cthia wrote:It occurred to me, when war begins with the MA, that their commerce raiding strategy can turn out to be really devastating. Hordes of invisible sharks raiding commerce can be a very nasty ordeal. And, would it matter if some of the sharks are destroyed? Their crew complement is small, isn't it? And comparatively, some subs bit the dust too. But they gave a lot more than they ever got.
Of course, their commerce raiding strategy would be nastier because of its unavoidable "take no prisoner" approach.
We all know the MAlign is ruthless and has no qualms about killing civilians. The question is how far they want to go with this. Given the Beowulf stations attack, they clearly want civilian megadeaths. But is there anyone they want on their side?
Attacking independent shipping could turn everyone against them. This becomes a propaganda war against them. It serves to rally every government and military against them. In fact, it becomes difficult for the Renaissance Factor to not get involved in the anti-MAlign side!
If it's not indiscriminate attack to shipping, if they attack only certain enemies. But that also restricts which convoys they can attack: can they attack if there's any non-enemy ship around? Will any of those leave with sufficient sensor readings to eventually put together a detection for the spider drive? And besides, who is not the enemy, if the GA and SL is? Won't that point out that the RF is in on it?
I agree that spider-based commerce raiding/attacking (they're not raiding if they attack without demanding surrender and heave-to) can be extremely deadly. Any kind of commerce raiding forces the adversary to deploy convoy escorts and against ships the escort can't detect, the escort isn't very effective. So my question in this is: what is their strategy? Commerce raiding is a means to an end, a tactic that supports a wider strategy. It can be to acquire the products being transported (unlikely), to force deployment of sufficient escorting forces (likely, though useless), or to inflict terror (very likely) or something else. How does any of this help them achieve their goals, their strategy?
Their current strategy is in shambles, since the SL survived and is likely to enter the strife against the MAlign. Are they going to throw good money after bad?