Alistair wrote:I think that there would be PLENTY of people wanting to hold the league together.
Many core worlds (even the "good" democratic ones) would have plenty of reasons to see a reform of the league or maybe a replacement that does the same thing better, rather than its destruction.
Think about it the core worlds have had to pay just a pittance of there G.S.P on defence and foreign affairs because of the existence of the league.
If the league breaks up into scores of succession states that "free ride" on defence ends.
An analogy could be given of the U.S.A and my home country New Zealand
Since World war 2 NZs defence spending has steadily dropped in real terms and we don't even have any combat aircraft anymore why?
Answer in part U.S Naval supremacy our exports can go on ships protected (indirectly) by the U.S Navy.
So while in NZ there are plenty of people on the streets who (sadly) don't like America those in power know that America supremacy gives stability and is better than its replacement (China?).
Same for the league in honourverse
If I were a good democrat on a core world despite the many, many grievous faults of the SL I would not be eager to simply join everyone in throwing the SL under the train because despite the SL sins it still has given stability and interstellar peace for literally thousands of years!!
I would use the current situation to either reform it or create a replacement that still leaves the League in top dog place.
In essence just as WW2 finished off the league of nations and paved the way for the United nations. the current war could finish off the league but many of the key players will want to see a replacement that gives them the advantages of the current regime.
And they would rather stick with the league then have it replaced by interstellar "dark age" where successor states routinely nuke planets and every core world planet has to have large fleets of SDs just to protect its existence.
The problem with that line of logic is that it is all League-wide, long-term thinking.
If they stick together, they have a chance, a good one, but only if.
Individual planetary governments don't think about future defense budgets, and even if they do, it is easier for each and all to let the others burden the load of the war, and make a separate deal.
Sticking your head out for the SL seems like a good to invite a Manty raiding fleet, and once the first begin to flee the league, the rest will follow out of panic.