phillies wrote:Time to modernization: centuries.
If you don't believe me, look at our own planet, the less well-to-do parts, and progress over the last 50 years.
Not that I can be *completely* certain, you understand, but I'm pretty sure we haven't had a Federation AI with a complete tech bible, including all background research, theory, and practical application up through interstellar drives and PICA level miniaturization helping us along for the last 50 years either. And if we had, I'd feel completely comfortable surmising that we'd be a LOT further along than we are now.
I love your optimism. But about a century and a half after Darwin and all the scientific advances since, a majority of Americans still believe in a six day creation. Why would Safehold be different?
Of course there will be... millions of them. But not a majority. The CoGAs strength is in the visible miracles and testimonies of the original colonists. There are actual pictures of the archangels in the temple. That level of 'realness' makes the church far more powerful than any pure-faith real-world religion, but it also represents a 180 degree break point in that they can be factually demonstrated to be non-divine. The biggest issue being the archangels themselves. Give us a Schuler or equivalent coming back and it'll fall apart spectacularly.
For everyone? No, not even close. Millions will never lose their faith. Even several generations on, there will still be CoGA adherents. Even more, though, I'd predict an acute crisis of faith that would lead to a huge panoply of splinter faiths/cults springing up practically overnight. But with the prescriptions gone and the Rakurai disabled you could roll out an aggressive basic educational program that would take 3-4 generations (80-100 years) to begin to reach Federation levels globally. If the second generation after the fall of the CoGA could get broad NEAT implementation in, say, 50% of the population, then uplift would happen even quicker.