SWM wrote:IMHO, it is not likely that the smaller members of the Manticoran Alliance will join the Grand Alliance. For the war against Haven, they had an immediate and personal stake in the matter--if they didn't join the Manticoran Alliance, Haven would have gobbled them up before taking on the Manticoran Alliance. They also had something to contribute--forward bases (in a time when forward bases were desired and deep raids were not used).hanuman wrote:Lyonheart, you bring up an interesting point. I don't know whether this has been discussed elsewhere yet, but I wonder which of the Manticoran Alliance's minor members will sign up for the Grand Alliance?
We know Grayson will, but Grayson is hardly a 'minor' member.
As a matter of fact, has it ever been clarified exactly which star nations belonged to the Manticoran Alliance, besides Manticore itself, Grayson, Zanzibar, Alizon, Idaho and Marsh?
In the war against the Solarian League, they have nothing to contribute. The number of ships they can provide is negligible, and they are behind the lines rather than forward bases. They have a long-term stake in the outcome, in that the League will expand in their direction eventually if not stopped. But in the short term, they are actually a liability--one more place that Manticore would have to protect against Solarian raids. I don't think Manticore will ask the small members of the Manticoran Alliance to join the Grand Alliance.
At the same time, some already have an iron in the fire, so to speak. Specifically, I'm thinking about Idaho, who, with the Zunker hyper bridge, is sitting on a flash point with the League. Any Idahoian 2nd grader with 2 crayons to put to paper has to realize that neutrality is not an option for them - either they choose a side or a side will be quickly chosen for them.
If they back out of the Manticorian alliance, it's just a matter for time before some Solarian planner figures out how to seal his shoes and moves on to planning the war and opens up the Idaho file - and realizes the invasion shortcut it represents. Idaho is the forward base the SLN needs in the region, with protected instaneous travel to Zunker and the nearby SL protectorates.
While I can't think of many others which would be critical at the moment, several do come to mind, namely Klein station, and Talbot (the star). Klein Station had a large Manty fleet station during the 1st war and Talbot has a small mothballed SD scale yard. Either would be the perfect fleet base for operations in the Havenite quadrant.
But many of the other smaller powers have to question whether their neutrality will be honored by the league. After all, their defensive systems will most likely be brought to a lower state of readiness with the war between the HQ powers over and the neutrality with the league being declared. (and not paying for a war time military is part of the reason for not getting into a war, isnt it?) Should the league decide to ignore the neutrality, any of the little guys will be easier pickings for SLN, and their defenses should give a look into Manty systems, even if it is a generation or 2 old. To a military planner, it just makes sense to attack a former member of the Manty alliance (after much diplomatic wooing) to get an easy victory and much needed intel and hardware to analyze.