Well, for my part, I have read Isilith as being a lot more assertive about putting Silkiah in the EoC without much regard for what Silkiahans want, and that seems to have been a stronger impression than he wanted to convey.lyonheart wrote:Hi Isilith,
Neither Jeff nor I accused you of saying the alliance wanted or intended to conquer or enslave Silkiah, indeed the term I've always preferred is 'liberate' [in the process of taking the canal ], though some other posters didn't like it; but annexing it etc is quite unnecessary, and as Puerto Rico has demonstrated, colonies can be a pain.
The Wiki at least refers to Siddarmark's expansion into the Grand Duchy and Desnair, halted by the Treaty of Silk Town. That suggests that the Grand Duchy wasn't created then, but rather was a pre-existing state likely to fall to Siddarmark. (It doesn't, notably, indicate whether or not it was inclined to join Siddarmark peacefully; inclined by some Silkiahans to do so; or threatened with outright conquest.) Silkiahan accents sounding Desnairian suggests that the Grand Duchy may have been a breakaway portion of Desnair, perhaps conducting a negotiation with Siddarmark for alliance, protectorate status, or annexation over time, halted by the Church lest Desnair get overwhelmed or cut off from Haven or Siddarmark get too powerful.
More to the point, Charis is already providing all those benefits you cited to Siddamark, courtesy of a treaty, which doesn't require incorporation into the EoC.
NTM, this has been a subject of several threads over the years, many of them started by me.
Given that we know very little about Silkiah and absolutely nothing about the Grand Duke of Silkiah [aside from his existence], except that he's quietly supported the smuggling despite Clyntahn's threats, that probably included assassination if it had been possible; which says to me that the GDS may be a fairly popular guy, and might easily remain the GDS or even be elected the equivalent of 'Lord Protector', were Silkiah to lean towards the republic which it very well might, since it was the republic's pressure on Desnar that created the Grand Duchy in the first place, but I don't see the allies even suggesting that Silkiah change its form of government, because offering simple true independence, is more than a big enough prize for most Silkians I expect to prefer the alliance over the temple and Desnar.
Chances are though that Silkiah had to have been Desnairian at some point, even apart from the accent, just because Siddarmark has no Desnairian border and would have to go through Silkiah or Dohlar or water to get to Desnair, or vice versa. That may be the best support for taking the Wiki references (at least) as poor phrasing and Silkiah for having been established with the Treaty of Silk Town. That was only one generation ago though, so it's unclear what sort of national identity Silkiahans have - apart from being irritated at being confused with Desnairians.
Getting closer than they have to to Charis, or Siddarmark, does carry those risks. But how much choice will they have? However much Charis may be happy to give them, Clyntahn figures anyone who isn't a frothing heretic-killer is a heretic. Them or us. You can't even submit to occupation without being written off as a heretic. So Silkiah can have a constant guerrilla war against an occupation by its real friends that its real friends cannot afford, that would destroy the nation entirely - or stand up, accept this as a liberation, and assert itself as an ally of Siddarmark and Charis. (Or, if it had any reason to, an annex-ee of one or the other.) It's not buying relief from risk of retribution without paying for it with its own national existence, much as it may like to have that kind of option. The Sword of Schueler made that all too clear already.Despite the fact that we see the war shifting to the alliance, not everyone does, and I suspect many if not most Silkians wouldn't want to get any closer to Charis or the republic than they have to right now.
If Silkiah did join Charis, how soon before Clyntahn triggered another SoS inside Silkiah and created a civil war and worse?
Even if he couldn't, primarily due to time constraints, how many Silkiahans would believe he would as soon as he could, and thus oppose any such union as you propose?
IIRC, the forum consensus was that the Silkians would prefer to become truly independent for the first time, rather than subject themselves again to more foreigners, NTM even further distant, however benign.
Normal trade and diplomatic ties as Jeff pointed out may be more important now in the near term as demonstrating the alliance isn't going to conquer and expropriate everyone and everything.
Then step back and look at it from Charis's position; preserving her vast ocean moats, rather than getting entangled in any continental state [wisdom is avoiding a land war in Asia-"Princess Bride"] that could potentially turn into a quagmire that is to be avoided like the plague.
Read Sharleyan's wisdom in BHD again, as well as remembering "England has no permanent friends, but she has permanent interests" etc as guides to the EoC's foreign policy keys.
L
Of course, on Charis' side, that's an option that no longer exists either. Alliance with Siddarmark gets it in that war now, because it needs those mainland allies. It had two mainland friends, but Silkiah fell under the shadow of the Sword of Schueler and Siddarmark got sliced in half from it. It's working to restore Siddarmark and it's surely going to do it for Silkiah, but it's going to have those continental wars for as long as the Temple is capable of turning the whole mainland against it.
Still, in the longer term, it's an argument against annexation over alliance. You've got no flexibility with annexation. An alliance with Silkiah, in which you help Silkiah get to stand up for its own interests, means you can back off or reposition as need be - and flexible diplomacy is a hallmark of an island empire.
That wouldn't apply to Siddarmark though, and for all I know of Silkiah's history, maybe they were angling for a closer relationship of some sort there before the Church meddled.