ThinksMarkedly wrote:This depends on how close they can get to dozens of forts and multiple hundred ships with blaring active sensors. This is the single densest-traffic cubic light-second in the known Galaxy. The chances of detection go up exponentially with the number of ships and this is the place where the most ships can be found.
So even if we disagree that below one light-second the LDs are detectable, this is not a good place to park an LD or several. They will be detected, period. And even if they weren't before firing, they will be after.
We don't know what happens to vectors not leading to transit. My guess is that nothing happens. That means that even if a fort does not have a direct line of sight to the attacking LD, the other 11 will. And the mines and satellites controlled by that blocked fort will. There's nothing big enough to hide behind around the Junction and no angle in which a ship could avoid being struck by graser fire.
Missiles don't work in the light-second of the WH because wedges don't work. It's unknown whether the spider works.
You're overstating the distance missiles won't work. The grav turbulence zone that destroys anything under wedge isn't a sphere - it's a cylinder.
From each terminus point of the Junction (length vary by wormhole strngth) that "lane" runs roughly 90,000 km long by maybe 15,000 km in radius. Missiles can approach from its sides closely enough for even older laserheads with 30,000 km standoff to hit ships within the lane without the missiles entering the deadly grav effects.
And that area is supposed to be pretty dangerous to unpowered objects so simply coasting through isn't really doable.
Though in War of Honor we've got this snippet from the survey before the first use of what turned out to be the wormhole to the Lynx terminus
War of Honor wrote:Kare and his crowd have put over sixty probes into this terminus to compile the readings your precious numbers are based on! Which was true, as far as it went. On the other hand, she reflected with another almost-smile, not a single one of those probes has ever come back again, has it now?
Of course they hadn't. Nothing smaller than a starship could mount a hyper generator, and only something with a hyper generator could hope to pass through a wormhole junction terminus. The scientists' probes had reported faithfully right up to the moment they encountered the interface of the terminus itself, at which point they had simply ceased to exist.
. I'm not sure if that "interface or the terminus" is the sides of that ~15,000 km radius zone, if the drones had sails (but not hyper generators), or if there was some way to coast drones much closer to the terminus than we're led to believe decoys, towed platforms, etc. could survive.
Still, I doubt a ship using spider drive could survive within that zone - since it's pretty clear ships need a sail to survive there.
Also we don't know if that grav lane extends past the terminus. If it does that would limit how close a ship could get to the "back door" without raising sail (which would make it light up on the grav sensors of every fort, stations, weapons platform, and ship nearby).
However because the forts and defenses are even more to protect the Junction from a pounce from hyper than they are to defend against an assault through the wormhole they're going to be covering the whole sphere around the Junction - not just the side towards Manticore. (After all they don't want to give a free path from the Junction's hyper limit in to the terminus - even if no traffic should be over on that side). So, like you, I strongly doubt a spider ship is going to be able to (or even want to attempt to) sneak into the heart of those defenses and sensors.
After all if it got there what would it do? Opening fire would instantly reveal its position and even something as big and powerful as we presume a Lenny Det to be can't one-shot anywhere near all of the Junction defenses - so revealing itself, even in a surprise attack, is simply a suicide mission.
You'd last a lot longer, and probably do more damage overall, if you stay way back and just sent flights of graser torps in to inflict what damage they can.
Edit- fixed the closing tag on the quote