Hello Brigade XO,
Kudos for your typically excellent analysis.
It could be quite a mess actually.
But given the average OFS has less than 3 FF ships in system, they would at most risk 1 to attempt to seize another system, assuming it had one or less to defend itself with; so there can't be that much empire building until more ships become available to the local wannabe empire builders.
Until the OFS stops looting and starts building the local infrastructure to build more ships, the system governor isn't going to be much of a threat to his neighbors.
I don't think they will have that much time.
Given roughly half of the verge has at least a few hyper warships each like the Talbot Cluster, NTM a good fraction of the shell also have their own hyper warships; the various rather small local FF detachments, without the BF club waived ominously in the background, aren't all that powerful and can't grab all that much without drawing too much attention to themselves, that with or without the GA, will bring some relatively quick retribution.
While we haven't yet seen a nodal force FF CO [possibly an admiral] take a shot at creating his own little empire, we may soon; I suspect it would involve executing all the local OFS bureaucrats to appease the abused local citizens, to woo them to his standard, what else would he appeal to?
The 6 pillars of the RA? [From CoS]
How acceptable might that be to the GA?
Given their knowledge of the SL from Lacoon 1 & 2, they might like some FF nodal CO's etc.
Only RFC and Sharon know for sure.
L
Brigade XO wrote:This is starting to sound like Manticore and to a lessor extent Haven are going to shift into a position of - if you don't hurt us, we won't hurt you.
That lets them reopen trade with the pieces that fall off the SL.
The problems include 1) That dam Alignment that has been manipulating so many things for so many years and has those (effectively) invisable ships and is using BIO WEAPONS to attack targets. Then there is that whole question of just exactly does the Alignment want and what are they going to do to get there?
Problem 2) The nominally politicaly stable and previously 8,000lb gorilla that has been keeping the lid on agressive neighbors (except OFS and their friends in the transstellars) for centuries has been demonstrated to be ineffective. The SL is going to fail, people (including said OFS and other corrupt elements in and who have been dealing with the SL system) ARE GOING TO try and take over systems and create their own little empires. They are NOT going to be peaceable or live quietly with their neighbors and EVERYBODY is going to have to build networks of alliances and military treaties and navies (at least powerful local defense). This will make early and late Middle Ages Europe look like a sandbox in kindergarden.
Just how do you convince the tyrants and megalomaniacs to stay away from others? If you have to do it through a combination of economic influence (which can suddenly fail if said tyrant decides chances are good to snatch everything or just kill the biggest impediment) or outright military power, do you self-impose limits to what you are going to do in responding to "problems".
Big mess