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MASSIVE SPOILER about next book hardware

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Re: MASSIVE SPOILER about next book hardware
Post by kbus888   » Tue Mar 27, 2012 2:30 pm

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On the other hand, we have learned very little about Harchong, other that they have slaves and are considered to be very faithful to the <COGA>.

?? Does anyone else find it suspicious that <RFC> has said almost nothing about this largest of the Safehold realms ??

?? Is there a surprise in store for us ??

?? And if so, what could it be ??

R

CJK wrote:IIRC the emperor of Harchong has yet to make a single decision in running his empire, which is quite an achievement considering he had 8 years to do so. possibly a good thing considering how his cousin Admiral of the Broad Oceans performed. Also of note is that most of their manufacturing is performed by slaves, giving them a penalty in quality for any goods they make.

Another possible reason why Harchong is so slow is simple ignorance, not just of slaves but the whole society. In essence they are like Trynair still tying to play the game, where Charis is so small compared to Harchong it is very unlikely that they feel as threatened. After all it took the Go4 near 2 years to wake up to the fact that galleys were useless, in fact even in AMF some Desnair officers were still not sold on the idea.
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Re: MASSIVE SPOILER about next book hardware
Post by PeterZ   » Tue Mar 27, 2012 2:36 pm

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Of course there are surprises waiting for us, kbus888. That's why we buy DW's books. My view is that he wants to set low expectations for Harchongese in general, so when he introduces a worthwhile Harchongese character the contrast is like that of a sword to a butterknife.

kbus888 wrote:On the other hand, we have learned very little about Harchong, other that they have slaves and are considered to be very faithful to the <COGA>.

?? Does anyone else find it suspicious that <RFC> has said almost nothing about this largest of the Safehold realms ??

?? Is there a surprise in store for us ??

?? And if so, what could it be ??

R

CJK wrote:IIRC the emperor of Harchong has yet to make a single decision in running his empire, which is quite an achievement considering he had 8 years to do so. possibly a good thing considering how his cousin Admiral of the Broad Oceans performed. Also of note is that most of their manufacturing is performed by slaves, giving them a penalty in quality for any goods they make.

Another possible reason why Harchong is so slow is simple ignorance, not just of slaves but the whole society. In essence they are like Trynair still tying to play the game, where Charis is so small compared to Harchong it is very unlikely that they feel as threatened. After all it took the Go4 near 2 years to wake up to the fact that galleys were useless, in fact even in AMF some Desnair officers were still not sold on the idea.
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Re: MASSIVE SPOILER about next book hardware
Post by Captain Igloo   » Tue Mar 27, 2012 2:49 pm

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China's Ming Dynasty, 1368–1644? Or the Qing (1644 to 1911), with the imperial corruption exemplified by the minister Heshen (1746 – February 22, 1799)?

It is recorded that in 1799, when Heshen was brought to justice and his house searched, his household possessions acquired through graft amounted to a value of 800 million taels of silver -- an amount equal to 10 years' revenue of the Qing government.
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Re: MASSIVE SPOILER about next book hardware
Post by lyonheart   » Wed Mar 28, 2012 12:03 am

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WOW!

WOW!

Is this the longest note from RFC here?

6 pages of detailed responses to 2 pages of pitiful questions is very impressive!
I cringe at how valuable such courtesy is both in time and financially to RFC/tMWW, NTM the potential delay in what we all desperately are waiting for.

How can I thank RFC enough for such a prompt fairly detailed response?

I'm amazed he was able to keep track of all those questions when I didn't, since it was 3 in the morning IIRC.

Granted he didn't and won't answer some questions for very understandable reasons, NTM he's busy again, but we should all be grateful for what he did say.

Which I'm still trying to figure out! :-)

If I may, I'm going to number my questions or points that RFC answered with his, so there's going to be some interpolation, and my responses to hos comments will be double-starred if that's clear enough, NTM I apologize for the delay of this post.


[quote="runsforcelery"][quote="lyonheart"]Wow sir!

No apology necessary, your explanation was quite interesting; I was just thinking along a different line of reasoning which seemed sound to me, (doesn't it always).

Thank you for responding to my post so promptly, and I'm sorry you were up so early. :-)

In fact, bless you for any response. :-)

(1) I hoped providing an obvious physical obstruction might be an acceptable explanation, but your political handicap while clever and satisfactory does provokes more questions (you know how that works :-).

(2) Will there be a map of the canal route in MTaT?

(3) Why wasn't the non-use of the canal mentioned as proof by the Go4 that the temple etc wasn't behind the war?

(4) How old is Silkiah, or when was it created?
400 or 500 years ago?

If the canal has been around since the creation, why were the locks built so small?

(5) Why did it take until the 8th or 9th century to become a political objective?

I realize these questions may be answered in MTaT, but your data-dump prompts my busy mind.

(6) Why is the canal so deep, if the ships or locks are so small (>140'?); is it the tidal effects I mentioned?

A 20' draft is pretty hefty (>10,000 ton British 8" treaty cruisers only had a draft of 21') since it prevents ICN warships in the USS Constitution range (1500-2200 ton displacement, NTM it also has a 21' draft) yet few merchant galleons would appear to have trouble using it for that reason.

(7) If the canal is also narrow (30'?) that's another good reason its mainly limited to barge traffic now, but taking advantage of a 20' draft would seem to push for widening it long before the current crisis.

(8) Once the Go4 or grand vicar had declared holy war, wouldn't it have been clever to build Dohlar's fleet so it could pass through the canal, then be fully combat loaded at the other end, ready to grab Tarot or help Desnar?

(9) Since we learned about the treaty of 869 YoG made it a tributary of Desnar, I supposed it had some Desnar army units within it, particularly along its borders.
Dohlar apparently felt and feels threatened by Harchong, Siddarmark, and Desnar; yet if Silkiah was independent it should have provided quite a border buffer against Desnar.

(10) Bringing Desnar so close to Dohlar barely 25 years ago should have ticked King Rahnyld IV off, or his father.
Could his father been 'removed' by church assassins, and his son encouraged to build up his debt to the church?
Otherwise Dohlar might have had some reason to prefer Charis over Desnar etc.

(11) Certainly Dohlarian merchant galleons should have built to take advantage of the canal, while still being quite seaworthy if near 20 feet draft is possible.

(12) If the locks are too small for most galleons, why hasn't the church replaced them with bigger ones, compelling all the merchant ships to pay mother church tolls directly; saving 150 days around Howard, speeding up commerce (and more tolls etc) so much I could see Charis offering to help pay for such improvements.

(13) Are the ironclads able to fit the canal locks?
I ask because that's another detail (with good reason:-) you have yet to share with us.

(14) Given what the sea-bees could do, could the ICN have created a similar force so temporary locks or weirs might be built to allow them to cross Silkiah?
I'm thinking of the 1864 Red river campaign escape here.

I'm sorry for all the questions, but they are stimulated by your great writing and messages.

Again, thank you very much for answering some aspects of such an intriguing story!

L[/quote]

Lyonheart, if I wanted you to know all of that stuff, I'd already have told you, wouldn't I? You are, however, assuming some facts not in evidence and doing some misinterpreting.

(1) I never said that there [i]wasn't[/i] a physical obstruction in the way of connecting the gulf of Dohlar and the Gulf of Jahras directly; I responded specifically to the question of why the Salthar Canal wasn't used to transport the Royal Dohlaran Navy in the run-up to the Armageddon Reef campaign.

**I'm sorry I misunderstood, thanks for the clarification.**

(2) I don't know exactly what maps will be in [i]Toil and Tribulation[/i]; I make suggestions and then we find out exactly what we're going to have time/resources to get in. The main emphasis in the upcoming book is going to be on the Republic of Siddarmark, so I would imagine that that's where the maps will be concentrated, and the Salthar Canal (and Grand Duchy of Silkiah) may or may not be included.

** More maps are always welcome!**

(3) The non-use of the canal wasn't mentioned by the Group of Four as proof that the Temple wasn't behind the war because drawing attention to it would simply have convinced people they had to be lying because their lips were moving. They'd already done everything that could be done to "prove" it was the Knights of the Temple Lands and not Mother Church behind all of this, and they weren't interested in drawing any attention to the "sneak attack" by pointing out ahead of time that they weren't using the canal. Since the allegations that the Group of Four was actually behind it have been floating around, they've chosen not to address the problem in part because they didn't want the fact that Silkiah was busy ignoring the embargo brought to public attention, for a lot of reasons. You may have noticed that they haven't said a great deal about Silkiah one way or the other — not publicly, at any rate.

** Thank for the details.**

(4) The [i]city[/i] of Silkiah has been around virtually since the Day of Creation; the [i]Grand Duchy[/i] of Silkiah is a much more recent creation, taking its name from the major city in the territory. The wars between the Republic of Siddarmark and the Desnairian Empire which led to the creation of the Grand Duchy began around 680, about 200 years ago, when Desnair invaded the Siddarmarkian province of Shiloh across what was then the unclaimed (and largely un-terraformed) South March Lands. There were several reasons for the invasion, but one of them was that Siddarmark had essentially turned the city of Silkiah into an overseas extension of the Republic, with local coasters transshipping canal cargoes across the Gulf of Mathyas to Trokhanos and Malitar Provinces. Desnair wanted the cargoes to go south, down the Silkiahan coast to the Gulf of Jahras; Silkiah didn't much like Desnair and preferred to deal with Siddarmark. The war between Siddarmark and Desnair [i]technically[/i] didn't have a thing to do with Silkiah or the canal; in fact, it had quite a lot to do with it, and everyone knew it, but it's not considered polite to fight over canals in Safehold partly because the construction and maintenance of the canals are both enjoined upon all sons and daughters of Mother Church as religious duties in the Book of Langhorne.

**Fascinating!
From the description of the land that became the Grand Duchy of Silkiah, it was pretty barren then, and quite a barrier to any army on logistic grounds alone.
The Desnarian army must have been very well organized even back then, to field cavalry based armies into what became the South Marches, so far from their national bases.
It sounds like the duty to build and repair canals in the Holy Writ certainly emphasizes their importance, which will be 'repeated' in MTaT, but it could also be abused; could constant canal projects be one method of forcing small farmers into serfdom, if they weren't allowed enough time to work their farms to pay their debts?

I would think that all the island nations would also want to harness all that potential legal religious labor to knit their countries together more strongly.**

At first, the Desnairian cavalry crushed the Siddarmarkian militia and army. By the time the Third Desnair-Siddarmark War was fought, however, Siddarmark had effectively reinvented the Swiss pike square and proceeded to kick Desnair in the belly and then dance up and down on its spine for the next fifty years or so. By the time the Church intervened effectively, Siddarmark had pushed south into North Watch far enough to be halfway around the inland edge of the Gulf of Jahras. This is one reason why everybody on the mainland has been scared to death of the Siddarmarkian Army prior to the introduction of flintlocks and artillery, and a huge reason why Clyntahn was dead set against allowing Siddarmark to acquire any of the "new model" war fighting technology. ("They can already kill any other army on the continent, and you want to give them [i]rifles[/i], too?! How crazy [i]are[/i] you?!”) As a means of separating the contestants, the Church created the Grand Duchy of Silkiah (out of land which was still largely uninhabited) and specifically demilitarized the Salthar Canal. And by "demilitarized," I don't mean simply that you couldn't pass warships through it, but that you weren't allowed to use it for military purposes of [i]any[/i] sort, which was intended to handicap future military campaigns by either side along the isthmus between Howard and East Haven.

**Cool, neat, awesome!
The threat the canal couldn't be used for ANY military purpose would certainly chill any military ambitions in the region.
Clyntahn's reaction to Siddarmark having access to all of Charis's military innovations is going to be fun to read!**


(4) Did I [i]tell[/i] you how big the locks were built? They're a lot bigger than any of the "animal-draft" canals on Old Earth were, because dragons can draw greater weights. You will find out all kinds of things about the canals, why they were built the size they were, whether or not they're still being built that size, etc., in the next book, and I'm not going to tell you about them now. Sorry about that.

**Understood. I'm looking forward to reading them all!"

(5) What makes you think it took until the eighth or ninth century for canals to become political objectives? This particular canal was a major contributing factor for a series of wars beginning in the late seventh century. The canal itself was not of enormous importance until perhaps a hundred years before that [i]because there weren't any people in the vicinity[/i]. It was only as Trokhanos and Malitar in Siddarmark and the area around the Gulf of Jahras in Desnair began attracting large numbers of people that the [i]Salthar[/i] Canal became especially significant, since it was never intended for oceanic transport in the first place, which meant it was basically a "local feeder" system rather than one with huge strategic importance. That doesn’t mean other canals [i]didn’t[/i] have significant political, economic, and/or military importance before that time.

**Thanks for the heads up, I look forward to reading all of it in more detail ASAP!
Is it possible that Trokhanos and Malitar are canal terminals well, so much of the trade went north from those cities?
Given how long commerce between continents has been going on her on earth with indications of some kind of trade involving the pharaohs and South America several millenia ago, NTM the ingenuity involved in transporting the blue stones to Stonehenge; controlling growth in general NTM trade, exploration or unauthorized contacts between different peoples might have taxed even the CoGA's supreme authority, to say nothing of its patience.**

(6) Where did I say the canal is 20 feet deep? I didn't. I said that you couldn't get oceanic galleons, with drafts [i]in excess of twenty feet[/i] through them; I never said that you [i]could[/i] get oceanic galleons with drafts of twenty feet [i]or less[/i] through them. Oceanic galleons tend to have drafts of around 18-25 feet; therefore, what I was saying was that you can't get oceanic galleons — period — through them, that one of the reasons is the depth of the canal, and that galleons tend to be around twenty feet deep, which simply means that the canals have to be less than [i]19[/i] feet deep or so.

**I'm sorry I misunderstood,but given the small size of some ships that have crossed oceans, I suspect ships that can pass through the canal could cross oceans such as the Nina, Pinta and Santa Maria or Golden Hind etc.**

(7) I'm not going to tell you how wide the canal is.

**Your privilege all the way.
I apologize for asking again when I should have kept better track.
I completely understand, although if you did leak it I doubt it would hurt sales. :-)**

(8) Yes, it might have been, [i]but you couldn't get them [b]through[/b] the thing[/i].

**It seemed clever to me too, but too wide etc, is too wide.**

(9) Desnair collects tribute from Silkiah; Silkiah is not a Desnairian possession. It is, in fact, specifically [i] not[/i] a possession of [i]either[/i] Siddarmark or Desnair. The tribute that it pays to Desnair was intended largely as a deliberate smack in the teeth to Siddarmark on the part of the Church when the Grand Duchy was created, in no small part because Siddarmark had . . . failed to note certain hints from the Church that Mother Church thought it would be a good idea for the Siddarmarkian army to go home rather than continuing to advance into Desnair. The tribute itself is pretty much nominal (it actually consists primarily of a requirement that Silkiah give Desnairian cargo passing through the canal a preferential rate), and it is officially justified not as a means of punishing Siddarmark for its hubris but as a way of compensating Desnair for the fact that it was not — then — possible to transport by canal from the gulf of Dohlar to eastern Desnair. It still isn't, for that matter, although there is now an additional canal link to the Gulf of Jahras from Hankey Sound, using one of the internal river lines, making the Salthar Canal itself less critical. Desnair still doesn't have direct canal connections between its northwestern provinces and the eastern portion of the empire, however, and the Gulf of Jahra’ canal termini are one of the big reasons the Gulf was so critical to the Empire's economy . . . and why the shipyards were placed predominantly there, rather than farther south.

**Wow. More canals to look for,neat.
It might be one of the the best defenses against the river ironclads might be to destroy the canal locks if they otherwise would fit, to prevent their advance up rivers and canals.**

(10) I didn't say Dohlar felt threatened by Harchong, Siddarmark, and Desnair; I said King Rahnyld can't [i]expand[/i] because he's surrounded by powerful kingdoms that wouldn't welcome his intrusion. I'm not sure why you think Rahnyld's father might have been removed by the Church, nor do I understand why the creation of a buffer zone between Desnair and Siddarmark should be seen as a threat by Dohlar. If Desnair was permitted to use Silkiah as a militarily occupied province, it would be a damned poor "buffer" against Siddarmark, wouldn't it? You seem to be leaping to quite a few conclusions about who owns and controls what in the Grand Duchy. And I can't conceive of any reason why Rahnyld of Dohlar would have favored Charis over Desnair when what Rahnyld wanted was to try and build a merchant marine that would allow him to expand his power and his economy in the knowledge that overland expansion was impossible for him. Desnair is not and never was a [i]maritime[/i] competitor to Dohlar, nor has Dohlar regarded Desnair as any particular military threat for at least a century or two.

**I'm sorry I didn't explain my sudden thought process very well.
My impression of Dohlar was that among other things, it was or felt threatened by 3 major hostile states all with big armies along its borders, and was something near an armed state in terms of available manpower.
Which was bankrupting it, since trying to meet the minimum defense needed against its neighbors was impossible from its internal economy, so pushing the sea trade was an attempt to meet its costs.
It thus seemed making the Desnar the very much closer neighbor wouldn't be appreciated by Dohlar's king whoever that might be, and we all know the Church has assassins (and they have to practice sometime), that demonstrating the range of tools or weapons the temple has might have been another warning to Siddarmark to accept the treaty.
But if Silkiah is completely demilitarized, then no worries, yet I only learned that from your post.
Thank you.
My thoughts were expressed briefly but not concisely enough, and Charis was indeed a poor fit for a friend or ally of Dohlar.**

(11) As I pointed out before, there [i]is[/i] no 20 feet of draft available, so no one was going to build anything except relatively shallow draft, small coasters — or barges — to use the canals.

**Yup, my abject apologies.
Still whether 60, 84, 108, or 300 tons; they were all ocean capable.**

(12) You do realize how capital intensive canal building in a muscle-powered civilization is, don't you? The expansion and maintenance of the canal system is a religious duty, but when it ain't broke, you don't fix it, and until Charis came along, [i]there was no international maritime trade worth talking about[/i]. You do remember what I said about Charis being willing to venture out of sight of land while no one else was? About how Charis got in on the ground floor of international maritime commerce? Charis had to build real [i]ships[/i] to carry its cargo because it didn't have nice, convenient, [i]calm[/i] canals. Its ships had to be able to handle oceanic or near-oceanic conditions, even on Howell Bay, and so it began moving towards the evolution of the "Atlantic" hull types before anyone else . . . except Corisande and, to a lesser extent, Chisholm. Nobody on the mainland (the only part of the planet that really counts, right?) was especially interested in sending commerce around the southern tip of Howard to trade with the "out islands," who didn't have much of a population, anyway. Besides, they were all uncultured, ignorant barbarians who probably painted themselves blue and scratched a lot in indelicate places, weren't they?

Once that started changing, the critical maritime routes established themselves with [i]Charis[/i] as the most critical node, not the mainland. It wasn't a case of Portugal looking for a route to the Spice Islands; it was a case of King Harrahld's grandafther and great-grandfather deliberately supporting the evolution of manufacturing (Safehold style) and then looking for [i]export[/i] markets, first and foremost, with [i]imports[/i] as a secondary concern. (And if you think you might see the hand of the Brethren of Saint Zhernau in there, well . . . . )

The blue-water sea routes people were interested in thus evolved naturally to connect Charis to Howard by way of Tarot and to both Havens by way of Siddarmark, Hsing-wu's Passage, [i]and the inland canal system[/i]. Look at the fact that I’ve said persistently that Siddarmark is who’s been supplying the Border States and Temple Lands with Charisian goods. Essentially, Charisian galleons deliver the goods in question to Siddarmark, where they are landed, broken down into smaller loads, dumped into the canal system, and sent west. And the intimate connection between Charisian and Siddarmarkian trade is one of the things which has made Siddarmark even more deeply suspect in Clyntahn’s eyes since the beginning of the Jihad. In many ways, the Republic and Charis have been joined at the hip for a long, long time, and he's been absolutely right, from his perspective, to fear that connection. He's also figured it was only a matter of time before Stohnar openly embraced Charis, especially if Charis continued to defeat every Church fleet sent against it, which means the Sword of Scheuler was actually (in many ways) as logical --- and inevitable --- from the Church's perspective as he claimed. (As an aside, I don't really think he's quite as much of a total loose cannon as a lot of readers seem to think he is. He's definitely Not A Nice Person, and he Has A Few Quirks In His Gallop, but underneath all that choler and hedonism of his, there really is a working brain. That's what makes him so dangerous. Don't forget, when you're evaluating his actions, analyses, and responses that [i]he has no clue about Merlin's true nature or capabilities or the existence of the [b]Charisian[/b] "inner circle" he's up against.[/i]

**Thanks for the reminder!**

The existence of the sea routes described above is the real reason very few Charisian galleons — merchant galleons — had penetrated as far as the Gulf of Dohlar until the last twenty or thirty years before Merlin's arrival. (Remember the Charisian privateer out for revenge on Dohlar for what happened to his father’s galleon when Charis was first starting to get involved in shipping in the Gulf of Dohlar?) There's also a reason Rahnyld thought he could get away with excluding Charisian "interlopers" from the Gulf. Most of the trade in the Gulf of Dohlar was carried in relatively small ships serving as the blue-water connectors for canals into Dohlar and the Gulf of Tanshar. What Rahnyld intended to do, as the biggest and most powerful of the (non-Harchongian) realms with coastlines on the Gulf of Dohlar, was to turn the Gulf into a Desnairian lake in terms of merchant traffic. Harchong, the only possible local objector big enough to do anything about it, didn't care who the ships belonged to as long as the bureaucrats got their cut of graft off of the traffic, so the only real fly in his ointment were the increasing intrusions of Charisian galleons [i]carrying Charisian manufactured goods[/i] directly to consumers. (Especially in North Harchong, which — for various reasons — has fewer canals than most place.) Well, that and the fact that he knew that once he got outside the Gulf of Dohlar he'd be up against a worldwide Charisian merchant trading net that was growing steadily more all-pervasive and omnipresent. One reason he signed on so enthusiastically for the Armageddon Reef Campaign was his desire to squash Charis and (hopefully) supplant it as Safehold’s premiere maritime power.

Part of the reason for the Group of Four's concern where Charis was involved was that Charis stood outside the conventional Safeholdian model and was moving steadily [i]further[/i] outside that model even before Merlin turned up. The Church understood the primarily agrarian, canal-based, low-tech economies of the mainland. It understood how Harchong worked, understood (mostly) the rivalry between Desnair and Siddarmark, understood what Rahnyld was trying to accomplish in the Gulf of Dohlar. What it did [i]not[/i] understand (because it had no previous experience with it) was the emergence of a [i]manufacturing-based economy[/i] (even in its pre-Ehdwyrd Howsmyn incarnation), trading with the entire world directly, using its own blue-water cargo ships to do it. Charis was an island, thousands of miles away from Zion and the mainland, where "all sorts of things" were clearly happening, and whose geographic and (especially) oceanic isolation from the Church's traditional power centers left the Church with too few levers (in the Church's opinion) to "manage" the situation. Clyntahn clearly — and accurately — appreciated that anything outside the Church's model for controlling and manipulating economies, restricting dangerous quests for knowledge (like the Royal College), and enforcing rigid, mainland-style religious orthodoxy [i]constituted a serious threat[/i] to the status quo and, thus, directly threatened the Church's position of control. But he wasn't analyzing a pattern which had been in existence for 150 or 200 years — he was looking at a pattern which had begun emerging on a world level in no more than the past 60 or 70 years. A status quo, stagnant, top-down system whose controls and constraints have never been successfully or even significantly threatened in 800 years of recorded history can be just a little slow to recognize new and unprecedented threats, especially ones which grow as explosively (historically speaking) as the "Charisian problem" did. I've tried to make clear in the books that even though the situation that we see as of the Armageddon Reef Campaign is one which has obtained for many decades, it's still considered new and aberrant by men like Zhaspahr Clyntahn and that men like Zahmsyn Trynair are still coming to grips with the fact that the traditional ways of "managing" the secular realms don't apply to islands that don't share borders with other, potentially hostile neighbors and who are busy developing an entirely new economic paradigm, never envisioned by the [i]Holy Writ[/i].

In connection with the Church's tardiness in realizing what it's up against in Charis, you might want to think about how preoccupied the Church was with the emergence of the Republic of Siddarmark as a significant threat — in the Church's eyes — to the [i]mainland[/i] status quo. The "out islands" were at best a threat on the horizon; having seen what the Republic did to Desnair, with what everyone (especially Desnair) considered to be the finest cavalry in the world, the Church was deeply concerned about what might happen if those same pike blocks headed west into the Border States. The fact that Siddarmark had ignored "hints" from Trynair's predecessors when the Church tried to whistle the Republic off Desnair didn't do a thing to make the vicarate any more confident of its ability to continue to "manage" Siddarmark, either. The fact that the Church couldn't understand why the Republic was determined to crush Desnair once and for all after 200 years or so of extremely bloody warfare which had begun with an unprovoked invasion of Siddarmark by Desnair may be another example of the Church becoming increasingly . . . desensitized to events outside its own ranks as the great Church dynasties became ever more focused on their own corruption and power seeking. As far as the Church was concerned, Siddarmark didn't have any [i]right[/i] to seek redress against Desnair after Mother Church had said "All right, that's enough!" and ordered both of her recalcitrant children to go back to their rooms. The fact that Siddarmark didn't seem to understand that self evident law of God and the universe obviously meant Siddarmark was a potentially dangerous rogue state that needed watching. So Siddarmark tended to monopolize the Church's attention while Charis was coming up fast on the outside. And then, when Charis [i]did[/i] impinge on the Church’s radar, the commonality of interest (mostly economic to begin with, but becoming steadily more pronounced in other ways, as well, by the time Merlin turned up) between her and Siddarmark only turned the two of them into mutually reinforcing threats in the Church's eyes. Which is the basis for Clyntahn's attitude towards both of them, if you read carefully.

**Wow.
What a great long answer!
Thank you very much for all of that data.**

(13) Do you really think I'm going to tell you whether or not ironclads — River-class or blue water — can fit into canals at this point?

**No but if you were feeling generous... :-) **

(14) If the Salthar Canal were a river, maybe it could, assuming the locks themselves were big enough, but don't hold your breath waiting for it.

**Okay, it was just a thought of something that could have happened to these ironclads.* *

I'm going to go away now. Don't ask me any more questions. I have other things I need to do and you have a book coming out in September which will answer quite a few of them . . . and undoubtedly provoke still more.[/quote]

Thank you again for all your time and talent invested in being so patient with me, sir.

It's been an honor and a pleasure!

L
Any snippet or post from RFC is good if not great!
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Re: MASSIVE SPOILER about next book hardware
Post by lyonheart   » Wed Mar 28, 2012 3:00 am

lyonheart
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Joined: Tue Sep 08, 2009 11:27 pm

Hi Kbus888,

Darned right.

But what do we know about most of Safehold?

Darned little.

What do we know about Trellheim?

What do we know about the Raven Lords?

What do we know about the buffer states?

What do we know about Sodar?

What do we know about Myratha?

What do we know about Selkar?

To all of the above, not much.

Feel free to speculate about all of them, though.

Which one will most people choose? :-)

L


kbus888 wrote:On the other hand, we have learned very little about Harchong, other that they have slaves and are considered to be very faithful to the <COGA>.

?? Does anyone else find it suspicious that <RFC> has said almost nothing about this largest of the Safehold realms ??

?? Is there a surprise in store for us ??

?? And if so, what could it be ??

R

CJK wrote:IIRC the emperor of Harchong has yet to make a single decision in running his empire, which is quite an achievement considering he had 8 years to do so. possibly a good thing considering how his cousin Admiral of the Broad Oceans performed. Also of note is that most of their manufacturing is performed by slaves, giving them a penalty in quality for any goods they make.

Another possible reason why Harchong is so slow is simple ignorance, not just of slaves but the whole society. In essence they are like Trynair still tying to play the game, where Charis is so small compared to Harchong it is very unlikely that they feel as threatened. After all it took the Go4 near 2 years to wake up to the fact that galleys were useless, in fact even in AMF some Desnair officers were still not sold on the idea.
Any snippet or post from RFC is good if not great!
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Re: MASSIVE SPOILER about next book hardware
Post by OJsDad   » Wed Mar 28, 2012 7:44 am

OJsDad
Lieutenant Commander

Posts: 109
Joined: Wed Apr 14, 2010 7:01 pm

runsforcelery wrote:I'm going to go away now. Don't ask me any more questions. I have other things I need to do and you have a book coming out in September which will answer quite a few of them . . . and undoubtedly provoke still more.


When I first read this, I thought of Gandalf.
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Re: MASSIVE SPOILER about next book hardware
Post by FriarBob   » Wed Mar 28, 2012 12:52 pm

FriarBob
Rear Admiral

Posts: 1061
Joined: Thu Jan 27, 2011 8:29 pm

Given that the "mainland" biased stereotype of the "out islands" is along the lines of "a bunch of barbarians", and we know that Trellheim essentially IS exactly matching the stereotype (and Silverlode isn't that far off despite being an "unofficial" territory of Charis), I'm going to guess that at least some (maybe even all) of the others are as well.

Charis/Emerald/Corisande/Chisholm are obviously all exceptions to the rule in a pre-OAR timeframe (and Tarot usually wasn't even considered part of the rule even if they really are far more stereotypical than the rest of the "big four"). But I also suspect there are at least some places that actually do (still? / at least partially?) match the stereotype.

IMO I don't really think you can just have one place (or two if you count Silverlode) that matches the stereotype and a bunch of blind arrogant fools applies that to everybody else out of sheer laziness/stupidity. Granted 200-300 years ago everybody out there -- including the "big four" -- probably was the stereotype, but after 200+ years of steady improvement you'd think at least a few people would have more of a clue by now. Then again, Weber did say Charis' real power had developed only in the last 60 or 70 years. Perhaps the same is true of the other three. And if that's true for them as well, then it's also possible the other "out islands" are also at least starting to improve.

Despite that, my guess is that the Raven Lords are, essentially, what Chisholm would have become had Sharleyan's father failed in his attempt to regain control of the Lords... except in that their case they simply never coalesced into a kingdom at all. They are also much like Trellheim, with much of their territory not yet terraformed since nobody actually lives anywhere except their few towns/cities (most of which are probably coastal cities)... much like the MWW said Silkiah (the city) was vs the territory of the recently-created Grand Duchy of the same name. And because they share an island with Chisholm, this may help explain why Chisholm was denigrated and nobody realized just how powerful (for the area, at least) they had become (even if, compared to Charis at least, they weren't really all that much).

I further suspect Zebediah was also lagging behind, which was why Corisande was able to conquer them.

I think that once you get to the mainland, however, things are very different. I suspect the Buffer States and the minor kingdoms you mentioned (Sodar/Myratha/Selkar) are far more developed. They're on the mainland which likely means they've had much higher populations for much longer periods of time. They are specifically called kingdoms and/or the Buffer States, which suggests that they have actual governmental structure, even if each is nominally independent of each other and the Church and/or their other neighbors. Obviously the kingdoms all have kings (or queens). A few (or maybe only one or two) of the Buffer States have been very briefly talked about in the text and they seem to have feudal structure with a lord of some sort (count/earl/duke/something-or-another). All of this suggests they are developed, actual "nations" with at least some sort of "national identity" (or at least loyalty to a noble house of some sort) but they are just not focused on (much and so far, at least) because they are "minor players". And it wouldn't surprise me if many of them are relatively recently settled, much like Silkiah's "extra territory" that makes up the Grand Duchy. But "relatively recently" may still mean 300-400 years ago (as opposed to 900 years ago).

As for Harchong, the only reason I still have a hard time buying the idea there is some huge "massive surprise" waiting for us in Harchong is the way the serfs and slaves are supposed to be so extremely pious and religious that they accept their lot in life. But then the way the economy seems to suck brings to mind the old jokes about the Soviet Union (we'll pretend to work as long as you pretend to pay us). We know the impressed seamen were of putrid quality and had to be both kept numbed by booze and driven to their tasks by the lash, but that doesn't guarantee the rest of society is the same way. It could be, though. And we know the Church sees things through blinkers, but Harchong is also "right there next door". You'd think that means that they would have better info about it. Could the Vicarate be THAT blind to not see a massive wave of discontent brewing up from below? For that matter, if the peons are kept perpetually boozed up, maybe they do hear the rumbles and just write it all off as "drunken ramblings" that "they don't really mean". I guess either are certainly possible. The "elites" of any society don't truly understand the peons (nor do the peons truly understand them), but when both are treated with respect and work together for the common good things usually work out OK. Look, for example, at Siddarmark. The Lord Protector apparently took his responsibilities to his people seriously, he tried to provide for their economic well-being and safety even at the price of deliberately pissing off the church. He didn't fully understand their mindset or he would have been better able to direct his propaganda to reach the poor who were the Sword's natural lemmings. But he still tried and cared.

But when one (or both) sides fight to grasp all they can and to hell with anybody else, that's usually when real disaster -- the disaster that "comes out of nowhere" -- starts to brew. Perhaps disaster really is brewing and nobody sees it because their nose is to far up in the air to actually see the "little people".

lyonheart wrote:Hi Kbus888,

Darned right.

But what do we know about most of Safehold?

Darned little.

What do we know about Trellheim?

What do we know about the Raven Lords?

What do we know about the buffer states?

What do we know about Sodar?

What do we know about Myratha?

What do we know about Selkar?

To all of the above, not much.

Feel free to speculate about all of them, though.

Which one will most people choose? :-)

L


kbus888 wrote:On the other hand, we have learned very little about Harchong, other that they have slaves and are considered to be very faithful to the <COGA>.

?? Does anyone else find it suspicious that <RFC> has said almost nothing about this largest of the Safehold realms ??

?? Is there a surprise in store for us ??

?? And if so, what could it be ??

R

CJK wrote:IIRC the emperor of Harchong has yet to make a single decision in running his empire, which is quite an achievement considering he had 8 years to do so. possibly a good thing considering how his cousin Admiral of the Broad Oceans performed. Also of note is that most of their manufacturing is performed by slaves, giving them a penalty in quality for any goods they make.

Another possible reason why Harchong is so slow is simple ignorance, not just of slaves but the whole society. In essence they are like Trynair still tying to play the game, where Charis is so small compared to Harchong it is very unlikely that they feel as threatened. After all it took the Go4 near 2 years to wake up to the fact that galleys were useless, in fact even in AMF some Desnair officers were still not sold on the idea.
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Re: MASSIVE SPOILER about next book hardware
Post by kbus888   » Wed Mar 28, 2012 12:56 pm

kbus888
Vice Admiral

Posts: 1980
Joined: Mon May 02, 2011 11:58 pm
Location: Eastern Canada

True, we do not know much about many areas on Safehold.

The reason I mentioned Harchong though, is that that is the realm that seems to be most heavily populated.

EDIT: Spelling

R

lyonheart wrote:Hi Kbus888,

Darned right.

But what do we know about most of Safehold?

Darned little.

What do we know about Trellheim?

What do we know about the Raven Lords?

What do we know about the buffer states?

What do we know about Sodar?

What do we know about Myratha?

What do we know about Selkar?

To all of the above, not much.

Feel free to speculate about all of them, though.

Which one will most people choose? :-)

L


kbus888 wrote:On the other hand, we have learned very little about Harchong, other that they have slaves and are considered to be very faithful to the <COGA>.

?? Does anyone else find it suspicious that <RFC> has said almost nothing about this largest of the Safehold realms ??

?? Is there a surprise in store for us ??

?? And if so, what could it be ??

R

<snip>

Last edited by kbus888 on Wed Mar 28, 2012 1:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
..//* *\\
(/(..^..)\)
.._/'*'\_
.(,,,)^(,,,)

Love is a condition in which
the happiness of another
is essential to your own. - R Heinlein
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Re: MASSIVE SPOILER about next book hardware
Post by kbus888   » Wed Mar 28, 2012 1:07 pm

kbus888
Vice Admiral

Posts: 1980
Joined: Mon May 02, 2011 11:58 pm
Location: Eastern Canada

On a slightly different tack, I'll love to read about Clyntahn's reaction when Charis uses the Silkiahn canal for military maneuvers.

I wonder if he'll jump to the (I think corrct) conclusion that Silkiah is now solidly in the Charis camp ?

Duchairn will be royally ticked off since the los of tithes from Siddarmark and Silkiah will greatly affect the Church's finances.

R
..//* *\\
(/(..^..)\)
.._/'*'\_
.(,,,)^(,,,)

Love is a condition in which
the happiness of another
is essential to your own. - R Heinlein
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Re: MASSIVE SPOILER about next book hardware
Post by Dutch46   » Wed Mar 28, 2012 2:54 pm

Dutch46
Captain (Junior Grade)

Posts: 348
Joined: Sat Mar 03, 2012 9:01 pm

kbus888 wrote:On a slightly different tack, I'll love to read about Clyntahn's reaction when Charis uses the Silkiahn canal for military maneuvers.

I wonder if he'll jump to the (I think corrct) conclusion that Silkiah is now solidly in the Charis camp ?

Duchairn will be royally ticked off since the los of tithes from Siddarmark and Silkiah will greatly affect the Church's finances.

R



I would like to point out that once a vessel has entered a canal that has locks, it becomes pretty much a sitting duck. It can go either forward or backwards, that's it. Once it enters a lock, it becomes a stationary object until the water level has been equalized between it and the direction in which it wishes to go. If that requires raising the level, it may well be a long process since pumping has to be done by hand. Should either the lock gates or the means of raising or lowering the level be damaged or made inoperative while the vessel is in the lock, it becomes fixed in place until the offending condition can be corrected. This is why I think that the river ironclads will only enter the locks if the entire route of the canal is securely held in the hands of the Charisian armed forces and spend as little time as possible in them.

My guess as to how they will be employed is that they will be used to interdict the shipments of supplies that are surely being sent between the southern lands and the Temple Lands through the Gulf of Dohlar. In addition, I expect them to render close in fire support as Charis works to dismantle the remaining ship building and staging areas of coastal northern Howard, West Haven, Dohlar and the other Temple Land buffer states. Given that there are only a few, Merlin will determine through the use of his reconnaissance platforms which areas will provide the best use of these limited resources.

Siddarmark is a very large area and both the CoGA and Charis will find their supply lines severely stretched by the campaign to save Siddarmark thus best use of available resources will become extremely important. I expect that Charis will have a very long leg up on the Temple Lands on that score. Clynthan, while he may be very intelligent, appears to have a severe case of tunnel vision when it comes to how to go about getting people to cooperate. Willing cooperation always yields better esults that coerced cooperation. He also appears clueless about finances and, as the earth has amply demonstrated many times, while lack of money may not bring a war to a halt, it will surely put a crimp into the ability to fight it causing shortages, inflation and a whole host of other problems.
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