I don't follow tablet OS releases or development so I don't know what significant changes Ubuntu tablets will provide.
As far as Microsoft's anti-competitive practices go, I've never felt like I was hugely restricted to what I can do on my Window's computer, especially compared to the Apple OS series. Have they bundled things more than they legally should have? Yes, but they don't force you to use Windows Media Player or Internet Explorer. The fact is consumers expect that their computer, regardless of OS, will -at a minimum- go on the internet and play music out of the box. I've had more problems due to limited competition with cell phone providers, cable companies (Comcast, cough, cough), and utility companies than with my computer's operating system.
I don't have the confidence you do about Windows beginning its demise this year, I think you're basing that off of issues Windows 8 is having. The problem with Windows 8 has almost nothing to do with the OS itself, the problem with Windows 8 is Microsoft's Marketing department. Windows 8 is a touch OS that can do traditional Windows tasks. It's not really designed to function like any of it's desktop/laptop predecessors, it can still perform almost all of those functions but it's not designed to. And Microsoft's marketing department has thus far failed to grasp that, though the rest of the company seems to be beginning to understand that, now that Microsoft has announced that it's extending support for Windows 7 longer and allowing people to switch to Windows 7 from Windows 8.
The other factor that I think you may be glossing over is the expense of switching. I've run the math on a theoretical company using conservative assumptions and not factoring in difficult to determine costs (lost productivity, delays, and expert trainer costs).
Lets assume that a medium sized company (~400 employees) with 75% of its work force requiring an individual computer. That's 300 computers. Using the overly optimistic number of 20 minutes total time to have the computer up and running with Linux and all needed programs, that is 6,000 minutes, 100 hours. Using standard employee time utilization of 80% (the remaining 20% is breaks, meetings, etc...), that gives a required 125 man-hours to switch. At $75/hour (that's a rough value for an employee making $20/hour plus benefits and overhead to support that employee) that comes to a total of $9,375 just to have the computers run Linux and the programs needed for each employee to do their job.
Now that the computers are running Linux, let's assume that it takes the equivalent of about 5-8 hour days for each employee to be able to use the Linux systems and all the necessary programs as fast as they currently do in the Windows environment. Again using $75/hour (rather low when you factor in managers and educated professionals like engineers), that comes to $900,000. And that's not counting the 25% that don't need computers to do their daily work but do need them for timecards, company email, and other tasks. Let's say it takes 2 hours for them and use the same time value of $75/hour. That's $15,000. So that's a conservative $915,000 to have the employees doing their job as fast as they are currently doing it, not including time from experts to do the actual training.
So the total cost (not including trainers, assuming the existing hardware will work just as well, and that all software is free) is $924,375. And that doesn't account for lost productivity and delays.
I don't see the business case for switching when the company does not have significant issues with crashs, viruses, and other malware. And that doesn't consider the possible compatibility issues of existing files and addressing issues related to protecting trade secrets/confidential information.
cthia wrote:I understand those points. Believe me, I have worked for companies whom are still in the dark ages too. They feel its too much trouble to change over to anything else. And there simply is no incentive to do so.
Alternatives do exist even in your case.
I have a couple of Sun Systems. I collect nostalgic hardware.
But that problem you've touched on stems from unfair trade practices of one Redmond giant.
Same as Ma Bell & AT&T.
I do not see Windows surviving. I just don't.
This year, will spell the beginning of Windows demise.
Once the Ubuntu tablet is released people's eyes are going to open.
And they'll see Microsoft for the first time.