ThinksMarkedly wrote:cthia wrote:Not only that. Who is going to repack it if they don't find anything. And who is going to eat the costs of a wasted shipment. Wasted because it is now too late to deliver, or because it was damaged when unpacked by people who are not the people who were expecting the shipment with special knowledge of contents and dos and donts. Staggering lawsuits can arise from broken deliveries. All part of the reason I say spot checks aren't just done willy nilly. Honor had probable cause, and even she didn't act until she took the time to do the math, and she considered all of the facts coming in from lots of sources.
Whoever unpacks repacks, so if the inspection opened a container, they must know how to close it back again. But most inspections don't actually need to open the containers, they just do cross-checking of paperwork (though I'd expect this to be completely automated by AI in the very near future). When they open containers, they don't also open all of them, there's simply not enough time and space to do that. They'll do sampling, unless they have "information" that directs them to a particular container.
Perhaps, but real world baggage throws up a caution. To start, the workforce who packs these behemoths are experienced. In our application they have the title of stevedores. I suspect some are well paid. Second, especially on real world container ships, packing is an art. Even on big rigs. Packing is an artform everywhere. You encounter it at your local grocer. You can't pack canned goods atop eggs. And don't you just hate it when your bread arrives home smashed? I'm not sure if the same concerns for the same reasons would exist in the Honorverse, but the efficient use of space is a must. Computers may help a lot and probably do in that matter, but I'm sure other dos-and-donts have emerged. So, experienced stevedores are needed to pack. I can't see how they can be forced to unpack unless inspections are lucky to be ordered at the perfect time, which would be upon arrival at the "dock." By that time they would have already served the MAs purpose.
I'm also unsure about passing on damages to the insurance companies. I'd bet that is a "negative, good buddy." (CB speak).
ThinksMarkedly wrote:As for delays, that's up to the shipper and their insurance. Inspections and delays are to be expected. They can't sue the government for doing its job, even if nothing was found, except if they can show they were being harassed or deliberately singled out without reason.
Insurance costs are probably massively high already. You can't force insurers to pay for someone else's mistakes. If so, uncouth governments and outfits could kill any shipping company it targets. And if any system has a policy of making the shipper (or his insurance) eat the costs of their mistakes, surely their ports will soon become "ghost towns." I will wager that the Manticoran government would have eaten the costs for Honor's mistakes. And again, these costs could become catastrophic and stratospheric. Valuable medicines could be destroyed. Costly materials and time sensitive deliveries would instantly be made a bust, which no one will want (which will have to be returned then destroyed) which itself is a bag of mixed nuts and lots of red tape. Nobody is going to want to deliver to a system who forces a shipper to eat the costs of
their mistakes. In Manticore's case, they would be shooting their own revenue stream in the foot.
cthia wrote:If the MA uses these things, they would certainly have them operating long enough for the galaxy to become accustomed to seeing them, before turning them into Trojan Horses.
ThinksMarkedly wrote:Technically this is true, but impractically improbable. You're saying that the MAlign needs to be operating a fleet of 100 supermassive freighters for 50 T-years (at least) without much incident.
Why 50 years? One arrival and news of these freighters will spread like wildfire. And they will only be used on certain routes anyway, where supply and demand justify it. Six months to a year or even less should be fine. A steady stream of rigs are arriving all the time. A shipper could cut their shipping costs drastically because one freighter can now carry the goods of two. In fact, on certain routes, these things could put smaller companies out of business by offering lower shipping costs because of volume. Enough to piss the hell out of Hauptman.
ThinksMarkedly wrote:First, they haven't (or David hasn't told us), so unless they invent a time machine, they won't invest another half a century in this. Second, there is probably no market for this many supermassives: like I said up-thread in the example of the Antonov An-225, the Airbus Beluga XL, and the Boeing Dreamlifter, there exist exactly as many as there's market for it and no one floods the market with bigger ships with much higher operating costs. Though... given that Manpower has been operating for centuries with a broken business model, I wouldn't put it past the Alignment to do the same for the Jessyk Combine, but that was a front for a strategic goal they had, not a tactical one.
Again, I don't see the problem. No one has said anything about flooding the market. Massive tankers are built as needed. And, I imagine the old adage would ring true... "build it and they will come." Even the local grocer would experience less frequent bouts of anxiety having to watch current rigs being unpacked and the sinking feeling it doesn't contain what they need, which will obviously (hopefully) be on a following delivery on "the next" delivery date. Heck, I know my local grocer's delivery dates and oftentimes I'm annoyed my big order hasn't arrived. It is a bitch watching these huge freighters being emptied, seeing more and more of its cavernous insides and less and less goods remaining to be offloaded but still no joy finding what you really really need.
I also fail to see the same criteria carrying over in the HV as far as being economical. I can't see fuel costs being a nonstarter for wedge powered freighters. And the use of thrusters even on a superfreighter can't be that inordinately higher.
ThinksMarkedly wrote:If they do invent a time machine, the universe has other problems...
Which is why the universe has problems. The MA couldn't design and fight wedge against wedge, so they didn't try. They couldn't match the Manties' form of stealth, so they didn't try. They couldn't invent a time machine, but they learned to be frustratingly patient making time work for them. They relocated to an unknown part of the galaxy so they wouldn't ever be under the gun. Thus, all the time in the world to design things centuries ahead of its enemies. Which makes its enemy need the time machine.