HB of CJ wrote:Perhaps, in the end view, the Honorverse merchant commercial transport economic theory is not valid. Somebody eventually has to pay for all the military required infrastructure needed to shotgun merchant commercial shipping.
What this means is that somebody else's merchant marine will be able to undercut Manti shipping costs. This gravitates to eventually a socialist fascist situation where big business and big government work hand in hand.
Not good. Manti bottoms only protected by the Manti navy? Eventually Grand Alliance bottoms protected by GA fleets? Economy in scale? That actually might work OK...but only for awhile. Capitalism at its best is still best.
History shows that any other option just does not work. HB of CJ (old coot) Lt.Cm.
The vast majority of commerce protection costs were, until recently, covered by the Solarian League. Just the presence of the League and the deterrent of the League navy meant that trade within the League - which represents a massive percentage of the galactic human population - would have much lower protection costs than trade anywhere else. Plus Frontier Fleet is much, much larger than the RMN and has essentially the exact same (prewar) mandate - it just mostly patrols safer areas than the RMN historically has. Manticoran commerce protection would happen primarily in Silesia and Matapan, not in the League, and their navy was sufficient for those areas specifically - areas which have a much higher number of pirates, thriving in the utter chaos that was Silesia under the confederacy.
Manticore's commercial dominance is not a product of Manticore's ability to protect commerce, it's a product of its astrographic position and its comparative advantage in building and crewing freighters. The Solarian interstellars surely carry the majority of interstellar trade, but they do it mostly with leased Manticoran-built freighters with crews of the Manticoran merchant marine, because that has represented the lowest costs of freighter transport.