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Third Fleet and Apollo ships in the Battle of Manticore

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Re: Third Fleet and Apollo ships in the Battle of Manticore
Post by kzt   » Sun Jan 26, 2020 6:47 pm

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ThinksMarkedly wrote:I don't remember the text: did she have any CLACs?

Yes, but instead of having the LACs deploy into the outer missile defense zone a few million KM towards 2nd like doctrine said they should the LACs were just milling about.

Nothing Kuzak did after exiting hyper and starting the charge towards 2nd makes any sense.
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Re: Third Fleet and Apollo ships in the Battle of Manticore
Post by Galactic Sapper   » Sun Jan 26, 2020 9:49 pm

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kzt wrote:
ThinksMarkedly wrote:I don't remember the text: did she have any CLACs?

Yes, but instead of having the LACs deploy into the outer missile defense zone a few million KM towards 2nd like doctrine said they should the LACs were just milling about.

Nothing Kuzak did after exiting hyper and starting the charge towards 2nd makes any sense.

While that was doctrine, it turned out it keeping them close is the only reason any of 3rd fleet survived. If they'd been properly positioned against 2nd fleet, 5th fleet would have finished 3rd fleet off due to lack of missile defense. It made the difference between "wrecked" and "no survivors".
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Re: Third Fleet and Apollo ships in the Battle of Manticore
Post by kzt   » Sun Jan 26, 2020 10:09 pm

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Galactic Sapper wrote:While that was doctrine, it turned out it keeping them close is the only reason any of 3rd fleet survived. If they'd been properly positioned against 2nd fleet, 5th fleet would have finished 3rd fleet off due to lack of missile defense. It made the difference between "wrecked" and "no survivors".

No, second was already going to destroy them. They were losing 1-3 ships per salvo (every 24 seconds) from second alone, which was far faster then 2nd was losing ships. Not surprising, as Kuzak had deliberately thrown away every advantage that 3rd had.

And LAC are much less effective when they are mixed into the fleet, instead of providing two layers of anti-missile fire they are probably about 1/3 as effective.
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Re: Third Fleet and Apollo ships in the Battle of Manticore
Post by Loren Pechtel   » Mon Jan 27, 2020 12:30 am

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ThinksMarkedly wrote:I'd imagine that warships in a time of war already have their hulls covered with pods as much as they can. There's no point in rolling pods from internal storage until those on the hull are nearly exhausted, not to mention there's not much hull left to limpet to. Even if you didn't have enough Apollo pods: in a battle, you don't want to shoot yourself dry, so I'd fill the ship or the hull with older pods to fire after exhausting the Apollo birds.


Disagree--if you're not going to lose them to incoming fire you should be rolling pods as fast as you can. That means it's longer until you deplete your already-rolled pods and your weight of fire drops.
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Re: Third Fleet and Apollo ships in the Battle of Manticore
Post by Loren Pechtel   » Mon Jan 27, 2020 12:54 am

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ThinksMarkedly wrote:When you're defending your home system, the Single Point of Failure of the entire Alliance, that would not be a consideration. Remove all the safety interlocks too. Fire from however far you need to, maximum effect.

Chin did realise very quickly what Honor was doing, when she found out. Not immediately, but in fairly short order. The problem is that the missiles had just over 9 minutes travel time, the SDs take multiple minutes to translate to alpha and the order takes some measurable time to propagate through the fleet. Remember: Chin's tactical officer first ordered all ships to move before telling Chin that the missiles were incoming.

A completely useless move, regardless of Apollo.


Chin realized it quickly but not quickly enough. Had he seen the true potential of Apollo he would have known a beyond-range shot was still lethal and would have hypered out--leaving him free to return with a decent portion of Honor's ammo gone.
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Re: Third Fleet and Apollo ships in the Battle of Manticore
Post by Loren Pechtel   » Mon Jan 27, 2020 12:58 am

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SharkHunter wrote:Let's assume by the Battle of Manticore, they've revised their count to 500-600 hits to mission kill an SD, which is about 90 pods, less Penaids, etc. Then the numbers make a bit more sense... and is why McKeon's ships should have been targeting 2nd Fleet right off the bat.


That's hits, not missiles--some get shot down or spoofed.
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Re: Third Fleet and Apollo ships in the Battle of Manticore
Post by cthia   » Mon Jan 27, 2020 12:59 am

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Jonathan_S wrote:
cthia wrote:I haven't had a chance to cross reference my memory with textev, so I'll play it safe. Whatever tactic McKeon adopted when he joined the fray, he couldn't exceed the range of Apollo that had already been revealed. If he had, Chin would have immediately known the fire that came from Harrington's fleet was no bluff, and she would have known to hyper out immediately.

As it stood, McKeon remained within the range and capability that had already been revealed. Saving the gravy for Honor. McKeon was under the obligation not to spill any wine before it's time.
I know you said you didn't get a chance to look up the exact distances - but even without exact distances what target do you think McKeon might have even had that would exposed Apollo's max range?

Remember that a Lovat, before Apollo was revealed, Giscard thought that Honor's trap force has screwed up their astrogation by dropping in too far back for their MDMs to be truly effective against his larger force of SD(P)s. (Exact range, per AAC, 54,900,000 km)

Having been shown Apollo was lethally effective at that range, and hoping to trap the Apollo equipped 8th fleet, the entire point of Chin's trap was to emerge close enough to minimize the difference between light-speed and FTL control of the missiles - so far closer than the already revealed Apollo range from Lovat. So when McKeon immediately engages her her entire fleet is closer than anything Apollo has shot at before. (Exact range 41,700,000 km - and she'd wanted to be 10 million closer[1])

The only more distant target is the remains of 2nd fleet (and if McKeon had fired immediately on them it would have been before he knew Chin was even coming). And yes, 3rd fleet didn't engage the damaged 2nd fleet immediately after hypering in. But they were withing powered MDM range, they just wanted to wait until the hit percentages of the non-Apollo MDMs which were the vast majority of their weapons, were better. I don't think McKeon engaging would have revealed significantly more Apollo range than at Lovat. (And looking it up, the range was 60,000,000 km - so slightly more than Lovat but not a huge difference)


But Honor dropped in so far back her missiles needed a ballistic coast segment (exact range 72,930,000 km) - which is why Chin thought she was bluffing. McKeon literally didn't have any target he could have fired on that was that far out.

So this whole tangent seems moot - there was never any need to decide whether or not to reveal Apollo's max range. And just remembering the plan was for Chin to engage closely enough Apollo wasn't a major factor, and Honor engaged from far enough she needed a ballistic phase should have made that clear - even without exact ranges.



[1] "Chin's astrogation had been off by a good ten million kilometers, although it was hard to fault her for that. She'd had only a handful of minutes to adjust her position after MacArthur's arrival"

You are correct Jonathan. Forgive my inexact language. I hadn't had the chance to look up distances period. Since I couldn't recall any of the ranges, I was noting it as a consideration. At any rate, my point is that McKeon had the same option as Honor, of hypering in beyond Peep missile range. As I thought someone insinuated upstream. That would have been a booboo, whether or not he still had a target to shoot at at that range.

This thread is getting away from me. My loss.

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Third Fleet and Apollo ships in the Battle of Manticore
Post by kzt   » Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:32 am

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Loren Pechtel wrote:Chin realized it quickly but not quickly enough. Had he seen the true potential of Apollo he would have known a beyond-range shot was still lethal and would have hypered out--leaving him free to return with a decent portion of Honor's ammo gone.

Honor would have adopted if they had been doing long range Apollo. But 3rd to second was within the expected range iirc. Honor could had dropped in and just fired everything at 10million km or whatever range is within the time it takes for a RHN SD(p) to get their hyper generator working. 5th would have gotten of some fire, but not very much, and most won’t be guided.
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Re: Third Fleet and Apollo ships in the Battle of Manticore
Post by Star Knight   » Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:34 am

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kzt wrote:No, second was already going to destroy them. They were losing 1-3 ships per salvo (every 24 seconds) from second alone, which was far faster then 2nd was losing ships. Not surprising, as Kuzak had deliberately thrown away every advantage that 3rd had.

I think the correct interpretation of the text is that 2nd and 5th Fleet were both shooting at 3rd Fleet.
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Re: Third Fleet and Apollo ships in the Battle of Manticore
Post by cthia   » Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:34 am

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ThinksMarkedly wrote:So everyone knew that whoever ended up in possession of the Manticore-A orbitals after this battle would be the winner of the war.


This is where we disagree. Why should Haven roll over? Let's zoom out on the strategic front that still exists . . .

8th Fleet is trapped on the 8th rank (chess board). It cannot go out on any maneuvers. Haven no longer have to worry about it's rear areas because of 8th Fleets swashbuckling.

Bolthole is still operational and undamaged by any MA attack. 8th Fleet may have more ships coming, but still no missiles.

Haven, has a very large sphere of influence where ships are deployed throughout the galaxy. That's a lot of ships they can recall. Of course, Michelle Henke could be recalled for the Manties. I can't believe the RHN doesn't have ships it can recall.

I can only agree that whoever retains Manticore-A orbitals after BoM wins the battle, not the war. What other option is there? That certainly could be Theisman's take on it, or any lesser mortal. My point is, Chin's escape wouldn't put a nail in Haven's coffin. Haven is still desperate and backed in a corner. The opposing navies end up right back where they started, a race of attrition, with Bolthole going full speed, and it's location still unknown. And Apollo missile production, questionable. The BoM only showed that 8th Fleet had Apollo. Theisman would be remiss if he didn't consider that the only Apollo birds left are what's in magazines.

Again, what's their option? If they were going to roll over, they should have done it before BoM.

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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