I believe Tonto Silerheels called BGV taking Five Forks dead on the money. I was overly aggressive with Lake City. I had thought the concentration camps were mostly around Lake City and so thought that would draw BGV like a loadstone. I was right in that the forces taking Guarnak would come through Sylman's Gap. All in all, I was close enough.
The MHoGAA appears to be establishing creditable defenses. Magwair recognizes the need to revamp their economy to compete with the EoC economically. Not to get wealthy but simply to be able to support the sort of material warfare Charis is forcing upon the CoGA. This argues that should the CoGA sue for a truce to begin negotiations, the Allies might just have to accept and begin negotiations. I hadn't believed the MHoGAA could be improved enough to provide creditable defenses for the CoGA, but otherwise also close enough for government work.
Don't you think so, Don and Lyonheart?