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The Problem with Haven

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Re: The Problem with Haven
Post by MaxxQ   » Sat Jun 21, 2014 5:18 pm

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DarkEnigma wrote:
SWM wrote:I will point out the reason why it feels a bit abrupt. It's because it is a bit abrupt, because David Weber originally planned for Have to take another twenty years recovering economically.


Is there a post by the author going into this topic? I'd be interested to see some background on this.


In a quickie search of The Pearls (my searching ability there sucks - guess I didn't use the right keywords), this was the only reference I found:

http://infodump.thefifthimperium.com/en ... gton/244/1

Wikipedia also mentions it:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Honorverse

The series is consciously modeled on the Horatio Hornblower series by C.S. Forester, and its main character on Admiral Lord Nelson (like Horatio Hornblower). Weber originally planned Harrington to die, like Nelson, at the peak of her career in the climactic Battle of Manticore in 1920 PD (4020 AD), and intended to continue the series with her children as the main protagonists.[5] However collaborating author Eric Flint intervened asking for the invention of a mutual enemy for both the Star Kingdom of Manticore and the Republic of Haven to oppose in a spy and counterspy spin-off sub-series the two contractually agreed to co-write, just as they have contracts to write in Flint's 1632 universe. This "rethink" and redesign caused Weber to move the series' internal chronology up by about 20 years and begat the Crown of Slaves novel, first in the "Crown of Slaves" sub-series based on a number of the short stories of the first four collections.


Might also want to look around at some old posts here, since David posts here under the runsforcelery moniker. I know he's talked about it fairly extensively here, but either the search function here is funky, or my abilities in that regard suck here as well.

DarkEnigma wrote:
Relax wrote: 3) Uh, politics... So, just no. Go read AoV. Read WoH. It is spelled out in both books why Q. Elizabeth could not.


My recollection of the events in Ashes of Victory are hazy but I seem to recall that the reason given was Elizabeth's fear of a constitutional crisis. While I'm sure that fear was valid, my point was only that her Navy was only a short time away from total victory. Surely the fallout from the crisis could have been put off a few weeks until after Haven was safely dealt with? I admit I haven't gotten to Worlds of Honor yet though. Which story covers this topic?


Not Worlds of Honor - War of Honor
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Re: The Problem with Haven
Post by Weird Harold   » Sat Jun 21, 2014 5:48 pm

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MaxxQ wrote:Might also want to look around at some old posts here, since David posts here under the runsforcelery moniker. I know he's talked about it fairly extensively here, but either the search function here is funky, or my abilities in that regard suck here as well.


phpBBS has a problem with providing links to specific posts. The only way to find all RFC's posts is to ask for topics instead of posts, then the link from the search function works and you only have to use your browser's "find-on-page" (Ctrl-F) function to search each page for "runsforcelery."

search.php?keywords=&terms=all&author=runsforcelery&sc=1&sf=all&sr=topics&sk=t&sd=d&st=0&ch=300&t=0&submit=Search will find all topics RFC has posted in.
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Answers! I got lots of answers!

(Now if I could just find the right questions.)
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Re: Honorverse series, the future..?
Post by kzt   » Sat Jun 21, 2014 5:53 pm

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Weird Harold wrote:phpBBS has a problem with providing links to specific posts. The only way to find all RFC's posts is to ask for topics instead of posts, then the link from the search function works and you only have to use your browser's "find-on-page" (Ctrl-F) function to search each page for "runsforcelery."

Google also works. I'm on an iPad now, so I can't give any examples.
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Re: Honorverse series, the future..?
Post by MaxxQ   » Sat Jun 21, 2014 6:42 pm

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kzt wrote:
Weird Harold wrote:phpBBS has a problem with providing links to specific posts. The only way to find all RFC's posts is to ask for topics instead of posts, then the link from the search function works and you only have to use your browser's "find-on-page" (Ctrl-F) function to search each page for "runsforcelery."

Google also works. I'm on an iPad now, so I can't give any examples.


Here's an interview I found through Google (second question): http://scifi4me.com/2011/10/01/david-we ... -of-honor/
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Re: The Problem with Haven
Post by SWM   » Mon Jun 23, 2014 8:20 am

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DarkEnigma wrote:
SWM wrote:I will point out the reason why it feels a bit abrupt. It's because it is a bit abrupt, because David Weber originally planned for Have to take another twenty years recovering economically.


Is there a post by the author going into this topic? I'd be interested to see some background on this.

In addition to the interview and a posting by David here in this forum, there is an addendum at the end of Mission of Honor, where he explains that this was the point in the storyline where he had originally envisioned Honor's death. Of course, that was back when he had envisioned a total of eight books in the series. :D
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Re: The Problem with Haven
Post by Tenshinai   » Mon Jun 23, 2014 3:46 pm

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Given this, how are we to believe that that fundamental flaw in Haven’s economy is not still at work? Should not Haven’s economy still be quite fragile? I realize that Rob Pierre began some modest economic reforms and presumably Pritchart has gone even further in that direction, but we are talking about repairing a systemically flawed system that has been in place for decades (centuries?).


Pierre and later Saint-Just essentially forced the economy out of the dumps, it´s even mentioned somewhere as the only thing they managed to do good.

And they did this at least to a fairsized part, WITH the support of the people in general, they had this big war against the pronounced arch-enemy to win, and everyone had to do their part for victory.

The peep trojka pretty much did an economical war mobilisation. Fixing the worst of the economy in the process.


Pritchart&Co simply had to keep pushing that in the right direction.




I was going to write answers to the rest as well, but i just wont, it´s just so biased that there´s no point.
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Re: The Problem with Haven
Post by Brigade XO   » Mon Jun 23, 2014 4:43 pm

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One of the pieces of the plot line deals with the problem of self determination for systems "acquired" by Haven during the PRH period. That was a sticking point when High Ridge was screwing around with the peace negotiations and it is still in the mix now.

There are certainly some of the systems that Haven has had for 20, 30, 40 or more years that want to leave. Under the restored ROH that is possible but it is going to be extremely complicated.

We shall see if this get addressed going forward.
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Re: The Problem with Haven
Post by The E   » Mon Jun 23, 2014 4:56 pm

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Brigade XO wrote:One of the pieces of the plot line deals with the problem of self determination for systems "acquired" by Haven during the PRH period. That was a sticking point when High Ridge was screwing around with the peace negotiations and it is still in the mix now.

There are certainly some of the systems that Haven has had for 20, 30, 40 or more years that want to leave. Under the restored ROH that is possible but it is going to be extremely complicated.

We shall see if this get addressed going forward.


That was addressed, wasn't it? The RH lost quite a lot of systems after the restoration of the Constitution.
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Re: The Problem with Haven
Post by lyonheart   » Mon Jun 23, 2014 5:56 pm

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Hi Hanuman,

My apologies, I thought I posted this late Saturday night but apparently not.

In past posts I've suggested 600 B for the peep population, with a low of 400 B, but the high seems more likely than the low, while the current RoH's has been put at around 300-400 B. ;)

I think others have tried to make the point that the huge burden of the Dolists indirectly emphasizes the relative strength of the underlying economy in being able to cope at a better than minimum level, rather than simply collapsing, despite all the socialist garbage the legislaturists had hobbled and sabotaged it with.

You're quite right that the early textev all referred to Haven 'only' having over a hundred systems while still being the second largest human polity [the Andermanni were fourth, so who was third?], but back in '06 the MWW [RFC] detailed the new republic had peaked at just under 270 systems, just under double the ~135 [plus some strategic bases IIRC] it then had [without adding those held by the SKM before Thunderbolt], since Eloise let at least half leave if they wanted to, which they did for obvious reasons, though some saw advantages to being part of such a huge potentially rich free trade economic engine like the republic of old.

Then there are a couple of pearls or posts IIRC, that mention '200+' who left for maybe ~350 systems tops. ;)

One of the pearls explains that 30-35 of those ~135 inhabited systems are well industrialized or 'first tier', plus about the same for 'second tier' for `70 industrialized systems that must be defended, plus 35 more that are economically neutral, then some 30 'economic sinkholes', NTM the strategic bases and colonies of Haven herself from way back when etc.

The population of Haven was listed as 23 B someplace during the first war, not surprising when it was over a billion barely a century after it was first settled in 1309 IIRC, with some of the daughter colonies also with huge populations.

RFC has used a gradient of population decline over distance [ie the time of habitation] for the explored galaxy with several dozen core 'old league' systems having well over 30 billion in CoS [with the exception of Beowulf], while the verge is down to around 2 B; though the TQ averaged 1.5B in WroH, it had jumped to over a billion more in SoS or tSFtS, yet Haven should still be somewhat above that average.

Keep in mind, if the dolists had simply become self supporting rather than trying to become spaceship constructors, the effect on the internal economy would have been profound, since Pierre or somebody makes some reference to Haven having to import food at some point.

Beside a 'back to the earth campaign to build spaceships' [by eliminating the BLS], that renovated wasted or marginal land, I've imagined the dolists taking over abandoned mines even on or in the system's moons etc, to make Haven and the rest of the dolist centered systems self supporting.

Throwing millions if not billions of semi-enthusiastic warm bodies at other resource production bottlenecks would probably also have some good results.

The restored republic still isn't rich, WroH refers to it's citizens as still impoverished compared to even the poorest Manticoran, while in AAC Secretary Giancola rhetorically asks his brother and senator, Jason "what doesn't involve the military these days" [IIRC], who responds "not much" indicating the concentration on military production.

Given the 1200 SDP's we know they were then building or had completed, at ~M$40B each that's only M$80 each for 600 billion, not pocket change perhaps but still probably affordable to a society willing to buy war-bonds etc.

Given the relatively few million peeps killed [2-3M?] in the first war, the anti Manticoran hate should be considerably diminished even further when the new RoH administration explained in some detail how the CPS lied about almost everything, including providing the very people who did it to confess and explain all the details might reduce the amount of manipulated anger that Eloise and Theisman probably saw as a problem to any long term peace, so I expect they were on this before they got to know High Ridge.

From the textev, Eloise & Co aren't too worried about anti-manty feeling at the moment, given how the peace treaty sailed through Congress etc.

I suspect the restored constitution probably has several provisions preventing the re-occurrence of Dolism and the welfare state, something that reformed and now proudly independent Dolists probably strongly support.

L


hanuman wrote:400 systems? Really? Oh, then I was certainly waaayyyy off course.

Okay, so with an average system population of 2 billion, and given the new info (for me) wrt the number of systems and that several (many?) of them are uninhabited, we get more or less half the population total I estimated. So, 300-350 billion. I told you guys my estimate was uninformed.

Still, the point I made is still valid. A vibrant, growing economy requires a productive and innovative economically-active population. The PRH economy was clearly neither vibrant nor growing, but it has managed NOT to collapse for a long time (I remember that Mr Weber wrote in the companion that was included in the first anthology that Haven had started its economic experimentation well over half a century before Honor's birth - once again, I might be wrong, but I don't own the book so I cannot verify my facts).

The fact that the PRH economy has managed to stay solvent for so long before it reached the critical point beyond which the financial strain of supporting payments to the Dolists could no longer be carried without complete economic collapse, means that there had to exist at least a significant economically-productive class that could ensure the continued solvency of the economy.

Also, the critical point beyond which economic collapse would have become inevitable did not come around because that productive class had suddenly disappeared. Rather, the PRH had become too large, and in the process had destroyed too much of the productive capacity of its newly-conquered subjects, for its economically-productive class to carry all the weight of keeping its economy solvent - even with the inflow of loot from those new conquests.

But the point is that such an economically-productive, educated and skilled class had to exist, and that it had to be significant in number, for the PRH economy to have remained solvent for so long. So once the Dolists started to respond to Ransom's propaganda campaigns and started to enter the work force again, there were still enough skilled personnel to retrain the new workers.
Any snippet or post from RFC is good if not great!
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Re: The Problem with Haven
Post by drothgery   » Mon Jun 23, 2014 7:11 pm

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lyonheart wrote:Given the relatively few million peeps killed [2-3M?] in the first war, the anti Manticoran hate should be considerably diminished even further when the new RoH administration explained in some detail how the CPS lied about almost everything, including providing the very people who did it to confess and explain all the details might reduce the amount of manipulated anger that Eloise and Theisman probably saw as a problem to any long term peace, so I expect they were on this before they got to know High Ridge.
The Committee almost certainly killed more Havenites than the RMN did. Heck, I suspect that's true even if you ignore casualties from McQueen's suppression of the Levelers and (one side of) her later coup attempt.
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