence out there, for how much backing the lily-livered vicarate will give you... it was all appropriate response to what was known at the time.
Rooting around some obscure local order for the roots of Staynair's worrisome independence of mind - when it's just a bit more pronounced than you have come to expect from any Out Islander, especially on Charis - is a whole lot more than they had the means to do or should have summoned up the means to do on the basis of what they knew before things went totally off the rails.