Hi Scuffles,
I agree completely, given the end of CoG where HA-H wasn't concerned about Beowulf; either because nothing had happened yet and Mycroft etc was in place [3 month's after she was worried in July], or the SLN had already attacked but Beowulf wasn't damaged, which I think is more likely given the time pressure even the mandarins acknowledged in planning it at the end of ART.
Given the space infrastructure the GA needs is around Beowulf not in the asteroid belt(s), the SLN would have to get into SDM range which I don't think is going to happen.
I suspect the BSDF SD's have a lot more fire control than the SLN has ever suspected, so the potential for a Spindle writ much larger with SD's instead of heavy cruisers besides other BSDF weapons, supported by Mycroft and Apollo's if necessary, is more than possible.
Of course that could mean another ~400-500 BF SD's have been captured or destroyed, seriously reducing the BF's OoB NTM prestige rather badly.
After all, when you've only got half left after just a couple battles, with darn little if anything to show for it, the term 'paper tiger' comes to mind.
L
Scuffles wrote:I'm going to have problems with it if a SLN fleet gets close enough to Beowulf to do any damage. It requires tactically competent people to be idiots.
In fact it requires the commander of whatever forces Manticore sent to Beowulf to not even think about the mission at all.
Problem 1: We don't want to be in orbit of the planet where we might look like we're coercing someone.
Problem 2: We're here to make sure nothing bad happens.
The solution to both is the same play that's been used in pretty much every fleet battle since Thunderbolt. Hang out in hyper, mousetrap bad guys, profit.
It might not be fun or all that interesting but unless there's a convincing reason why that play can't work then it's going to be a hard sell that whoever's in charge of that force didn't come up with it.