JeffEngel wrote:
As others have noted (teach me to sleep, interferes with forum participation...), it's not a projection of BF's size, it's an example of how large BF would be if the League could/wanted to arm itself as much as Beowulf (while nominally under the SLN's protection!) does arm itself. It's also one example of a powerful SDF. I don't take it as a representative example of a League member system's self-defense - an SDF IS after all a bit of a weird luxury in the League - and Mesa as a target does, as you say, represent a special circumstance for Beowulf that way. (Mesan Alignment membership represents a special circumstance for Renaissance Factor systems.)
Anyway - whether or not systems with Reserve Fleet concentrations and/or SLN shipyards in them have SDF's to get in the way is an open question, rather than a clear "no". On the other hand, chances are any of them are small. 36 SLN-standard SD's in some SDF in the target system, for example, would after Second Manticore quite reasonably stand down when asked politely rather than get between a GA raiding squadron out to destroy a mothball fleet or shipyard that's just in their star system rather than belonging to it.
So - your point ends up being reconstructed and SDF's in the systems with League targets may well be kept out of the fighting.
Something that the waller ratios bring up though - The League, as the League, is stupendously underarmed for its size. It can't afford much of a fleet (for its size), and it doesn't try to keep the capital ships all that modernized (in terms of effect, rather than chrome). It's been running, for its whole history, on the fact that it's just so huge that trivial armament, proportionately, gets the job done because it would be still a ton of bricks falling on anyone messing with it because its very thin (always, for its size) armament is still vastly larger than anyone else's and it can deploy that attritionally to bury whomever. And the sheer reputation for that leaves them not needing to do that - or any longer genuinely prepared to do so.
It's too late for the League, but in the years to come, there is tremendous room for the League's successor states to arm themselves before they feel the pinch. Consider the fleets that Manticore and Grayson fielded, as single star systems. Granted, Manticore has three habitable planets (even if Gryphon is only "habitable") and stupendous wealth, but still, it's got a smaller population among 2.Gryphon habitable worlds than many single Core Worlds and Grayson does what it does with a smallish population, only recent prolong, only recently modern industry and education, and having a hard time getting around to fully employing 3/4's of its adults.
Hi JeffEngel,
Remember that in the case of both Manticore and Grayson, there were clear threats to their survival. Manticore, or at least King Roger understood the threat from the People's Republic and was able to initiate a naval buildup to counter it. In Grayson's case, the repeated threat of conquest by first Masada and then Haven provided the incentive to support a buildup.
In both cases Samuel Johnson's dictum about how the prospect of being hanged concentrates the mind summarizes the situation nicely.
Don